Redblacks vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 15

Our Redblacks vs. Lions predictions expect BC to get revenge against Ottawa after falling short in a 34-33 loss last Friday.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 11, 2025 • 16:22 ET • 4 min read

CFL

Match starts: 5 hrs
BC
31 %
OTT
69 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
BC -6.5 (-105) BC -6.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Nathan Rourke BC Lions CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Nathan Rourke passes on the run against the Elks in a recent game.

The BC Lions welcome the Ottawa Redblacks to Vancouver on Friday night. This is a rematch from last Friday when Ottawa got the upset victory, but my Redblacks vs. Lions predictions are backing BC to jump out to a lead in a revenge spot at home this week.\

Here are my best free CFL picks for this Week 15 clash on September 12.

Redblacks vs Lions prediction

My Redblacks vs Lions pick: First half Lions -6.5 (-110 at BET99)

This is a rematch from last Friday when the Ottawa Redblacks upset the BC Lions 34-33 at TD Place. The Redblacks were down 30-16 in the fourth quarter but were able to pull off the comeback thanks to a missed BC field goal attempt that they swung into a TD in the final minute.

The Leos are clearly the more talented team in this matchup. Especially on offense, where they lead the CFL in yards per play (7.6), touchdowns (34), and second-down conversion rate (53.4%).

They should shred an Ottawa defense that struggles to generate pressure and is vulnerable in the back end. The Redblacks are second-last in the league in yards allowed per play (6.90) while ranking last in sacks (13). 

On the other side of the ball, backup quarterback Dustin Crum will make another start for Ottawa with Dru Brown dressing as the third-stringer after coming off the IL. Crum threw for 301 yards last week, but with how inconsistent he is as a passer, I'm not sold on him playing well in consecutive weeks.

I'm expecting positive regression from Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke, who threw for 284 yards and two picks last Friday after averaging 348.4 passing yards per game in his previous seven contests.

The Leos' biggest issue has been closing out games, but they tend to get off to good starts. They've covered the first-half spread in six of their last seven games, and I expect them to jump out to an early lead in a revenge spot on Friday.

Redblacks vs Lions same-game parlay (SGP)

First half Lions -6.5

Over 56.5

Last week soared Over the total thanks to a wild second half that saw 51 points. While I'm expecting negative regression from Ottawa's offense, I'm expecting position regression from the Lions, who had underwhelming performances from Rourke and CFL leading rusher James Butler last week.

The Over has gone 6-0 in the Leos' last six game,s and they tend to get into shootouts on the fast surface at BC Place. 

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Redblacks vs Lions odds

Redblacks vs Lions live odds

Redblacks vs Lions opening odds

  • Spread: Ottawa +9.5 | BC -9.5
  • Moneyline: Ottawa +300 | BC -400
  • Over/Under: Over 55.5 | Under 55.5

Redblacks vs Lions trend

The Lions are 6-1 ATS on the first-half spread in their last seven games.

How to watch Redblacks vs Lions and game info

Location BC Place, Vancouver, BC
Date Friday, September 12, 2025
Kick-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Redblacks vs Lions key injuries

Redblacks: Eric Starczala C (Out), Zack Peleos RT (Out)Cleyon Laing DT (Out), Amari Henderson DB (Out), Bennett Williams S (Out).
Lions: Dejon Allen RT (Out),  Sione Teuhema DL (Out), Christian Covington DT (Out),Garry Peters DB (Questionable), Jalon Edwards-Cooper DB (Out).

Redblacks vs Lions weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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