week 19

Question

30-22 ATSI posted a draw in the Winnipeg game last week....the late line moved to 1.5, but in truth I played the moneyline, which wasn&#x27;t pretty when in the last seconds the best field goal kicker in the CFL faded the ball off to the right as time expired....the life we choose to lead as a bettor to lose a one unit bet.This week is interesting, in particular one game, the Sasquatches playing by far the worst team in the league, the Als.  The fourth place team will be regulated to the East Division playoffs to play on the road versus the second place team from the East, a much easier road than having to play at Winnipeg and then if they were to win,  then to Calgary.It will be a blatant tank by the Riders if this game is close.  Could they try to lose and still win against the Alouettes?  As bad as the Als have been this year anything is possible.I would expect the books to not post a betting line on the Eskimos/Stamps game until the Riders/Als game goes final.....and then if the Riders were to lose/tank.....then we would have the possible scenario of one team, the Stamps that doesn&#x27;t need to win against another team that might try very hard to lose  in the Eskimos.If I am the coach of Sasquatches I say (to myself) "we&#x27;re a year away from being able to win it,.....let&#x27;s win this game  against the Als and we&#x27;ll get seasoned in the playoffs versus a very good Winnipeg team."Coaches tend to have blinders on and think this is their one and only chance, and if that is the case with Jones, he&#x27;d be wise to tank and go to the Eastern Division.  We&#x27;ll see.Ottawa will be motivated to win against the Tiger Cats, but usually teams do not play well in must-win games against teams that don&#x27;t have to.Prospective lines....1)  Ottawa -4    Tiger Cats2)  Sasquatches -7  Als3)  Bombers -8  LionsLeans to Cats, Blue Bombers

Indigo999 · Answer

30-22 ATSI posted a draw in the Winnipeg game last week....the late line moved to 1.5, but in truth I played the moneyline, which wasn&#x27;t pretty when in the last seconds the best field goal kicker in the CFL faded the ball off to the right as time expired....the life we choose to lead as a bettor to lose a one unit bet.This week is interesting, in particular one game, the Sasquatches playing by far the worst team in the league, the Als.  The fourth place team will be regulated to the East Division playoffs to play on the road versus the second place team from the East, a much easier road than having to play at Winnipeg and then if they were to win,  then to Calgary.It will be a blatant tank by the Riders if this game is close.  Could they try to lose and still win against the Alouettes?  As bad as the Als have been this year anything is possible.I would expect the books to not post a betting line on the Eskimos/Stamps game until the Riders/Als game goes final.....and then if the Riders were to lose/tank.....then we would have the possible scenario of one team, the Stamps that doesn&#x27;t need to win against another team that might try very hard to lose  in the Eskimos.If I am the coach of Sasquatches I say (to myself) "we&#x27;re a year away from being able to win it,.....let&#x27;s win this game  against the Als and we&#x27;ll get seasoned in the playoffs versus a very good Winnipeg team."Coaches tend to have blinders on and think this is their one and only chance, and if that is the case with Jones, he&#x27;d be wise to tank and go to the Eastern Division.  We&#x27;ll see.Ottawa will be motivated to win against the Tiger Cats, but usually teams do not play well in must-win games against teams that don&#x27;t have to.Prospective lines....1)  Ottawa -4    Tiger Cats2)  Sasquatches -7  Als3)  Bombers -8  LionsLeans to Cats, Blue Bombers

freakyfreddies · Answer

I agree all the way but hoping Hamiton is &#x2B;8 to cover and Edmonton &#x2B;8 to cover

Indigo999 · Answer

Lines are out.....big difference between what I made them out to be.My lines in brackets.Ottawa -6&#x27;   (-4)Sasquatches -16  (-7)Bombers -6 (-8)Eskimos &#x2B;3-Plays:1)  Tiger Cats &#x2B;6&#x27;2)  Bombers -6

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Good luck Indigo... Just throwing it out there..D and P:L and&#xD;&#xA;  P:season=season and p:L and p:DIV and p:F

BowmansAddict · Answer

I&#x27;ll be on edmonton  this week as well..its looks as though the stampeders are just waiting for the playoffs based on their last few  performances....However, in the world of the cfl, i wouldn&#x27;t be surprised to see them show up here and carve up the eskimos D. If cgy shows up with a mediocre effort, this could be a EE DD victory since they[&#x27;ll be highly motivated.hamilton &#x2B; edmontol ML parlay would make for a juicy payoutGl fellas

BowmansAddict · Answer

On the note of expecting the opposite in the CFL, could be worth a shot on the Als ML as well. Don't see a line yet but it will probably hover around +800.

As long as its not durant at the helm for the ouettes, imo its worth a look. Sask will play down to their inferior foe and in all likelihood who knows, a few turnovers here and there, could spell a potential Montreal victory. How many games can these guys keep getting completely clobbered before they look in the mirror and win a game to stop the bleeding? The teams got major problems: no defence, no quarterback.

Indigo999 · Answer

Nice find Aussie, would not want to back a Jennings&#x27; team but gives me pause to wonder about putting actual money on the Bombers.The CFL is a contrarian league as are most professional leagues.  The only real non-contrarian sport I can think of is NCAA football.  This year is one of those unusual seasons where bad teams have been consistently bad....I&#x27;m thinking about the Lions and Als.Of course Hamilton was horrible early and have rebounded nicely....shows the importance of coaching at this level and any other level.Montreal went into a coma a few weeks ago and they are clinically dead as far as I&#x27;m concerned Bowman&#x27;s....Don&#x27;t try to catch a falling knife!!

Indigo999 · Answer

1)  Hamilton &#x2B;6  winOn to the next one.

Indigo999 · Answer

It&#x27;s all on Edmonton (AND the Sasquatches) now.....they can choose to go East or actively try to lose.As far as I can tell, this week will not matter for the Eskimos, (UNLESS the Bombers were to lose to the Lions in the beginning game tomorrow) as Saskatchewan beat them in their only game they&#x27;ve played this year, so when Edmonton hosts Saskatchewan next week it will be for the third seed.  If the Bombers were to lose, it looks like the Bombers STILL have the tiebreaker over the Eskimos as they&#x27;ve beaten them twice.  I am assuming the only way that the Bombers can end up out of second would be a three way tie with the Eskimos and the Sasquatches, because they own head-to-head advantages over both of them.How does that impact this week&#x27;s game between the Stamps and Eskimos?.....still not interested.I expect that the Bombers will win and cover tomorrow and clinch second place.

Indigo999 · Answer

Obviously if the Bombers lose their next two and the Eskimos win their next two the Bombers would end up in third.If the Bombers were to lose tomorrow versus the Lions it would set up an away game at the Stamps in the last regular season game which if I am the Stamps I&#x27;d be very motivated to beat the Bombers to keep them out of second place........this is assuming that the Eskimos would first beat the Stamps in the second game tomorrow.The Stamps view would be to try to host the Eskimos or the Riders in the West semi and avoid the Bombers who present a higher difficulty in beating.Still don&#x27;t think it presents a huge difficulty for the Bombers tomorrow though the choke factor is heightened, with Winnipeg knowing that if they don&#x27;t beat the Lions they&#x27;ll have to go to the best team in the league&#x27;s home field and beat them the following week.Double play on the Eskimos versus the Stamps if the Bombers were to somehow lose to the Lions in the first game tomorrow.

week 19

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