2023 Singapore Grand Prix 2023 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Leclerc Brilliance Lights Up Marina Bay

Saturday’s qualifying brought some fresh results with Carlos Sainz taking pole position, followed closely behind by George Russell and teammate Charles Leclerc.

And unlike previous races, both Red Bull drivers could realistically be out of range with Max Verstappen finishing 11th and Sergio Perez ending in 13th.

Will Red Bull climb the grid on Sunday or will Ferrari convert their fortunate starting positions into a potential win?

Let's dive into the Formula 1 odds as I dish out my free Formula One picks and predictions for the 2023 Singapore Grand Prix on Sunday, September 17th.

Singapore Grand Prix 2023 odds

Driver	Team
Carlos Sainz	Ferrari	+195	+175	+195
George Russell	Mercedes	+230	+220	+195
Max Verstappen	Red Bull	+600	+650	+440
Lando Norris	McLaren	+600	+700	+700
Charles Leclerc	Ferrari	+700	+600	+650
Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes	+1,600	+1,400	+1,600
Fernando Alonso	Aston Martin	+6,000	+4,000	+4,200
Sergio Perez	Red Bull	+9,000	+10,000	+11,000
Esteban Ocon	Alpine	+9,000	+10,000	+11,000
Kevin Magnussen	Haas	+15,000	+10,000	+11,000

Odds as of September 16, 2023.

Singapore Grand Prix 2023 post-qualifying picks

Race prediction: Charles Leclerc to win (+700 at DraftKings)

Everyone loves trying to predict a downfall but there is more to taking Leclerc to win than that. He took pole position in each of the last two Singapore Grand Prix and took home second both times. Last year, Leclerc lost his advantage on Turn 1 of the first lap, a mishap he likely has not forgotten and wishes to amend on Sunday. 

He will start behind teammate Carlos Sainz and Mercedes’ George Russell, but the three were in lockstep on Saturday with just 0.079 seconds separating the three. LeClerc is arguably the most tangibly skilled of the three, so I'll take Ferrari's finest to pull out the win at Marina Bay. 

Best bet: Charles Leclerc to record a podium finish (+100 at BetMGM)

Despite Max Verstappen and Sergio Perez starting outside of the Top 10 on Sunday, they are still a realistic threat to climb the ladder (especially Verstappen, obviously).

And while Leclerc may be the more technically skilled Ferrari driver, the luxury of starting from pole position is definitely an advantage for Sainz. This isn’t to say to stray away entirely from a race-win prop, but more so about the cushion for a wager on Charles being worth the peace of mind.

Singapore Grand Prix 2023 starting grid

Singapore Grand Prix 2023 pre-qualifying favorites

Max Verstappen (-450)

There's nothing to be said about Max Verstappen that hasn't already been said.

His record-breaking 10th straight win in Italy means his domination is reaching new heights and his -450 odds of extending that streak in Singapore reflect just that. 

Sergio Perez (+1,000)

Verstappen's teammate Sergio Perez is the only other driver on the grid with a win (2) this season, but those both came 4+ months ago. 

He has podium finishes in three of his last four and is the defending champion here in Singapore but something would have to happen to his teammate should he want to notch a third victory.

Lewis Hamilton (+1,800)

If nothing else, Lewis Hamilton has remained consistent. He's scored points in every single race this season and hasn't finished worse than eighth. 

With that said, he hasn't finished better than fourth since Silverstone and a win this week would be a shock despite the fact he won here three times between 2014 and 2018.

Singapore Grand Prix opening odds reaction

Max Verstappen to win (-360)

The market has officially adjusted and Verstappen is now opening in the -360 to -390 range for the third straight race. Prior to that, he regularly opened in the -260 to -290 range, but has gotten noticeably shorter since the Hungarian GP. 

Obviously, that's for good reason, having now broken the race win streak record and en route to breaking the largest margin of victory in the Drivers' Championship, a record currently held by Sebastian Vettel (155 points in 2013). Verstappen currently holds a 145-point lead over teammate Sergio Perez and has eight races to build on that lead.

Perez is coincidentally the reigning champion of the Singapore GP and Verstappen's track record here isn't the greatest. The grand prix returned last year during which Verstappen placed seventh from an eighth-place start on the grid, and he has yet to win this particular race yet in his career. He has finishes of third (2019), second (2018), sixth (2016), and eighth (2015) and had a retirement in 2017.

His opening odds for this race being in line with the likes of the Italian, Dutch, and Belgian Grand Prix despite not having anywhere near the track record he does at those tracks suggests he should be avoided (for now).

Lean: Avoid barring longer post-qualifying odds

Sergio Perez to win (+1,000)

The immediate reaction to the above would be to back the reigning champion and current second-place driver in the Drivers' Championship, but that may not be the wisest of moves.

That race was riddled with thunderstorms (ones severe enough to delay the race by over an hour), a whopping six retirements, an abundance of resulting safety cars, and cliche mismanagement from Ferrari that landed pole position Charles Leclerc in second.

That's not to take away from Perez's win given he still won the race by +2.595 seconds even after incurring a five-second penalty for breaching safety car regulations twice, but the conditions and occurrences during last year's grand prix are neither normal nor reliably replicable.

Lean: Stay away entirely

Charles Leclerc to podium (+300)

Leclerc was last year's qualifying winner but gave up his spot on the first turn of the first lap, a mistake that ultimately netted him a second-place finish. He took pole position and finished second in the Singapore GP prior to that (back in 2019).

Leclerc has had an up-and-down season thus far, but results have been more encouraging as of late. From most recent working backward: he missed the podium by one spot in Italy, was forced to retire in the Dutch Grand Prix, took pole position in Belgium before (expectedly) getting passed by the Red Bull pair but still landing on the podium, took ninth at Silverstone, and then took second in Austria.

+300 is far too long of odds for a driver with respectable form as of late and an impressive showing in his two weekends here.

Lean: Bet before qualifying

Singapore Grand Prix 2023 starting grid

Check back for the starting grid following qualifying!

Singapore Grand Prix opening odds reaction

Coming soon!

Previous Singapore Grand Prix winners

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

• Sergio Perez +1,400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $1,400 if Perez wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

• Max Verstappen -120

This means that you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

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