i think it's a tossup...maybe the under based on how slow SC plays and how both are below avg Off Eff. Valpo is significantly taller and plays top 50 Def Eff... santa clara shoots 3's and valpo relies on 2s and getting to the line, prob will be able to against a short SC team. lean valpo and under but NOT playing either and neither qualify for me to take a hard look at
Line probably looks low because this is the first game that Valpo will play without their star Tevonn Walker. He is their floor leader and leading scorer at 17 points per game and 5 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals per game, which accounts for at least 30% of their scoring. Next closest Player averages 11 points per game.
I would use caution. The team could play great or they could be lost without him.
One thing going for you is that Santa Clara beat Valpo last year in OT on Valpo's home court. There is a revenge factor, but playing very short handed tonight.
Under might be the play!
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Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:
i think it's a tossup...maybe the under based on how slow SC plays and how both are below avg Off Eff. Valpo is significantly taller and plays top 50 Def Eff... santa clara shoots 3's and valpo relies on 2s and getting to the line, prob will be able to against a short SC team. lean valpo and under but NOT playing either and neither qualify for me to take a hard look at
Line probably looks low because this is the first game that Valpo will play without their star Tevonn Walker. He is their floor leader and leading scorer at 17 points per game and 5 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals per game, which accounts for at least 30% of their scoring. Next closest Player averages 11 points per game.
I would use caution. The team could play great or they could be lost without him.
One thing going for you is that Santa Clara beat Valpo last year in OT on Valpo's home court. There is a revenge factor, but playing very short handed tonight.
i think it's a tossup...maybe the under based on how slow SC plays and how both are below avg Off Eff. Valpo is significantly taller and plays top 50 Def Eff... santa clara shoots 3's and valpo relies on 2s and getting to the line, prob will be able to against a short SC team. lean valpo and under but NOT playing either and neither qualify for me to take a hard look at
Wow, thanks for the insight. May just layoff then.
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Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:
i think it's a tossup...maybe the under based on how slow SC plays and how both are below avg Off Eff. Valpo is significantly taller and plays top 50 Def Eff... santa clara shoots 3's and valpo relies on 2s and getting to the line, prob will be able to against a short SC team. lean valpo and under but NOT playing either and neither qualify for me to take a hard look at
Wow, thanks for the insight. May just layoff then.
Line probably looks low because this is the first game that Valpo will play without their star Tevonn Walker. He is their floor leader and leading scorer at 17 points per game and 5 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals per game, which accounts for at least 30% of their scoring. Next closest Player averages 11 points per game.
I would use caution. The team could play great or they could be lost without him.
One thing going for you is that Santa Clara beat Valpo last year in OT on Valpo's home court. There is a revenge factor, but playing very short handed tonight.
Under might be the play!
Well see, I didn't know Valpo was missing their star player. No wonder. Thanks.
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Quote Originally Posted by In2it:
Line probably looks low because this is the first game that Valpo will play without their star Tevonn Walker. He is their floor leader and leading scorer at 17 points per game and 5 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals per game, which accounts for at least 30% of their scoring. Next closest Player averages 11 points per game.
I would use caution. The team could play great or they could be lost without him.
One thing going for you is that Santa Clara beat Valpo last year in OT on Valpo's home court. There is a revenge factor, but playing very short handed tonight.
Under might be the play!
Well see, I didn't know Valpo was missing their star player. No wonder. Thanks.
looking at the card now...really wish I had a line on Cincy and Virginia....holy smokes they'll win by 50+ ..CIncy #4 def vs Pine Bluff #349 Off.....LOL!!!
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looking at the card now...really wish I had a line on Cincy and Virginia....holy smokes they'll win by 50+ ..CIncy #4 def vs Pine Bluff #349 Off.....LOL!!!
I've also been waiting on ASU and Longwood and a line just came out at -37.5. I jumped on it, 6th ranked offense vs 318th defense. Not to mention LW is ranked 347 on offense. Going to look into 1H as well.
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I've also been waiting on ASU and Longwood and a line just came out at -37.5. I jumped on it, 6th ranked offense vs 318th defense. Not to mention LW is ranked 347 on offense. Going to look into 1H as well.
I was gonna say 5 dimes @ college extra. I was thinking first half be the better option, given the fact that most teams play there bench or play no d when there up 30+. Go either way pederson.
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I was gonna say 5 dimes @ college extra. I was thinking first half be the better option, given the fact that most teams play there bench or play no d when there up 30+. Go either way pederson.
they are 4-7 but have played the 7th toughest schedule in the nation....they are 50 off eff and 204 def eff. richmond is 243 off eff and 208 def eff against the 62nd schedule....obviously both teams are products of a tough schedule to this point but bucknell is significantly stronger on offense.
here's the kicker:
richmond is short....a bottom 50 height team and has ZERO depth, ZERO continuity and ZERO returning experience
whereas
bucknell is better than avg height AND has a top 10 experience and continuity from last year plus a deeper bench
easy win and cover on the road for bucknell
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bucknell -4 -120 2400 / 2000 (extra game 5 dimes)
they are 4-7 but have played the 7th toughest schedule in the nation....they are 50 off eff and 204 def eff. richmond is 243 off eff and 208 def eff against the 62nd schedule....obviously both teams are products of a tough schedule to this point but bucknell is significantly stronger on offense.
here's the kicker:
richmond is short....a bottom 50 height team and has ZERO depth, ZERO continuity and ZERO returning experience
whereas
bucknell is better than avg height AND has a top 10 experience and continuity from last year plus a deeper bench
nevada great Off Eff but Davis plays slow and is going to HAVE TO play at a snails pace to keep this competitive as they have no advantages whatsoever....uc davis tiny and they will have trouble scoring...look for Davis to run every shot clock down and attempt to play lock down D as best as possible. If they run, which they won't, they won't survive....and playing slow will allow both D's to get set.... i see low scoring game entire way with tough points, turnovers
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UNDER 147.5 -110 1100 / 1000
AUSTIN PEAY VS TROY
UNDER 66-105 1050 / 1000
1H NEVADA VS 1H UC DAVIS
nevada great Off Eff but Davis plays slow and is going to HAVE TO play at a snails pace to keep this competitive as they have no advantages whatsoever....uc davis tiny and they will have trouble scoring...look for Davis to run every shot clock down and attempt to play lock down D as best as possible. If they run, which they won't, they won't survive....and playing slow will allow both D's to get set.... i see low scoring game entire way with tough points, turnovers
wku runs...shoots insane % from 2, fires 3s as well...belmont will run willingly and they score 44.5% of their points from 3's and shoot almost the most 3's/game in the nation....look for a track meet with lots of quick 3's and transition points... if belmont takes 35+ and makes 15+ then this should sail over...
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OVER 149.5 -110 3000 / 2727.27
WESTERN KENTUCKY VS BELMONT
wku runs...shoots insane % from 2, fires 3s as well...belmont will run willingly and they score 44.5% of their points from 3's and shoot almost the most 3's/game in the nation....look for a track meet with lots of quick 3's and transition points... if belmont takes 35+ and makes 15+ then this should sail over...