The Golden State Valkyries have owned this matchup with three straight wins over New York, but the Liberty return to Barclays Center tonight eager to flip the script.
Low-scoring battles have been the story across all six all-time meetings, and our Valkyries vs. Liberty predictions and WNBA picks are riding the Under once again.
We're backing New York to snap the skid on home court—pushed over the finish line by another monster performance on the glass from Jonquel Jones on Thursday, Aug. 27.
- UPDATE: Added Jonquel Jones prop!
Valkyries vs Liberty prediction
Valkyries vs Liberty best bet: Under 162.5 -105
The New York Liberty have allowed just 81.9 ppg at home, good for third-best in the WNBA. The Golden State Valkyries have been even stingier on the road, allowing the fewest ppg at a paltry 76.1.
New York allows only 43% shooting at home, and Golden State allows just 41.2% on the road.
The Liberty slow things down at home, sporting the ninth-ranked pace at Barclays Center compared to the sixth-ranked pace across all other venues. The Valkyries are the slowest-paced team in the league overall and on the road.
That all adds up to yet another low-scoring matchup between these teams, and I'd play it down to 160.5.
COVERS INTEL: New York’s defense comes alive at home, as the team sports the 13th-ranked defensive rating on the road (112.8) compared to the fourth-ranked defensive rating at home (102.4).
Valkyries vs Liberty same-game parlay
New York’s offense gives it the advantage. The Liberty are scoring 88.7 ppg at home compared to the Valkyries’ 81.7 ppg on the road. Golden State is 4-10 ATS with a rest disadvantage, and playing its third game in four days will cause noticeable fatigue.
Jonquel Jones has gone for 24+ points + rebounds in six of her last nine healthy appearances, including four of five at home. At 6’6, she’s got a clear size advantage over the GSV frontcourt, and she tuned them up for 28 in her last matchup.
Valkyries vs Liberty SGP +500
- Under 162.5
- Liberty -2.5
- Jonquel Jones Over 23.5 points + rebounds
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Valkyries vs Liberty player prop pick
Jonquel Jones to record a double-double +142
Jones has recorded 16 double-doubles this season, hitting that milestone in 10 of 18 home games. She’s averaging 10.6 boards at home compared to just 7.9 on the road.
The Valkyries sport a 67% rebound percentage on the road, good for fifth-worst in the WNBA, and Jones can take advantage on the offensive glass.
Her 10.6 boards at home rank third in the league, and her 2.3 offensive boards are 10th. She’s double-doubled in three of her last four at home and five of her last six healthy games overall.
- Best bet: 30-36, -8.8 units
- SGP: 7-59, -22 units
- Player prop: 18-22, -6.42 units
Valkyries vs Liberty odds
- Spread: Valkyries +2.5 | Liberty -2.5
- Moneyline: Valkyries +120 | Liberty -142
- Over/Under: Over 162.5 | Under 162.5
Valkyries vs Liberty trend
The Valkyries and Liberty have cashed the Under in all six meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Liberty
| Location | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date | Thursday, August 27, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Valkyries vs Liberty latest injuries
Valkyries: No key injuries to report.
Liberty: Satou Sabally (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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