Let’s talk Virginia/Ohio State — neutral site total is 147. Both teams usually play slow, but I’ve got a feeling this one could fly. Anyone have a read on it?

Key Insights

Ohio State Performance:

Site: We have a rare conference February matchup with this game being played at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville.

Defensive Strength: Ohio St has the #79 defense nationally and rank #41 in three-point defense. This suggests that they can effectively limit opponents' scoring, particularly from beyond the arc.

Tempo and Shot Clock: The Buckeyes play at a tempo rank of #221 and allow their opponents to take a shot every 18.1 seconds, which ranks #311—indicating a slow pace that favors lower scoring.

Recent Defensive Performance: Ohio State has tightened their defense lately, allowing shooting percentages of 46.9%, 45.8%, and 41.9%.

Over/Under Trends: They are 12-12 over/under for the season but have struggled away from home with a 1-4 (20%) over/under record in their last 5 games.

Rest Impact: The Buckeyes have a poor record of 1-6 (14.3%) over/under with two days of rest, excluding games as a favorite of -7 or higher. They are also 0-5 over/under against teams with a win percentage of 85% or higher, with those games staying under by an average of 21.7 points per game.

Virginia Performance:

Strong Record: Virginia holds an impressive record of 21-3, with the #7 defense nationally and a tempo ranking of #300.

Defensive Strategy: The Cavaliers also slow their opponents down, allowing a shot every 18.5 seconds, ranking #346. This aligns with their strategical approach to controlling the game pace.

Three-Point Shooting: While the Cavaliers rely on three-pointers, they may face challenges against Ohio State's solid 3-point defense. They’ve shot only 19.5% in their two neutral-site games this season and playing a large venue with unique lighting and rims also effect shooting.

Recent Over/Under Trends: Virginia’s over/under record is 8-15 (34.8%) for the season, including 4 straight unders, and they have stayed under by a significant margin of 81.5 points in their last three games.

Rest Situations: With 3 days of rest or less, the Cavaliers are 3-13 (18.8%) over/under, and particularly struggling at 1-12 (7.7%) when coming off a win with totals of 135 and higher.

Dam OSU

@OSU4life

 I will go against the chatbot and take the over.

See this game in the upper 150s!

@sportsintuition

Not chatbot. Paid professional capper pick with analysis. Capper with a top rated 5% pick with a:

But.. go ahead with your sports intuition and take the over. I'll be riding the under.

30-6 (83.3%) RUN/ 6-0 (100%) 5%

(Edit: this was missing from above after the colon)

WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
STRAIGHT BET Feb 14
8:00 PM CBB [748] TOTAL u147-110 (VIRGINIA vrs OHIO STATE) 1100 / 1000 USD 208417336

I'll ride 

The tempo of these teams and the Over/Under doesn’t match. Not sure what happens but something stinks. 

@Denson7

 Hi total right, thought based on line over

But i'm stuck 4400 this week so i'm not see things well 

@SourSausage

Although the write up is from a chatbot, my response was really intended to add a little humor.

Comment aside, I do see this hitting the upper 150s.

Breaking: #OhioState will be without sophomore guard John Mobley Jr. tonight vs. Virginia due to a hand injury. #Buckeyes without their second-leading scorer in Nashville: dispatch.com/story/sports/c…

@OSU4life

It was written by a chatbot.

But I wasn't implying you wrote it, simply stated I will go against the chatbot.

Nice info OSU and LV on the injury situation. Going to ride the under tonight. GL everyone 

Do you find it strange that the total hasn't moved?

u145½-110

That's at my book

Pinn @146.5 

146½

-5-15
145½

-5-09
145½

-5-10
145½

-5½-10
145½

-5-10
146½

-4½-15
146½

-5½-05
145½u-15

-5-10
146½

-5-12
146u-11

Some movement 

@LVTruck

Going to infinity

The moon 

Your gut was on it today 

Good thing there are two halves in a basketball game...

Definitely slowed down some

Going to need a 3 min brick festival