Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall Picks and Predictions: Marshall Retains Middleweight Title

The WBO female middleweight title is up for grabs on Saturday at the O2 Arena. We're taking Savannah Marshall to remain undefeated and successfully defend her belt for the fourth straight fight. Read more in our Shields vs. Marshall betting picks.

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst
Oct 11, 2022 • 19:03 ET • 4 min read
Savannah Marshall WBO
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Claressa Shields vs. Savannah Marshall is scheduled for 10 rounds for the undisputed middleweight title as their decade-long rivalry comes to a head this weekend in London.

Shields is facing the biggest test of her career, with the hard-punching Savannah ready to repeat her win from their amateur days. This fight looks to be even money come Saturday, with Shields slightly favored at -136. Marshall, the homecoming champion, is right there at +106.

Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall odds

Method of victory Claressa Shields Savannah Marshall
Win outright -136 +106
Win by KO/TKO +1,000 +340
Win by points or decision +100 +280
Draw +1,200 +1,200

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of October 11, 2022.

Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall betting predictions

Picks made on October 9. Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall betting preview

With the passing of Queen Elizabeth II delaying their initial fight date, these two finally are set to settle a grudge match that has been stewing since a 2012 amateur clash was won by Marshall. Both have become incredible professionals, with Shields becoming a trailblazer for women’s boxing and a big reason why this weekend’s card borders on being historical.

Marshall is a legitimate power puncher who started at super middleweight before making her way down the scales to middleweight and picking up the WBO title. She carries her weight well, and it translates to real fight-stopping power, with her last seven wins coming by stoppage.

This comes in contrast to Shields’ technical wizardry. It took her 10 fights to win titles in three weight classes, a testament that she is seemingly a class above the majority of her competition. Shields also possesses some of the fastest hands in the sport (regardless of sex), and she is an intelligent boxer.

Shields is a busy fighter who can suffocate her opponents with combinations, but she couldn’t knock a glass of water off a table. Marshall is the taller and stronger fighter of the two, and she has an entire country behind her. It will be difficult to score points for Shields if she gets in constant retreat or ends up in a full-on fight.

On paper, these two are evenly matched. It won't be easy to score, but we’re hoping that it ends up being a great fight to watch.

Claressa Shields vs Savannah Marshall boxing prediction and best bet

Prediction: Marshall ML

Two things stand out ahead of this even fight. First is that Shields incorporates much of what we saw from her in the amateurs, and the other is that Marshall is fighting at home.

Marshall should come forward and walk Shields down from the start. As the bigger puncher with the crowd behind her, she’ll be landing the harder shots as Shields angles for a position. Shields will be on the move and firing off when Marshall gets set with her power shots, but she’ll have a hard time with her limited power.

Either Marshall builds a strong lead or Shields starts giving up rounds later, but this fight won't end with a clear win for either woman. We’re betting on Marshall’s heavier hands and the boost of the London crowd to lift her past Shields.

Prediction: Savannah Marshall moneyline (-110 at DraftKings)

Best Bet: Marshall to Win by Decision or Technical Decision

Shields has been dropped before, but it’ll take a colossal lapse of judgment for Shields on Saturday to set up such an outcome. I'll be taking Marshall to get the job done on the cards. The height and size advantages, as well as acting as the aggressor, will give her plenty of scoring opportunities.

Shields might not land with the same type of scoring authority, and the bigger puncher tends to get the benefit of the doubt when it comes to closer rounds. We’re going with Marshall by decision at +280.

Prediction: Savannah Marshall to Win by Decision or Technical Decision (+300 at DraftKings)

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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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