Posted:
#1
3 for today:
Villanova ML +1?
*Oklahoma St. (pick)
*Murray St. -?
*first half plays
~~~=Monday (1/11) NCCAB=~~~
Posted:
#5
Quote Originally Posted by golfandgamble:
Why Nova?
Why Nova?
-90% of covers on Louisville
-Nova has treated me VERY well this year
-Nova in underrated (if possible)
-Louisville is vastly overrated
-Vegas has been getting killed with these lines of unranked teams laying points to ranked road team (trend won't continue at this rate)
-Nova has a substantial advantage at the guard position
-Louisville is 1-3 vs. solid competition
-Villanova is 4-1 against solid competition
Posted:
#8
Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:
-90% of covers on Louisville
-Nova has treated me VERY well this year
-Nova in underrated (if possible)
-Louisville is vastly overrated
-Vegas has been getting killed with these lines of unranked teams laying points to ranked road team (trend won't continue at this rate)
-Nova has a substantial advantage at the guard position
-Louisville is 1-3 vs. solid competition
-Villanova is 4-1 against solid competition
Come on JT you should know as well as anyone that this trend has worked well year in and year out. People are still going to be Nova seeing 3 points. There really is not that many people posting plays on this game either on the forum. I have only seen maybe 10 people post LOU as a play.
Posted:
#10
Quote Originally Posted by UNCforever:
Come on JT you should know as well as anyone that this trend has worked well year in and year out. People are still going to be Nova seeing 3 points. There really is not that many people posting plays on this game either on the forum. I have only seen maybe 10 people post LOU as a play.
You need to look again, because I read at least 20 posts picking Louisville, I have seen 3 people (excluding myself) picking Nova.
Posted:
#13
Quote Originally Posted by UNCforever:
Come on JT you should know as well as anyone that this trend has worked well year in and year out. People are still going to be Nova seeing 3 points. There really is not that many people posting plays on this game either on the forum. I have only seen maybe 10 people post LOU as a play.
This trend works when no one is giving the home team a shot, much like Tennessee yesterday.
This trend is not as nearly successful when everyone is picking the home team to continue the trend.
Posted:
#16
Quote Originally Posted by sims_key:
covers posters hardly represent the public.
covers posters hardly represent the public.
many sharp posters here and a lot of uncforever tailers. that is why you see so many on it. doesn't mean it is a public play.
Sad to say, but that is EXACTLY what covers is...the public
are there a few great cappers in here...of course...but for the most part covers is an exact representation of the betting public.
Posted:
#17
90 percent of covers is on Louisville because UNCforever is big on Louisville. It was the same thing on Saturday with Wisconsin. Not saying that any one individual likes to copy plays, so I hope nobody get their panties in a bunch, but when UNC posts a 20 unit play, you can bet that lots of cappers are going to have it that day. Go Cards!
Posted:
#19
Quote Originally Posted by volstud50:
according to one website, 68% on Vill and 32% on Louisville...take that for what it is worth for the guys trying to guess what the public is on.
Tressel - I hate your sweatervest by the way! GO VOLS!
I don't trust any numbers on any sites in regards to whom the public is on.
What I do trust is time and hard work, which is what I do when reading every post in the college basketball forum before determining where public money is.
Posted:
#20
Sweatervest - I'm not saying put your stock in those sites by any means. And I agree that looking through the post on here Louisville is getting hammered. I leaned UofL myself this morning, but not going to play it because covers posters love it. There is nothing wrong with the way you read who people are playing and play the opposite, it works well.
Posted:
#22
Quote Originally Posted by Jim_Tressel:
This trend works when no one is giving the home team a shot, much like Tennessee yesterday.
This trend is not as nearly successful when everyone is picking the home team to continue the trend.
What is the common trend for the tennessee game yesterday and tonight's nova game?
Posted:
#24
I think this game can go either way but when big time program that are unranked play top 10 teams, they tend to play extremely well. With that being said, when smaller programs like Rhode Island get a top 25 team like saturday when they played temple, u have to cap the game alittle better and not just rely on the trend. Louisville will be ready to play tonite. Should win by 6 to 8 pts. Either way enjoy your threads. Keep up the good work
J_T
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