Posted:
#1
November: 46-38, +5.20
November Leans: 39-38
December: 65-70, -9.45
December Leans: 67-79
January: 52-39, +15.80
January Leans: 40-37
February: 63-44, +65.90
February Leans: 56-49
March: 33-18, +66.55
March Leans: 17-15
I’ve commented on these teams a few times this year (I actually think I played this total going over once already this year, if not both times), and the total’s a bit lower than both meetings this time around as well, but the spot itself is far better than the first two times these teams played this year. In the first meeting this year, Colorado State welcomed in SDSU having just gotten home from a roady at Wyoming and New Mexico (the two physical wear you down types of defenses in the MWC). And coincidentally, SDSU was also coming into altitude after having just played a really physical grind it out game with Wyoming. Fast forward a month later, SDSU plays Air Force and Wyoming to snail ball games (the second one in OT), then welcomes in Colorado State who was hitting the road after having just upset New Mexico with UNLV coming up on deck. My point is, those were typically spots where teams letdown, and while you got a little glimpse of a letdown in each team the totals and had teams going in and out of altitude, both games still hit 137 and 140. Not the case today, as both come in having just played a similar style to what each other presents today. You have both teams coming in ready to just get up and down. In terms of the schemes itself, this dynamic (and I think I touched on this a few times this year) is rare in the fact that neither team really has to change much in terms of how they prepare from an offensive or defensive standpoint. Colorado State is the type of team that frustrates it’s opponents because it will sometimes trot out four or five guards and bring your bigs out to the perimeter to guard them. SDSU doesn’t do it as much, but they’re completely content utilizing four guards on the court at a time. I guess what I’m trying to say is, that neither team has to change anything. No lineup changes to offset the other, this is straight up our guards against your guards, and when you get that situation, the tempo of the game is usually a bit more up and down. Now, Colorado State isn’t the fastest team in the country, but the reason they aren’t is b/c against teams like New Mexico or teams that have a couple good bigs, they can’t play with the four guard offense. That totally changes tonight. Both teams get to use their best lineups at all times, and the offenses should benefit from it, also noting the styles that they come in having just played yesterday. Neither team forces turnovers, nor do they rely on good guard pressure, and when you have that against two teams who have effective field goal %’s north of 50%, this one smells like a ton of points. This should be a good game, a bunch of back and forth scoring, runs here and runs there.
3* Colorado State/San Diego State Over 133.5
The Rest:
3* Bethune Cookman +2
Lean: Dayton +3
Lean: Miami FL +3.5
GL
thank you
Thanks Nropp
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