Josh Taylor vs Jack Catterall Picks, Predictions, and Odds: Catterall Claws Back

The rematch between Josh Taylor and Jack Catterall is our featured boxing betting attraction this Saturday from the First Direct Arena in Leeds, Yorkshire, UK. 

Catterall has been on the hunt since losing a hotly-disputed decision to Taylor in 2022, and the underdog hopes to even the score as Taylor seeks to avoid a two-fight skid.

Boxing odds have Taylor a slight -115 favorite, and Catterall is a -110 underdog. Here are my best free picks and Taylor vs. Catterall predictions for Saturday, May 25.

Taylor vs Catterall prediction and pick

• My fight prediction
  Catterall moneyline (-110 at DraftKings)
  
  
• My best bet
  Over 10.5 rounds (-290 at DraftKings)

Fight analysis

The first time these two fought in 2022, everybody thought that Jack Catterall did enough by the end of the fight to achieve a massive upset victory. He out-landed Josh Taylor, dictated the action, and cut Taylor open ahead of scoring a knockdown to accentuate his performance. Then the decision came: Taylor won, and everyone was furious that the judges missed an easy call.

Since then, Catterall has been calling for the rematch, and Taylor is only now taking it because there are no better options for him after a one-sided loss to Teofimo Lopez last summer severely impacted his stock.

Though Catterall has been dogging him for the last two years and Taylor is determined to prove he is the better man, this version of Taylor is not going to win this fight. The thing about Catterall is that he is a talented boxer with fluid movement, fast hands, and plenty of patience. He doesn't have stopping power, but he has good follow-through if he manages to find an opening. He looks like he's rounding out to be a legitimate contender.

Taylor will need to summon whatever he has left to pull this off, and this would have been a hard fight for him at any stage of his career. Maybe he'll be in better shape since it's been nearly a year since the Lopez loss, and he's used that extra time to focus on his conditioning. Taylor should come forward and aim to raise his punch output. Catterall needs to focus on being first and not letting Taylor get away with looking like he’s landing the quality blows if he wants to leave no doubt that he’s the better man.

This is not a good fight for Taylor, who could have petitioned for the fight at a catchweight knowing that Catterall would likely have taken it. Even so, Catterall looks to be coming into his prime as Taylor is being ushered out of his, and I'm predicting that Catterall gets his revenge and settles the score with Taylor this time.

Pick: Catterall moneyline (-110 at DraftKings)

Best best analysis

I don’t doubt that Catterall is a bad style matchup for Taylor and should have won the first fight, and I’m fairly confident that he should outbox Taylor again. However, Taylor could make this fight close by coming forward and throwing with intent. Catterall plays the long game, and the problem with fighters who opt to go the rounds is that there are going to be parts of the fight where they give up if it’s for the good of the overall strategy.

Catterall has looked sharp in his recent fights, and he has all the confidence in the world, knowing that he got the better of Taylor despite the scorecards. While Taylor’s decline has been sharp, he isn’t all the way gone yet. I'm not going to go out and say that Catterall will beat Taylor as badly as Lopez did, mainly because Taylor survived that punishing beating and managed to go all 12 rounds.

Whoever wins this fight will win it on the scorecards. Unless Catterall has the performance of a lifetime or Taylor is more shot than we were led to believe, there is potential for more drama when the decision gets read. To avoid potential heartbreak, go with the fight going over 10.5 rounds.

Pick: Over 10.5 rounds (-290 at DraftKings) 

Josh Taylor vs Jack Catterall odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 5-23.

Josh Taylor vs Jack Catterall tale of the tape

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