NFL Power Rankings: Week 14

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The New England Patriots took a slight dive last week in our NFL Power Rankings after news of Rob Gronkowski hit the football world, but "Tom Terrific" took the ball and set things right in the No. 1 spot once again.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 2 up 1 10-2-0
(9-3-0)
-6 New England
With Gronk out of the lineup, Tom Brady completed 23 passes to his wide receivers on Sunday; his most completed passes to his WR’s since 2013.
2 1 down 1 11-1-0
(9-3-0)
-5.5 Dallas
The betting markets have finally caught up with Dallas. After a remarkable run of nine consecutive pointspread covers, Dallas is 0-2 ATS in their last two ballgames.
3 5 up 2 8-3-1
(7-5-0)
-5 Seattle
The Seahawks beatdown of the Panthers was one of the worst games of the season for the books. Seattle got bet up from -6.5 to -9 and cashed every ticket!
4 3 down 1 7-5-0
(7-5-0)
-4.5 Pittsburgh
The Steelers have now won and covered three straight since their four game skid, carried by their defense! Mike Tomlins’s squad allowed 14 points or less in all three victories!
5 6 up 1 10-2-0
(8-4-0)
-4 Oakland
The Raiders just notched their first win since 2000 when trailing by 15 or more points, snapping a streak of 72 consecutive losses in that situation.
6 4 down 2 7-5-0
(7-5-0)
-3.5 Atlanta
The Falcons moved the ball against KC, enjoying a 32-17 first down edge. But their three red zone failures and Matt Ryan’s ill-fated two point conversion try doomed them.
7 8 up 1 9-3-0
(6-6-0)
-3 Kansas City
Andy Reid showed shocking aggressiveness in the win at Atlanta: a fake punt TD and a fourth down conversion for a TD; unusual for a guy who routinely settles for punts and field goals.
8 7 down 1 8-4-0
(8-4-0)
-2.5 Denver
How good is Denver’s defense? They punted 11 times last Sunday, including eight ‘three and outs’. Yet the Broncos still won the game by a double digit margin!
9 13 up 4 6-6-0
(6-5-1)
-2.5 Green Bay
The books took a beating on the Green Bay game last week, underestimating how much market support they’d see following the Packers Monday Night win at Philly.
10 17 up 7 7-5-0
(6-6-0)
-1.5 Baltimore
After their fourth win in five games, I’ve seen some power rankings with Baltimore as high as #6. I think that’s a tad bit lofty for a team without a ‘signature’ win.
11 15 up 4 8-4-0
(8-4-0)
-1.5 Detroit
The first place Lions are now 14-6 SU, 13-6-1 against the spread since last year’s bye week, yet the betting markets still offer Detroit very little respect.
12 10 down 2 6-5-1
(8-4-0)
-1.5 Washington
Jon Gruden went ballistic following the Redskins mistake filled loss at Arizona. Of course, it was Gruden’s bad decision to call timeout before the 2 minute warning that sealed the deal.
13 9 down 4 8-4-0
(6-5-1)
-1 N.Y. Giants
The Giants most important defensive player- elite pass rusher Jason Pierre-Paul – went down with a groin injury against Pittsburgh and could be out long term.
14 19 up 5 6-6-0
(6-5-1)
-0.5 Indianapolis
The Colts are surging, winners of three of their last four, the lone loss coming when Andrew Luck was sidelined in concussion protocol on Thanksgiving Night.
15 11 down 4 5-7-0
(8-4-0)
-0.5 New Orleans
Sean Payton, following a poorly played loss to the Lions: “We’re up and down. I gotta do a better job. Obviously, we looked sluggish.”
16 14 down 2 5-7-0
(7-5-0)
-0.5 San Diego
The Chargers defense is ranked #2 in the NFL with 24 takeaways. Unfortunately for embattled head coach Mike McCoy, their offense is tied for 32nd with 25 giveaways.
17 22 up 5 5-6-1
(4-8-0)
0 Arizona
Bruce Arians was insanely aggressive on Sunday, going for it on fourth down from his own 34 yard line with a one point lead and 3:30 remaining. The gambit paid off!
18 12 down 6 6-6-0
(5-7-0)
0 Buffalo
The Bills were a slow motion train wreck in Oakland on Sunday, turning a 24-9 lead into a 38-24 defeat thanks to complete collapses on both sides of the football.
19 21 up 2 7-5-0
(7-5-0)
0 Tampa Bay
The Bucs paid a price for their win on Sunday, losing WR’s Cecil Shorts and Adam Humprhies to injury. Fifth string WR Freddie Martino caught 4 passes, tripling his season total.
20 16 down 4 6-6-0
(4-8-0)
0 Tennessee
If Tennessee wins their way into the playoffs, they’ll have earned it! Coming up after their bye week? Back to back games against the Chiefs and Broncos, both ‘top quartile’ squads.
21 18 down 3 7-5-0
(6-6-0)
1 Miami
Head coach Adam Gase following the Dolphins ugly loss in Baltimore: “I told them that one loss can’t become two. We have to go back to work. We can’t feel sorry for ourselves.”
22 26 up 4 4-7-1
(4-8-0)
2 Cincinnati
The Bengals enjoyed their best offensive game (by far) since AJ Green got hurt, with Andy Dalton throwing for a whopping 10.7 yards per pass attempt vs. Philly.
23 24 up 1 6-6-0
(5-6-1)
2.5 Houston
The good news for the Texans? Of all the AFC Playoff Contenders, Houston has the weakest strength of schedule over the last four weeks based on current records.
24 25 up 1 6-6-0
(7-5-0)
2.5 Minnesota
Minnesota played a near-perfect defensive game against the Cowboys, holding Dallas to their lowest offensive output of the season. It didn’t matter for a team that can’t score TD’s.
25 20 down 5 5-7-0
(5-7-0)
2.5 Philadelphia
The Eagles defense is collapsing as fast as their offense. Over the last two weeks, the Eagles have allowed 76% completions without a single sack or an interception.
26 23 down 3 4-8-0
(3-8-1)
3 Carolina
After going 0-2 on their West Coast road trip, Ron Rivera made the right move after the Panthers finally returned home – giving everybody two days off for R&R.
27 29 up 2 3-9-0
(5-7-0)
4 Chicago
The injury riddled Bears defense came up with their best effort of the season on Sunday, holding the 49ers to 6 net passing yards (counting sacks), fewest in the NFL since 1963!
28 27 down 1 4-8-0
(4-7-1)
4.5 Los Angeles
I’m not a political guy, but I saw this great quote on Twitter that I have to share: “Jeff Fisher getting a contract extension is the ultimate example of ‘White Privilege.’” It really is!
29 30 up 1 2-10-0
(5-7-0)
5.5 Jacksonville
Blake Bortles track record is truly remarkable. In his Jaguars career, Bortles has thrown more pick sixes (11) than he’s notched wins as the starting QB (10).
30 28 down 2 3-9-0
(4-8-0)
5.5 N.Y. Jets
Head coach Todd Bowles following the Monday Night debacle: “I’m angry when I physically get my ass kicked instead of something happening mentally.”
31 32 up 1 0-12-0
(2-10-0)
8 Cleveland
The Browns come out of their bye week expected to have RG3 back behind center for the first time since their Week 1 loss at Philly.
32 31 down 1 1-11-0
(3-9-0)
8 San Francisco
Sometimes the betting markets just don’t make any sense. For example, San Fran was a road FAVORITE in Chicago last week. Guess what! They’re favored again this week!

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.