The Golden State Valkyries will look to extend their six-game winning streak as they visit the Connecticut Sun on Friday night.
Golden State comes in as a 5.5-point favorite, and I’m taking it to continue its winning ways in my Valkyries vs. Sun predictions below.
Read on to see my full analysis and to get my free WNBA picks for Friday, July 10.
Valkyries vs Sun prediction
Valkyries vs Sun best bet: Valkyries -5.5 (-110)
The Golden State Valkyries are perhaps the best defensive squad in the WNBA, allowing a league-low 76.7 ppg and holding opponents to a 48.2% eFG%. That will be hard on the Connecticut Sun, who rank last in points per 100 possessions (96.2) and eFG% (46.9%).
The Sun will also be without Britney Griner, who put up back-to-back double-doubles before suffering a quad injury.
Connecticut was always outgunned in this matchup, but I don’t see them posing a threat down their starting center. I’m taking the Valkyries up to -7.5.
COVERS INTEL: Golden State has the WNBA’s highest 3-point shooting rate at 40.5%. That’s bad news for Connecticut, which allows teams to shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc.
Valkyries vs Sun same-game parlay
The Valkyries may like to grind down opponents with strong defense and slow-paced play, but that doesn’t mean they always play to extremely low totals.
The first matchup between these teams finished at a total of 167 points, and the Sun have both scored and allowed 80+ points in each of their last three games.
Janelle Salaun has hit multiple 3-pointers in five of her last six games and is playing an increasingly important offensive role for the Valkyries. Against a Sun team that does a poor job of defending the 3-point line, this looks like a smart addition to our SGP.
Valkyries vs Sun SGP
- Valkyries -5.5
- Over 155.5
- Janelle Salaun Over 1.5 made threes
- Best bet: 11-17, -6.81 units
- SGP: 4-24, -1.45 units
- Player prop: 6-2, +3.78 units
Valkyries vs Sun odds
- Spread: Valkyries -5.5 | Sun +5.5
- Moneyline: Valkyries -300 | Sun +235
- Over/Under: Over 155.5 | Under 155.5
Valkyries vs Sun trend
Golden State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Friday, July 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Valkyries vs Sun latest injuries
Valkyries: G. Williams (day-to-day), I. Rupert (Out).
Sun: B. Griner (Out), S. Rivers (Out), A. Morrow (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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