Made you look!
Does anyone use Possessions per game as a capping tool?
I was in Nashville last week and Eddie Fogler was on the radio. He is a regular. They were talking about rebounding stats and Fogler made a good point that those numbers are sometimes very misleading. He said if a team outrebounds another 40-20 on the night that looks really bad for the team with only 20 rebounds. But what if the team that had 40 rebounds shot 70% from the floor? That means there weren't many Defensive rebounds available for that team to get OR say the team that only had 20 rebounds also forced the other team into 30 turnovers, so they couldn't even get a shot off to get the rebound.....he says that he would rather look at possessions per game rather than rebounds. He said that it doesn't matter how you get your possessions as long as you get them, it could come from rebounds or turnovers or other factors.
Bottom line, I found a website that tracks possessions per game. I'm interested if anyone has used this as a capping tool before (I'm sure this isn't the first anyone has ever heard of this tool). I think it could be valuable, but not sure the best way to use it as a tool.
With only 8 games tonight, I jotted down the Possessions Per Game for each team to see if their is anything that stands out and looks funny vs the spread.
What I found:
Team 2009 PossPG HOME/Away PossPG
GT 67.8 67.2
Cuse 74.2 74
StJoe 73.7 72.9
Penn 69.6 68.5
WKU 66.9 65.8
S.Ill 69.6 69.8
Mizz 75.3 72.8
Kans 72.5 74.3
Boise 73.4 72.7
Idaho 69.1 66.3
Chat 72.6 74.3
Woff 68.1 70.5
Charl 71.8 70.8
WCU 73.1 71.6
Sam 57.7 57.4
Furm 72 75
Based on these numbers and team shooting % #'s games I like are:
Syracuse -5.5
Chattanooga +14.5
Furman -1.5 (avg 17 more Possessions Per game and only giving up 1.5 points) Fishy?
on sec half Syr.bet because of it.
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