Alouettes vs Roughriders Week 4 Picks and Predictions: Saskatchewan Returns Home to Return the Favor

Saskatchewan went to Montreal last week and got absolutely crushed 37-13. These two foes will square off in the rematch in Regina in Week 4, and our CFL betting picks expect the Roughriders to get one back on the Alouettes.

Last Updated: Jun 29, 2022 3:20 PM ET Read Time: 4 min

The Saskatchewan Roughriders look for revenge as they welcome the Montreal Alouettes to Mosaic Stadium on Saturday. This Week 4 clash in the CFL will be a rematch of last week's showdown in Montreal, where the Als destroyed the Riders by 24 points.

Oddsmakers are expecting the Roughriders to even things up at home, with CFL betting lines opening with Saskatchewan as a 3.5-point fave before shifting to -4.5.

Here are our best free Alouettes vs. Roughriders picks and predictions for Saturday, July 2.

Alouettes vs Roughriders odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

This line hit the board with the Riders installed as 3.5-point favourites with the Over/Under at 45.5. Early money has come in on Saskatchewan and the Over, shifting the line to -4.5 and moving the total to 46.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until kickoff and be sure to check out the full CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Alouettes vs Roughriders Week 4 predictions

Predictions made on 6/29/2022 at 2:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Alouettes vs Roughriders game info

Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
Date: Saturday, July 2, 2022
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Alouettes at Roughriders betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Alouettes: Almondo Sewell DT (Out), Mario Alford WR (Out), Chris Ackie LB (Questionable), Sean Jamieson C (Out), Antonio Simmons DE (Questionable), William Stanback RB (Out).
Roughriders: AC Leonard DE (Questionable), Nelson Lokombo DB (Questionable), Terran Vaughn OT (Questionable), Shaq Evans WR (Out), Dan Clark C (Out), Kyran Moore WR (Out), Micah Teitz LB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 9-3 in the Roughriders' last 12 games overall. Find more CFL betting trends for Alouettes vs. Roughriders.

Alouettes vs Roughriders picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Spread analysis

Entering last weekend's matchup at Percival Molson Stadium, the 0-2 Alouettes were 2.5-point underdogs against the 2-0 Riders. The Als ended up claiming their first victory of the season in style, dominating on both sides of the ball in a 37-13 win.

While I didn't expect it to be a blowout, I was expecting the Als to win last weekend, given the tough spot the Riders were in — traveling across the country on just four days of rest. This time, the Riders will be well-rested and looking for revenge at home. 

The Riders' offense struggled to get going last week and lost star receiver Shaq Evans to a broken ankle in the first quarter. The line clearly missed injured center Dan Clark and surrendered eight sacks, while quarterbacks Cody Fajardo and Mason Fine were picked off three times. 

On defense, the Riders actually weren't that bad, but had a couple of breakdowns in coverage that resulted in a 70-yard touchdown for Kaion Julien-Grant and a 66-yard reception for rookie Tyson Philpot. Two other touchdowns were the result of an 88-yard kickoff return from Chandler Worthy and an interception return where the pass bounced off the hands of Saskatchewan wideout Duke Williams. 

Those are the kind of problems that can be fixed, especially by a well-coached, veteran team like the Riders. Saskatchewan typically plays much tighter on defense, while Fajardo and Williams are both game-breakers on offense. 

While the Als have a good squad this is still a flawed team that lost close games on the road in Weeks 1 and 2. I'm backing the Riders to bounce back with a win and cover at home.

Prediction: Roughriders -3.5 (-120 at BetVictor)

Over/Under analysis

I hit on my spread and moneyline plays in my preview for last week's matchup, but suffered a bad beat on the Under when Riders backup QB Mason Fine connected on a 45-yard bomb to Williams in garbage time to set up a touchdown with less than two minutes left. That said, I'm going back to the Under again today because it once again seems like the right play. 

I expect the Riders' offense to be better this week, but how much better is still up for debate. The line was destroyed by Montreal's tough interior last week and a repeat of that wouldn't be surprising. In addition, losing Evans really hurts, with Fajardo struggling to attack deep last season when Evans was out with a broken foot. 

That said, the Als offense could take a step back this week. Montreal quarterback Trevor Harris has an excellent arm but his mobility isn't the greatest, and he could find himself under pressure by a fearsome Riders pass rush.

The Riders' defense had just two sacks and didn't force a single turnover last week but had a whopping 13 sacks with 10 takeaways in their first two games of the season. 

Prediction: Under 46.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

Best bet

The loss of center Dan Clark was a big reason the Riders' offensive line got bullied last week and the importance of a veteran center as the glue of a line shouldn't be overlooked. That's something to watch for this week on the other side, with Montreal losing center Sean Jamieson to a knee injury. 

The defensive fronts for both teams will be able to push the pocket, which should mean a defensive battle on Saturday night. With the Under 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, I'm leaning in that direction on Saturday. 

PickUnder 46.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

CFL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Alouettes vs. Roughriders picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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