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Prospect
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Posted: #101
So is Charlotte -16 the only play tomorrow?
 
Captain
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by ragingstorm:

sorry about my 1-2 day. Sorry I wasn't around much. I had no heat in my house for a few days. The problem I notice is simple. You guys are looking to hard. No need to bet 30 games. BE calm and wait to pounce.
Current Balance: 2,504.75
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This is me and my friend's account. He bets 300 a game.He HAS NOT lost. He mostly wins on NBA team totals. I am unbelievable on team totals. I have won 11 or 13. I lost on the Bulls twice. Look at the thread in the nba section.

You need to make sure the % is correct. I fucked up on few games today becuase I didnt have the % right. I like the site the guy in the begingoing posted. I have always used wagerline but its true, these guys are really better. HOWEVER I do like it becuase this whole system is based on public perception.

like a few week ago most people just clicked the JEts over the 49ers. I talked my friend out of betting 500 bucks on the Jets and we all know the result. They were getting well over 70%

The bottom line here is, this system works. I may have a bad day or two or even three but in the long run you WILL win money.  Ive used it for as long time. I weas just tired of keeping it to myself.

Please make sure you do this right. ALso you have to have a decent difference in variable. Preferably 8 points or more. Good luck and godspeed. Ill be here but if I can I think Golferman and Upside have this thing pegged. DONT FORCE GAMES. They will come to you. I still cant believe I lost today but shit It happens.

I got the jist of this baby . but Golferman knows it it better I believe . Hey Ragin , do you follow line movements with the system or simply public percentages from wagerline ? When you take the dog I guess it really don't matter the percentage bet on the dog as long as it's under 38 % , right ? Thanks for the help !!
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by GridironGems:

So is Charlotte -16 the only play tomorrow?
Yes , I believe Charlotte is a play for now .. 11 point difference which is over the 8 point qualifier and 51 % is under the 58 % on the favorite Charlotte which is the second part of the system qualifier .

Also Clem - 11 , opening line Miami - 4 , = a 15 point difference ( qualifier # 1 and Qualifier # 2 is that the percentage bet on the dog is anything under 38 % , sitting at 36 % for now ..

Don 't pull the trigger too early , percentages change ..
 
Prospect
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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

Yes , I believe Charlotte is a play for now .. 11 point difference which is over the 8 point qualifier and 51 % is under the 58 % on the favorite Charlotte which is the second part of the system qualifier .

Upside- according to wagerline (ragin's tool), clemson should be -7 (clem 80.9 vs 75, agnst clem60.4 vs 62) so Clem 5+2=7. The line is Mia -3.5 so that's a 10 pnt differential pointing to Mia, but consensus is Mia 64%, so no-play.

right?

Also Clem - 11 , opening line Miami - 4 , = a 15 point difference ( qualifier # 1 and Qualifier # 2 is that the percentage bet on the dog is anything under 38 % , sitting at 36 % for now ..

Don 't pull the trigger too early , percentages change ..

 
Prospect
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Posted: #105
Upside,
according to wagerline Clem for 80vs75 and agnst  60vs62, so that's Clem -7 but the line is Mia -3.5 and that's an differential of 10.5 which qualifies Mia as a play, BUT Mia is a 63% consensus.
So No Play.
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by big joe:

Upside,
according to wagerline Clem for 80vs75 and agnst  60vs62, so that's Clem -7 but the line is Mia -3.5 and that's an differential of 10.5 which qualifies Mia as a play, BUT Mia is a 63% consensus.
So No Play.
You go with the overall stats for points off / def .. Clemson so far qualifies as the play because no matter what side you look at there is a diff of 8 points or more , so then you just have to look at the second part of the qualifier to see if you are taking the dog or favorite . 58 % and under is the fav or 38 % or under is the dog and now it sits at the dog Clemson 36 % ..
 
Prospect
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Posted: #107
Upside, I'm going to start a new thread to get out of this crazy one. thanks!
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Aug, 2008
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by Upside:

Yes , I believe Charlotte is a play for now .. 11 point difference which is over the 8 point qualifier and 51 % is under the 58 % on the favorite Charlotte which is the second part of the system qualifier .

Also Clem - 11 , opening line Miami - 4 , = a 15 point difference ( qualifier # 1 and Qualifier # 2 is that the percentage bet on the dog is anything under 38 % , sitting at 36 % for now ..

Don 't pull the trigger too early , percentages change ..
 
 
This site says Charlotte is even PS-PA using the first qualifier and Clemson is around 7 not 11. So im confused why you say Charlotte is the play.
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