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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread SUNDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.28.16

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    Hoyasaxa
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    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 4:46 PM ET #76

    Great concept here, I love the premises and I definitely believe great spots are more mental than statistical, hence Seton Hall was a perfect example...Will you guys keep this for the Tournament? Match-ups are huge there and we can all help there...

    My maiden voyage.. NHL Kings under 5-120 $$$$ 
    These teams are completely in playoff mode now, fighting it out for the Division and home ice in the playoffs...recent play has shown both teams bottling up opponents all over the ice, depending on great goalies backing them up, and the ability to score late

    Unders have been cashing in easily all week for both teams even against some average goalies...The Ducks have shut everyone down for weeks, Quick can stop the Ducks, who have mental issues as it is with LAK...

    Thanks USC for a great idea...
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    Great concept here, I love the premises and I definitely believe great spots are more mental than statistical, hence Seton Hall was a perfect example...Will you guys keep this for the Tournament? Match-ups are huge there and we can all help there...

    My maiden voyage.. NHL Kings under 5-120 $$$$ 
    These teams are completely in playoff mode now, fighting it out for the Division and home ice in the playoffs...recent play has shown both teams bottling up opponents all over the ice, depending on great goalies backing them up, and the ability to score late

    Unders have been cashing in easily all week for both teams even against some average goalies...The Ducks have shut everyone down for weeks, Quick can stop the Ducks, who have mental issues as it is with LAK...

    Thanks USC for a great idea...
     
    Tiltingchaser
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 4:57 PM ET #77

    What the hell is Iowa doing?!
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    What the hell is Iowa doing?!
     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 5:31 PM ET #78

    Losing.


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    Losing.


     
    donkey_dealer08
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 5:32 PM ET #79

    I took Colorado -4 in the first half. I thought I would get a push when he was at the line for 2. He misses the second and they get an offensive rebound and then a tip shot at the buzzer. Just more horrible luck
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    I took Colorado -4 in the first half. I thought I would get a push when he was at the line for 2. He misses the second and they get an offensive rebound and then a tip shot at the buzzer. Just more horrible luck
     
    ncaabb
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 5:38 PM ET #80

    took Colorado first half too. Just unbelievable. Arizona St. has been getting blow out. and out of nowhere they are keeping up no problem? makes no sense 
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    took Colorado first half too. Just unbelievable. Arizona St. has been getting blow out. and out of nowhere they are keeping up no problem? makes no sense 
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:27 PM ET #81

    whew
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    whew
     
    MVantastic
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:28 PM ET #82

    Thanks for the tip on colarado
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    Thanks for the tip on colarado
     
    Bigleftygolfer
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:31 PM ET #83

    Nice win for the threads with Colorado easy cover the first half backdrop was pretty bad but overall a nice cover winning by ten great cap USC lots of people won because of that play!!!
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    Nice win for the threads with Colorado easy cover the first half backdrop was pretty bad but overall a nice cover winning by ten great cap USC lots of people won because of that play!!!
     
    DURANT2DC
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:33 PM ET #84

    Colorado!   
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    Colorado!   
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:33 PM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:

    Nice win for the threads with Colorado easy cover the first half backdrop was pretty bad but overall a nice cover winning by ten great cap USC lots of people won because of that play!!!

    Thanks BLG.  I certainly knew that.  Its just one bet for me, but I always feel SO much added pressure when I know that there are a bunch of people who tailed.  Glad that everyone who didn't make a spite play on ASU were winners!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:

    Nice win for the threads with Colorado easy cover the first half backdrop was pretty bad but overall a nice cover winning by ten great cap USC lots of people won because of that play!!!

    Thanks BLG.  I certainly knew that.  Its just one bet for me, but I always feel SO much added pressure when I know that there are a bunch of people who tailed.  Glad that everyone who didn't make a spite play on ASU were winners!

     
    beardown1123
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:34 PM ET #86

    Nice win USC-Holmey, i was on that one too last night.  
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    Nice win USC-Holmey, i was on that one too last night.  
     
    Bigleftygolfer
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:34 PM ET #87

    Now I need USC to lose by less than 9 for a nice middle play! So far clean sheet today 3-0 with a open hedge play on the second half of my money line parlay! Let's go USC to lose by less than 9! Thanks again folks for an amazing week up over 20 units right now! I can almost afford to pay off that Hermes bag I bought my wife for Christmas !
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    Now I need USC to lose by less than 9 for a nice middle play! So far clean sheet today 3-0 with a open hedge play on the second half of my money line parlay! Let's go USC to lose by less than 9! Thanks again folks for an amazing week up over 20 units right now! I can almost afford to pay off that Hermes bag I bought my wife for Christmas !
     
    Hipernokia
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:35 PM ET #88

    Thanks for the tip Holmey!!

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    Thanks for the tip Holmey!!

     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:36 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by beardown1123:

    Nice win USC-Holmey, i was on that one too last night.  

    Thanks, Beardown!  Good to have another Pac-12 guy around.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by beardown1123:

    Nice win USC-Holmey, i was on that one too last night.  

    Thanks, Beardown!  Good to have another Pac-12 guy around.....

     
    eyedog
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:37 PM ET #90

    Thanks Holmey I was riding colorado also.

    Keep up the good work all !
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    Thanks Holmey I was riding colorado also.

    Keep up the good work all !
     
    JP13
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:39 PM ET #91

    Quote Originally Posted by donkey_dealer08:

    I took Colorado -4 in the first half. I thought I would get a push when he was at the line for 2. He misses the second and they get an offensive rebound and then a tip shot at the buzzer. Just more horrible luck

    I know the feeling, had 5 units @ -3.5 FH, missed it by a 1/2. Did hit for 8 units for full game though so it wasn't a total waste. 

    Nice pick on Col. Holmey 
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    Quote Originally Posted by donkey_dealer08:

    I took Colorado -4 in the first half. I thought I would get a push when he was at the line for 2. He misses the second and they get an offensive rebound and then a tip shot at the buzzer. Just more horrible luck

    I know the feeling, had 5 units @ -3.5 FH, missed it by a 1/2. Did hit for 8 units for full game though so it wasn't a total waste. 

    Nice pick on Col. Holmey 
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:42 PM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:

    Now I need USC to lose by less than 9 for a nice middle play! So far clean sheet today 3-0 with a open hedge play on the second half of my money line parlay! Let's go USC to lose by less than 9! Thanks again folks for an amazing week up over 20 units right now! I can almost afford to pay off that Hermes bag I bought my wife for Christmas !

    This is good news because it has been a good week for the thread.  If you have been paying attention, and being selective, and tailing the top guys, there is NO WAY you aren't up big this week.

    Just a piece of advice.....If you have been hanging around the thread and tailing and you DID NOT make money this week, then maybe you need to reel in your bets a little.  The Top $$$$'ers in the Standings hit at like 75% this week.  I can tell you it doesn't get much better than that and that if you are bleeding cash by betting everything that's posted here, then maybe reconsider your strategies.

    Make sure you look at the Standings every day.  There are often a lot of good looking $$$$ posts on here, but they are by people who do not have a documented good record.  I keep the Standings and results for the accountability factor that helps you know who you may or may not want to tail.

    Good luck all......

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:

    Now I need USC to lose by less than 9 for a nice middle play! So far clean sheet today 3-0 with a open hedge play on the second half of my money line parlay! Let's go USC to lose by less than 9! Thanks again folks for an amazing week up over 20 units right now! I can almost afford to pay off that Hermes bag I bought my wife for Christmas !

    This is good news because it has been a good week for the thread.  If you have been paying attention, and being selective, and tailing the top guys, there is NO WAY you aren't up big this week.

    Just a piece of advice.....If you have been hanging around the thread and tailing and you DID NOT make money this week, then maybe you need to reel in your bets a little.  The Top $$$$'ers in the Standings hit at like 75% this week.  I can tell you it doesn't get much better than that and that if you are bleeding cash by betting everything that's posted here, then maybe reconsider your strategies.

    Make sure you look at the Standings every day.  There are often a lot of good looking $$$$ posts on here, but they are by people who do not have a documented good record.  I keep the Standings and results for the accountability factor that helps you know who you may or may not want to tail.

    Good luck all......

     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:43 PM ET #93

    Thanks Hiper, eyedog, and JP13!  Glad you cashed!
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    Thanks Hiper, eyedog, and JP13!  Glad you cashed!
     
    beantownlove
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:52 PM ET #94

    USC thank you for Colorado and all ya do on here ! Any leans tonight on Cal \ USC  tonight ? Any thoughts by all please and Gl everyone ! 
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    USC thank you for Colorado and all ya do on here ! Any leans tonight on Cal \ USC  tonight ? Any thoughts by all please and Gl everyone ! 
     
    Bigleftygolfer
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:53 PM ET #95

    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    This is good news because it has been a good week for the thread.  If you have been paying attention, and being selective, and tailing the top guys, there is NO WAY you aren't up big this week.

    Just a piece of advice.....If you have been hanging around the thread and tailing and you DID NOT make money this week, then maybe you need to reel in your bets a little.  The Top $$$$'ers in the Standings hit at like 75% this week.  I can tell you it doesn't get much better than that and that if you are bleeding cash by betting everything that's posted here, then maybe reconsider your strategies.

    Make sure you look at the Standings every day.  There are often a lot of good looking $$$$ posts on here, but they are by people who do not have a documented good record.  I keep the Standings and results for the accountability factor that helps you know who you may or may not want to tail.

    Good luck all......



    Excellent advice and I will definitely continue to follow it! Currently  even with the top players I run their games against my models just to be sure. What this board does for me is narrow down my sample data size (number of games to sample) allowing me to take from a smaller board size making analysis much faster! This makes my life so much easier. When I take the time to pick a capped game I am at 62% since 1996 when I started adding computer based analysis to my normal "capping sheets". The top players on this thread have been very very good as a 75% clip is almost unbelievable just amazing to be honest!

     I was happy to add a humble pick that nobody else had to add to the money train. I will try to find 3-4 good plays a month moving forward. Thanks again USC for everything you do here this forum is an excellent source of information!
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    Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

    This is good news because it has been a good week for the thread.  If you have been paying attention, and being selective, and tailing the top guys, there is NO WAY you aren't up big this week.

    Just a piece of advice.....If you have been hanging around the thread and tailing and you DID NOT make money this week, then maybe you need to reel in your bets a little.  The Top $$$$'ers in the Standings hit at like 75% this week.  I can tell you it doesn't get much better than that and that if you are bleeding cash by betting everything that's posted here, then maybe reconsider your strategies.

    Make sure you look at the Standings every day.  There are often a lot of good looking $$$$ posts on here, but they are by people who do not have a documented good record.  I keep the Standings and results for the accountability factor that helps you know who you may or may not want to tail.

    Good luck all......



    Excellent advice and I will definitely continue to follow it! Currently  even with the top players I run their games against my models just to be sure. What this board does for me is narrow down my sample data size (number of games to sample) allowing me to take from a smaller board size making analysis much faster! This makes my life so much easier. When I take the time to pick a capped game I am at 62% since 1996 when I started adding computer based analysis to my normal "capping sheets". The top players on this thread have been very very good as a 75% clip is almost unbelievable just amazing to be honest!

     I was happy to add a humble pick that nobody else had to add to the money train. I will try to find 3-4 good plays a month moving forward. Thanks again USC for everything you do here this forum is an excellent source of information!
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 6:57 PM ET #96

    Quote Originally Posted by beantownlove:

    USC thank you for Colorado and all ya do on here ! Any leans tonight on Cal \ USC  tonight ? Any thoughts by all please and Gl everyone ! 

    Thanks beantown!  No great feels on the USC game.  USC has been just so bad lately, but they always have that potential to beat anyone.  Just going to watch the game as a fan!

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    Quote Originally Posted by beantownlove:

    USC thank you for Colorado and all ya do on here ! Any leans tonight on Cal \ USC  tonight ? Any thoughts by all please and Gl everyone ! 

    Thanks beantown!  No great feels on the USC game.  USC has been just so bad lately, but they always have that potential to beat anyone.  Just going to watch the game as a fan!

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 7:01 PM ET #97

    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:



    Excellent advice and I will definitely continue to follow it! Currently  even with the top players I run their games against my models just to be sure. What this board does for me is narrow down my sample data size (number of games to sample) allowing me to take from a smaller board size making analysis much faster! This makes my life so much easier. When I take the time to pick a capped game I am at 62% since 1996 when I started adding computer based analysis to my normal "capping sheets". The top players on this thread have been very very good as a 75% clip is almost unbelievable just amazing to be honest!

     I was happy to add a humble pick that nobody else had to add to the money train. I will try to find 3-4 good plays a month moving forward. Thanks again USC for everything you do here this forum is an excellent source of information!

    Good to hear, BLG!

    And I wanted to point out that my 'advice' in that last post was not meant specifically for you.  You said you were doing well on tails, which is great!  I was pointing that out to everyone else, and especially the guys I see who water down the winners from the Top $$$$'ers by adding in other plays from other people and then they are just trying to break even by tailing the Top $$$$'ers.

    I'm just saying that if you are active on this thread and you did not have a good week, then you may want to double-check your strategies.  I have been doing this LOCK/$$$$ concept since 2006 and this week was one of the best ever, so I hope people's accounts are up this week and everyone made a lot.  I was up 19.5 units for the week, which is A LOT for me, so I hope you guys were too.

    Thanks and good luck all!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bigleftygolfer:



    Excellent advice and I will definitely continue to follow it! Currently  even with the top players I run their games against my models just to be sure. What this board does for me is narrow down my sample data size (number of games to sample) allowing me to take from a smaller board size making analysis much faster! This makes my life so much easier. When I take the time to pick a capped game I am at 62% since 1996 when I started adding computer based analysis to my normal "capping sheets". The top players on this thread have been very very good as a 75% clip is almost unbelievable just amazing to be honest!

     I was happy to add a humble pick that nobody else had to add to the money train. I will try to find 3-4 good plays a month moving forward. Thanks again USC for everything you do here this forum is an excellent source of information!

    Good to hear, BLG!

    And I wanted to point out that my 'advice' in that last post was not meant specifically for you.  You said you were doing well on tails, which is great!  I was pointing that out to everyone else, and especially the guys I see who water down the winners from the Top $$$$'ers by adding in other plays from other people and then they are just trying to break even by tailing the Top $$$$'ers.

    I'm just saying that if you are active on this thread and you did not have a good week, then you may want to double-check your strategies.  I have been doing this LOCK/$$$$ concept since 2006 and this week was one of the best ever, so I hope people's accounts are up this week and everyone made a lot.  I was up 19.5 units for the week, which is A LOT for me, so I hope you guys were too.

    Thanks and good luck all!

     
    Tiltingchaser
    Tiltingchaser
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    Posts: 318
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 7:04 PM ET #98

    Thanks for the winner, USC. Book Bangers, Inc.
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    Thanks for the winner, USC. Book Bangers, Inc.
     
    beantownlove
    beantownlove
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 7:06 PM ET #99

    OK thanks again USC . GO SC tonight .
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    OK thanks again USC . GO SC tonight .
     
     
    easyskanker420
    easyskanker420
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    Posts: 48
    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 7:08 PM ET #100

    Hey USC,

    Thanks for posting the %s.  I play same on every wager, don't think any one play better than other.  

     Know you need to hit 52.3% to break even, hopefully the group will get to 56-57, ANYBODY that can hit 57% will make $$ in long run - the old sprint/marathon argument.

    Much respect and keep up the good work, Sir.
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    Hey USC,

    Thanks for posting the %s.  I play same on every wager, don't think any one play better than other.  

     Know you need to hit 52.3% to break even, hopefully the group will get to 56-57, ANYBODY that can hit 57% will make $$ in long run - the old sprint/marathon argument.

    Much respect and keep up the good work, Sir.
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