Expect a heavyweight clash at Barclays Center tonight as the New York Liberty host the Dallas Wings in a premier Top-5 WNBA matchup. While the explosive Wings possess the offensive firepower to keep things tight, the Liberty enter in elite form.
My Wings vs. Liberty predictions favor Breanna Stewart to protect home court and guide New York to victory, successfully avenging their 15-point loss to Dallas from earlier this season.
Read on in my WNBA picks to see how I’m building a +340 SGP around big games from Stewie and Sabrina Ionescu and why I’m taking the Over on Paige Bueckers’ scoring line as she does her best to keep her team competitive on the road.
- UPDATE: Added Paige Bueckers' prop!
Wings vs Liberty prediction
Wings vs Liberty best bet: Breanna Stewart Over 31.5 P/R/A (-105)
Breanna Stewart’s game is aging like a fine wine, and she’s averaging 31.3 PRA. She’s gone for 32+ in 11 of 20 games and came up just shy in her first meeting with the Dallas Wings, going for 28.
In that game, the New York Liberty got 20 points from Satou Sabally, who is sidelined tonight. New York’s frontcourt depth may be even thinner, as Leonie Fiebich is questionable.
Stewart already leads the Liberty in minutes, shot attempts, and Usage Percentage, and she could take on an expanded role due to injuries.
Play up to 33.5.
COVERS INTEL: Dallas has allowed the fifth-most PITP, making this a phenomenal matchup for Stewart, who ranks fourth in the W in PITP scored.
Wings vs Liberty same-game parlay
Ionescu shrugged off a slow start and went for 25 and 29 PRA across her last two contests, shining against two of the W’s top teams. I expect her to stay hot in another premier matchup, and I’ll bet this one up to 24.5.
I’m not comfortable laying -4.5, so I’ll take the safer moneyline play. The Liberty beat the Minnesota Lynx to win the Commissioner’s Cup, then beat the Las Vegas Aces to win the Commissioner's Cup, and they’ve hit their stride midseason.
Wings vs Liberty SGP
- Stewart Over 31.5 P/R/A
- Ionescu Over 23.5 P/R/A
- Liberty moneyline
Wings vs Liberty player prop pick
Paige Bueckers Over 21.5 points (-105)
Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.3 ppg in her sophomore season, shooting an efficient 52.2% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc. She’s scored 21+ in five straight games and 10 of 20 overall.
Bueckers delivered 24 points in her first matchup with the Liberty, and she’s averaged 20.9 ppg on the road compared to 19.4 at home.
This should be a high-scoring game, and Bueckers will need to be at her best to help her team keep pace on the road. Play up to 24.5.
- Best bet: 14-17, -4.42 units
- SGP: 4-27, -5.4 units
- Player prop: 3-2, +0.59 units
Wings vs Liberty odds
- Spread: Dallas +4.5 | New York -4.5
- Moneyline: Dallas +150 | New York -180
- Over/Under: Over 175.5 | Under 175.5
Wings vs Liberty trend
Dallas has covered the spread in four straight head-to-head matchups with New York. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Wings vs Liberty
| Location | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Wings vs Liberty latest injuries
Wings: None to report.
Liberty: Leonie Fiebich (Questionable), Satou Sabally (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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