Fizzle Monday Action

Oregon Ducks 1h + 6.5

.     Did you ever try researching your own plays . If you're in the negative cause you tail blind looking for a quick come up. Marathon not a sprint. OP has won many plenty of bread it's just how you manage it. Thats where everyone goes wrong. Fyi I. Only on one play tonight I didn't follow fizz but do look at every play he post to bring maybe my attention to it bol 

OK lets go Ducks!  BOL Fizzle!  

Kansas versus Arizona first have under 72 1/2

@beats72 you think we just started gambling yesterday. Of course i do my own research! I add a play or two to my parlay and always end up losin by the leg i tailed on here

BINGO

CASH IT

Posted by hadenfizzle   Oregon Ducks 1h + 6.5 BINGO CASH IT.......  hooker off the rim  WOW...  

Unreal.  Lol overway over

I would say most, if not all who tailed, probably lost by the hook.  It is uncanny how this guy posts his plays and 90% of the time they are always 1 point better than I see on MGM or Fanduel.  He had Oregon +6.5 and I saw 5.5.  He has Lamar under 64.5 and it was 63.5.  He had Jackson State under 74.5 and it was 73.5.  

I think I know how he is "making" his plays, he is checking opening lines at some point during the day and then as soon as he sees a line move, he posts that as a play.....for example, he sees Oregon go from 6.5 to 5.5, so he says to play Oregon + the original number......he's following line moves but posting the better number for his sake.  Given he hasn't shown a ticket or explained his "system," I think that is the only logical explanation as to why he usually has a better number than most get.

Kansas under.. Cash it

2nd half?

And the games where he has the same number, I honestly think he is just throwing darts in order to keep posting plays because he loves the attention.  He had two games today with legit numbers, St. Francis +2.5 and Kansas under 72.5......St. Francis was the first game on the board and Kansas was one of the last games on the board, so he started as early as possible and then posts continuously because he is all about people stroking him.

I'm going to write down the opening numbers for both the spread and totals for both the full and first half of all of the games tomorrow from MGM, Fanduel and one other site I won't mention and then I'll compare his number again to the opening line vs what is available when he posts the play.  

Maybe I'm wrong, maybe he is so good and bets so big, that as soon as he makes a play, Vegas moves their lines opposite of his plays......lmfao.

And for those who haven't noticed, these first half lines are tight, there are so many that come down to a half point or a point, so he knows what he is doing "giving" himself a full point better than you get. 

@hatevig

 Doesn't post juice either. A lot of these plays are heavily juiced.

@hatevig  ... i tossed my papers for the night but oregon was 6.5 at fd and think like you said was on target for the other 2... often i LAY LESS RISK and play the next better ALT LINE .. just a thought.....  HAD my scare for the night on the win under 72.5 i mentioned.. that was a worse line i played live... typing to much here... done for the day... NOTE the thing about laying less and play next best alt line if you so chose... best of luck moving forward... 

@JassieJames

 Great point!!  Absolutely, it is a rarity to get one of these first half plays at -110......you feel blessed if you get -110.  Most are -118, -120 or -125

And if you try to get an in-game first half bet, they are juicing some of those plays at -130 or worse.

@PUSSYGALORE333

 Thank you for the heads up, I'm not saying it wasn't 6.5 at FD, I'm just stating what I've seen by watching here for a couple of weeks, 90% of the time he is 1 point better than what I see......and what makes it even more suspect is that he has NEVER been 1 point worse than what I see.  Good luck to you as well.

@JassieJames

 No they are not. The biggest juice I have bet has been -115.

@hatevig

 Don’t play in game.

He could be buying points as well I don't recommend it due to juice but it's possible 

Nah never said anyone just started gambling . sure prob gambling for a bit as you're in a betting forum. funny tho cause you post in OP thread about losing but your playing sucka parlays lol if that good capping and "always" losing your parlay when adding a leg you tail blind from OP, maybe just stick to your own work. Maybe even start a thread. Would love to hit those 2 leggers. Just strange folk even post about losing some plays when there's around 5278 matches in a CBB season. He's not gonna hit 85% or something crazy. Again marathon not a sprint. CBB can be brutal especially for mass players. 

I do wish you all the best tho and hope everyone in this forum prospers...well 95% lol 

@Bigtony300

 why do you say that might I ask?

You know different books have different lines right?

From my observation (random) his picks are not all consistently at -110 odds.  Many are higher as listed at the consensus of a wide range of books at the time of his posting and very shortly thereafter.   I've added those up and get a mean average of -113.5 vig

He's said a few times over the years ....his first play hits he rolls into 2nd .  Repeats into 3rd. If hits the 3 he's said before the rest of the plays he just tosses say a unit or two whereas the first few plays prob much larger wagers. So say like the past Saturday I think he started what 5-1 early games? I'm pretty sure I'm the plays for rest of the day not same wager size or never would've said that.