Winless teams after week 4 as away dogs....8-8 ATS, however if the present line is less than 7, they've been 4-2 ATS, 2-4 straight up, with only one of those straight up losses by more than 5 points........Elks
Teams in a sequence of home dog win, then away loss and now are home favorites have gone 5-22-1, 3-22-1 ATS (-8.6) if their present opponent has a winning percentage of less than 60%..........................VERSUS Stamps, VERSUS Roughriders
Teams in a sequence of home dog win, then away loss and now are home favorites have gone 5-22-1, 3-22-1 ATS (-8.6) if their present opponent has a winning percentage of less than 60%..........................VERSUS Stamps, VERSUS Roughriders
If the line is more than -3 (when actually in a pure math sense the higher the line is in a negative number would actually mean the line is less) this moves to 1-18 ATS, which includes 0-13 ATS (-11.0) if their opponent has 4 or less wins.
HF and playoffs=0 and pp:HDW and p:AL and oA(W)<.6 and line<-3
3) Away dogs that going into the game have been outrushed by at least a net 30 yards/game before October after week 3 have gone 89-56-3 ATS (61.4%)..........39-19-2 (+5.5) if the line is less than 7 points, 31-29 straight up (+1)......Elks
Elks have rushed for 67 yards/game and allowed 96 yards/game
Riders have rushed for 86 yards/game and allowed 48 yards/game
5) Away dogs of less than 7 points until November..........260-201-4 ATS.....56.4%.....if the away dog has the lesser winning percentage......110-82 ATS, 57.3%
by day......
a) Thursday.....32-24 ATS
b) Friday..........93-63-2 ATS
c) Saturday......97-75-2 ATS
d) All other days....38-39 ATS
AD and line<7 and month<11 and playoffs=0 and day
Away dogs of less than 7 points....
after winning...
a) 0 out of their last 3 away games........131-103-2 ATS, 56%
b) 1 out of their last 3 away games........81-47-2 ATS, 63.3%
c) 2 out of their last 3 away games........52-51-0 ATS
d) 3 out of their last 3 away games........ 8-14 ATS, 36.4%
This line should be higher for Saskatchewan but people seen the Edmonton quarterback play well at the end of the Hamilton game but that was during junk time plus the that Edmonton quarterback cannot throw. He runs the ball well but Saskatchewan has the fastest defense and best run defense. He will get stuffed and turn over the ball when he puts it in the air. Saskatchewan wins by double digits take it now
Thanks for the info Indigo, how reliable are the trends you get and from what source since StatFox and Foxsheets are out of business.
"A O and 7 team on the road against the best defence in the CFL- who is perfect against the spread at home- SAS minus 4.5 all day
This line should be higher for Saskatchewan but people seen the Edmonton quarterback play well at the end of the Hamilton game but that was during junk time plus the that Edmonton quarterback cannot throw. He runs the ball well but Saskatchewan has the fastest defense and best run defense. He will get stuffed and turn over the ball when he puts it in the air. Saskatchewan wins by double digits take it now."
"The problem with the world is that the fools and fanatics are so sure of themselves and the wiser are so full of doubts."
Bertrand Russell
Plays:
1) Elks +5'.....winner
__________
2) Argos +4'.....1/2 unit
Argonauts are first in rushing offense and rushing defense, and that’s how you win games on the road. Calgary the home team getting to much love. Argos statistically look better in almost every category but stats don't win this game I understand that. Calgary's three wins have come at home but last 2 have been by 3 point and 2 points. They're not blowing anybody away. If Argos hang on to the ball and don't lose the turnover battle. I can see them winning outright. But they should stay within the number regardless. This is a Darien123 special Argos +4.5
Indigo lines next week.....note; I am not trying to predict the line Vegas will be putting out.
a) Elks -1 53 Lions...........................lean OVER, and if Elks are a home underdog I will probably be on them.
b) Redblacks -3.5 47 Sasquatches
c) Alouettes -8 46 Tiger Cats.............lean Alouettes
9) A home non-divisional favorite of more than 3 points.....
After winning.....
a) 3 out of their last 3 home games......19-33 ATS..........Stampeders
b) 2 out of their last three home games...28-36 ATS
c) 1 out of their last three home games..18-11 ATS
d) 0 ouf of their last three home games..55-70-1 ATS
HF and tS(W@ H, N=3) and line<-3 and playoffs=0 and division!=o:division
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