Much better week, would of had a perfect week if it wasn't for the command center. They can go straight to h3ll. I'm sure you've all heard about the sh!tshow by now so I won't get into it and get into this weeks games and an interesting stat instead.
INTERESTING STAT: Home teams are 13-4-1 straight up and 13-5 ATS over the last 30 days. Home underdogs are 5-1 ATS in that same time.
Out of the 8 teams playing this week, 6 teams will or could play with a different QB then who started the week before. Montreal - Fajardo, Ottawa - Masoli, Hamilton - Powell, Sask - Harris, BC - Rourke, Edmonton - Bethel-Thompson.
OTT +3.5 @ CAL Ottawa is starting Masoli at QB with Dru Brown hurt. This is only Masoli's 6th game since 2021. Pimpleton is also out for Ottawa. The RedBlacks tied the Riders last week in a bizarre defensive slugfest. I believe Ottawa is going to play hard for Masoli after all he went through the past couple seasons. Sure he may be a bit rusty to start, but he has a great O line protecting him and still has good options at WR. Ottawa's defence is also light years better then Calgary.
Again with the Stamps a tale of 2 halves last week. After holding the Argos to 7 1st half points, they went on to allow 32 2nd half points. This is also Calgary's 8th game in a row they're playing without a bye week. The Stamps are 4-0 at home and 0-5 on the road. They take their 1st L at home this week. Calgary isn't getting a consistent of enough pass rush and struggling against the run on defence which will be the difference in this game. Ottawa gets pressure on Maier and rattles him, Calgary won't be able to apply pressure on Masoli. Ottawa wins and covers. 24-22 RedBlacks
MON @ SK +1 Montreal cruised to another victory over Hamilton not even breaking a sweat. Will Fajardo play? I am sure he really wants to against his former team. He practised in full and is listed as available. Philpot is out for Montreal. Alexander once again had a great game last week albeit against an unorganized defence. You can't turn the ball over and dig yourself a whole against Montreal. The Als are the best road team in the league at 4-0 and have won 3 games in a row. They are due for some regress.
The Riders are back home where they are 3-1 but playing their 7th straight game without a bye. Sask should of won last week but the command center ruined the end of last week's' game. The Riders are finally getting healthy as QB Harris, LB Thurman and RB Ouellette are all back. Milligan has a league leading 6 INTs and also leads the league in knockdowns (10). He has 43 defensive tackles on 72 total defensive plays! Do not throw anywhere near this man. Without Fajardo starting (at least I think he isn't starting) I like the Riders to win this rematch from a few weeks ago where they should of won and let the game slip away in the 2nd half. They won't make that mistake again. The crowd noise and Rider defence will be too much for Alexander not having Philpot as a security blanket, all while shutting down the run like the Riders do well. And with Harris back for the Riders they do enough against the best defence in the league and do what they do best: don't turn the football over. Riders make Montreal one-dimensional and win and cover. 26-23 Riders
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Much better week, would of had a perfect week if it wasn't for the command center. They can go straight to h3ll. I'm sure you've all heard about the sh!tshow by now so I won't get into it and get into this weeks games and an interesting stat instead.
INTERESTING STAT: Home teams are 13-4-1 straight up and 13-5 ATS over the last 30 days. Home underdogs are 5-1 ATS in that same time.
Out of the 8 teams playing this week, 6 teams will or could play with a different QB then who started the week before. Montreal - Fajardo, Ottawa - Masoli, Hamilton - Powell, Sask - Harris, BC - Rourke, Edmonton - Bethel-Thompson.
OTT +3.5 @ CAL Ottawa is starting Masoli at QB with Dru Brown hurt. This is only Masoli's 6th game since 2021. Pimpleton is also out for Ottawa. The RedBlacks tied the Riders last week in a bizarre defensive slugfest. I believe Ottawa is going to play hard for Masoli after all he went through the past couple seasons. Sure he may be a bit rusty to start, but he has a great O line protecting him and still has good options at WR. Ottawa's defence is also light years better then Calgary.
Again with the Stamps a tale of 2 halves last week. After holding the Argos to 7 1st half points, they went on to allow 32 2nd half points. This is also Calgary's 8th game in a row they're playing without a bye week. The Stamps are 4-0 at home and 0-5 on the road. They take their 1st L at home this week. Calgary isn't getting a consistent of enough pass rush and struggling against the run on defence which will be the difference in this game. Ottawa gets pressure on Maier and rattles him, Calgary won't be able to apply pressure on Masoli. Ottawa wins and covers. 24-22 RedBlacks
MON @ SK +1 Montreal cruised to another victory over Hamilton not even breaking a sweat. Will Fajardo play? I am sure he really wants to against his former team. He practised in full and is listed as available. Philpot is out for Montreal. Alexander once again had a great game last week albeit against an unorganized defence. You can't turn the ball over and dig yourself a whole against Montreal. The Als are the best road team in the league at 4-0 and have won 3 games in a row. They are due for some regress.
The Riders are back home where they are 3-1 but playing their 7th straight game without a bye. Sask should of won last week but the command center ruined the end of last week's' game. The Riders are finally getting healthy as QB Harris, LB Thurman and RB Ouellette are all back. Milligan has a league leading 6 INTs and also leads the league in knockdowns (10). He has 43 defensive tackles on 72 total defensive plays! Do not throw anywhere near this man. Without Fajardo starting (at least I think he isn't starting) I like the Riders to win this rematch from a few weeks ago where they should of won and let the game slip away in the 2nd half. They won't make that mistake again. The crowd noise and Rider defence will be too much for Alexander not having Philpot as a security blanket, all while shutting down the run like the Riders do well. And with Harris back for the Riders they do enough against the best defence in the league and do what they do best: don't turn the football over. Riders make Montreal one-dimensional and win and cover. 26-23 Riders
EDM -2 @ HAM The Elks have new life with Tre now under center but he got hurt last week. Not sure if he is playing but was limited in practise on Wed. Javon Leake is a speed burner and Tre needs to play. Edmonton still has a terrible defence and the coaching isn't quite up to par yet. If Tre plays I like Edmonton. If he doesn't I am siding with Hamilton. If Tre is a go then I can't see how Hamilton's pitiful defence can defend both Leake and Tre. And let's not forget about Gittens Jr. or Lewis either.
Poor Hamilton, last week's game was over before it even started. A fumble on their 1st possession. An INT on their 2nd. A high snap that forced them to give up a safety on their 3rd. Hitting the upright on a FG attempt on their 4th. Wow. This team is a mess and Milanovich's frustrations have also boiled over. Powell is starting over Bo Levi which is a good start. Powell threw for 319 yards and 2 TDs last week against Montreal. Hamilton has problems all over their roster including their coaching staff. If Tre plays the Elks win. If Tre is out, the TiCats win. If Tre doesn't play I have no interest in betting this game. As of now I am assuming he is playing. Elks win and cover but that may change. I will update this post before the game on Saturday. 30-23 Elks
WPG @ BC -1.5 The Bombers will have been off 17 days before taking the field in a rematch against the team they shut out 25-0. Teams coming off a bye this year are 6-2-1. Winnipeg hasn't lost a game coming out of a bye week since 2019. They are 11-0 after a bye week since then. Lawler will be back for Winnipeg. The Bombers defence have been playing lights out the last month and if Collaros can get back on track they can be a team to be reckoned with the 2nd half of the season. Winnipeg will be much healthier and should be rejuvenated coming out of their bye.
BC has now lost 3 games in a row and fell out of 1st place in the West. Dolegala got cut today which was no surprise as BC signed Rourke. Not sure if VA or Rourke will play QB for BC but it's sounding like it will be Rourke. VA was a DNP at practice on Wed. If Rourke plays, how good will he be after playing (barely) in the NFL the past 2 seasons? I am taking BC to win and cover in a big bounceback game at home after losing 3 in a row and getting shutout by the Bombers 2 weeks ago. With Rourke playing, BC Place will be rocking and there will be more sense of urgency in BC then there will be in Winnipeg after their long break. This is like a pre Grey Cup game for BC. Lions win and cover and bounceback in a big way. 29-21 Lions
EDM -2 @ HAM The Elks have new life with Tre now under center but he got hurt last week. Not sure if he is playing but was limited in practise on Wed. Javon Leake is a speed burner and Tre needs to play. Edmonton still has a terrible defence and the coaching isn't quite up to par yet. If Tre plays I like Edmonton. If he doesn't I am siding with Hamilton. If Tre is a go then I can't see how Hamilton's pitiful defence can defend both Leake and Tre. And let's not forget about Gittens Jr. or Lewis either.
Poor Hamilton, last week's game was over before it even started. A fumble on their 1st possession. An INT on their 2nd. A high snap that forced them to give up a safety on their 3rd. Hitting the upright on a FG attempt on their 4th. Wow. This team is a mess and Milanovich's frustrations have also boiled over. Powell is starting over Bo Levi which is a good start. Powell threw for 319 yards and 2 TDs last week against Montreal. Hamilton has problems all over their roster including their coaching staff. If Tre plays the Elks win. If Tre is out, the TiCats win. If Tre doesn't play I have no interest in betting this game. As of now I am assuming he is playing. Elks win and cover but that may change. I will update this post before the game on Saturday. 30-23 Elks
WPG @ BC -1.5 The Bombers will have been off 17 days before taking the field in a rematch against the team they shut out 25-0. Teams coming off a bye this year are 6-2-1. Winnipeg hasn't lost a game coming out of a bye week since 2019. They are 11-0 after a bye week since then. Lawler will be back for Winnipeg. The Bombers defence have been playing lights out the last month and if Collaros can get back on track they can be a team to be reckoned with the 2nd half of the season. Winnipeg will be much healthier and should be rejuvenated coming out of their bye.
BC has now lost 3 games in a row and fell out of 1st place in the West. Dolegala got cut today which was no surprise as BC signed Rourke. Not sure if VA or Rourke will play QB for BC but it's sounding like it will be Rourke. VA was a DNP at practice on Wed. If Rourke plays, how good will he be after playing (barely) in the NFL the past 2 seasons? I am taking BC to win and cover in a big bounceback game at home after losing 3 in a row and getting shutout by the Bombers 2 weeks ago. With Rourke playing, BC Place will be rocking and there will be more sense of urgency in BC then there will be in Winnipeg after their long break. This is like a pre Grey Cup game for BC. Lions win and cover and bounceback in a big way. 29-21 Lions
TEASERS: 13-5 (16-5 including my 2nd pick when only betting 1 teaser game) TEASER: 7pts
OTT +10.5 I like Ottawa to win and even if they lose it will be a close 1 possession game. Calgary doesn't have the horses to blow out anyone right now and their defence isn't getting it done either.
SK +8 The Riders will have the advantage at QB if Fajardo doesn't play, are at home and have one of the best defences in the league getting their leader Thurman back. I like the Riders to win and even if they lose, it won't be by more then 3-6 points.
Montreal stays put at 1 with another dominant win. Sask jumps up 2 spots from 4 to 2 with what should have been a win over Ottawa. I believe Sask is better then Ottawa and Toronto. Ottawa drops down 1 spot after tying Sask and losing their starting QB in the process. Toronto moves up 2 spots from 6 to 4 after BC and Calgary took bad losses and Kelly presumably making his return after the bye. BC drops down 2 spots from 3 to 5 after losing 3 games in a row and looking lost on offense. Calgary dropped down 1 spot to 6 after losing to Toronto. Winnipeg stays put at 7 coming off a bye. No movement with Edmonton and Hamilton either.
Good luck!
TEASERS: 13-5 (16-5 including my 2nd pick when only betting 1 teaser game) TEASER: 7pts
OTT +10.5 I like Ottawa to win and even if they lose it will be a close 1 possession game. Calgary doesn't have the horses to blow out anyone right now and their defence isn't getting it done either.
SK +8 The Riders will have the advantage at QB if Fajardo doesn't play, are at home and have one of the best defences in the league getting their leader Thurman back. I like the Riders to win and even if they lose, it won't be by more then 3-6 points.
Montreal stays put at 1 with another dominant win. Sask jumps up 2 spots from 4 to 2 with what should have been a win over Ottawa. I believe Sask is better then Ottawa and Toronto. Ottawa drops down 1 spot after tying Sask and losing their starting QB in the process. Toronto moves up 2 spots from 6 to 4 after BC and Calgary took bad losses and Kelly presumably making his return after the bye. BC drops down 2 spots from 3 to 5 after losing 3 games in a row and looking lost on offense. Calgary dropped down 1 spot to 6 after losing to Toronto. Winnipeg stays put at 7 coming off a bye. No movement with Edmonton and Hamilton either.
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