Free NFL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Jan. 22, 2026
NE
@
DEN
Sun, Jan 25 • 3:00 PM ET
Evan Engram Score a Touchdown (Yes: +500)
If I’m taking a Broncos TD midweek, it has to be Evan Engram at this number. There are too many questions in the backfield and at wide receiver, so I’ll take a shot on the pass-catching tight end tied to a quarterback who hasn’t thrown a pass yet this season. With Pat Bryant, JK Dobbins, and Troy Franklin all uncertain, a fresh QB–TE connection makes sense at +500. Lower aDOT targets carry more value in this spot, and Engram’s 4.5 aDOT sets him up as a natural checkdown for Jarrett Stidham. This is a half-unit play for me.
Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +115)
Even with some time missed with an eye injury, Rhamondre Stevenson finished with 16 carries, which were the most for him since Week 8. He took 80% of the RB opportunities in the second half while playing 87% of the snaps. This is his backfield, and the game script as a road favorite vs. a backup quarterback has this game screaming heavy workload for the RB. Drake Maye's ball security could add a few more touches.
LA
@
SEA
Sun, Jan 25 • 6:30 PM ET
Colby Parkinson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +330)
The Rams leaned into 11 personnel at a season-high 90% last week, yet Colby Parkinson still dominated the tight end usage. He ran the bulk of the routes and finished with as many targets as the rest of the TE room combined, while Tyler Higbee played just 10% of the snaps. Since Higbee returned, Parkinson has clearly emerged as the TE1, drawing 17 targets over the last three games and scoring three touchdowns in that span. Even in a WR-heavy setup, the role and red-zone usage are firmly in Parkinson’s favor.
Colby Parkinson o22.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Rams leaned on 11 personnel at a season-high 90% last week, which might seem like a concern for Colby Parkinson, but Tyler Higbee played just 10% of the snaps while Parkinson saw seven targets. Combined, Rams tight ends accounted for a massive 33% target share. Since Higbee returned three games ago, Parkinson has 17 targets and at least 34 yards in every game with no real dip in snaps despite the personnel shift. His long gains of 35, 19, 21, 16, 16, and 26 yards show big-play upside, and averaging 5.8 targets over his last six gives him chances to top this on short and high volume.
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