After a strong showing in the World Cup 2026 group stage, USA now turns their eyes to a deep run through the knockout round of the tournament, beginning with a matchup against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
To help you fill out your wagers for this match, which has the Americans as heavy favorites, we've asked our soccer experts for their favorite plays for tonight's game at Levi's Stadium.
Here are our USA vs. Bosnia expert picks, with the action kicking off at 8 p.m. ET, broadcast on FOX.
USA vs Bosnia expert picks for tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| +117 | |
| +122 | |
| +355 |
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Chris Vasile's expert pick: Under 2.5 goals
Kalshi probability: 46%
American odds: +117
USA should control this match, but control doesn’t always mean goals. Bosnia don’t offer much from open play, with most of their danger coming through set pieces and aerial service. That should let a rested U.S. side dictate tempo, limit transition chances, and spend long stretches on the ball. The issue is Bosnia’s low block. They’re compact, physical, and comfortable making this ugly. This can easily be a match where the U.S. are clearly better, but the scoreline stays tight. Think 1-0 or 2-0.
Jason Ence's expert pick: Folarin Balogun to score — YES
Kalshi probability: 45%
American odds: +122
The group stage saw Bosnia allow opponents to take 68.57% of their shots from inside the box, the 11th highest rate in the tournament. Balogun averaged almost nine touches inside the box per 90 minutes, thanks to his outstanding off-the-ball movement.
He’s a live threat no matter the match state, given how well he plays in the spaces between defenders, and the priority the American attackers put on providing him service. Getting him north of +115 presents tremendous value in a match the Americans are heavily favored to win.

Sam Farley's expert pick: Antonee Robinson to score or assist - YES
Kalshi probability: 22%
American odds: +355
Christian Pulisic gets the acclaim, but for me it’s Antonee Robinson who has been the star man for this USMNT team. He’s impressed me in the Premier League for a long while now, but his performances in the USA's opening two group games were exceptional. He can overlap outside of Pulisic, and his delivery into the box is excellent. Add in that electric pace against a slow Bosnian defense, and he provides a mismatch that I expect to contribute to a goal.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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