Sun vs Valkyries Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Neither offense is particularly explosive - the Sun have the worst in the W - while the Valkyries like to grind pace to a halt. This has all the makings of an Under with the total set at 155.5.

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Aug 11, 2025 • 14:34 ET • 4 min read
Kaila Charles Golden State Valkyries WNBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Valkyries G Kaila Charles tries to blast past Cameron Brink.

The Connecticut Sun will look to snap a four-game losing streak as they visit the Golden State Valkyries at the Chase Center.

These are two of the lowest-scoring teams in the WNBA, and my Sun vs. Valkyries predictions are taking them to hit another Under tonight.

Keep reading for a full analysis of tonight’s contest in my free WNBA picks for Monday, August 11.

Sun vs Valkyries predictions

My Sun vs Valkyries best bet: Under 155.5 (-108 at DraftKings)

The Connecticut Sun continue to trudge their way through a rebuilding season, as they hold a league-worst 5-25 record. While Connecticut has been awful on both sides of the ball, it has been particularly inept offensively, where it is averaging a league-low 75.5 points per game.

The Golden State Valkyries have been one of the biggest surprises in the WNBA in their debut season, hovering around .500 all year and right in the mix for one of the final playoff spots. Golden State has accomplished this by slowing games to a relative crawl, as it plays at the slowest pace in the league.

For most of the season, the Valkyries have played just well enough on offense to beat teams while allowing a league-low 77.8 PPG. But now, even that level of offensive production is in question after the loss of Kayla Thornton (14.0 PPG), who has undergone knee surgery.  

Golden State has now hit the Under in eight of its last 10 games, including six of eight since Thornton was lost for the year. Connecticut doesn’t like to play particularly quickly, either, and doesn’t have the offensive talent to push the scoring over tonight’s total. I’m taking the Under.

Sun vs Valkyries same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 155.5

Valkyries -7.5

Tina Charles Under 13.5 points

Along with the Under, I like the Valkyries to cover at home. Golden State has been the far better team this year, and the Sun came up 24 points short last time these teams met in California.

I’m also taking Sun center Tina Charles to hit the Under on 13.5 points, a consequence of being on the losing side in a low-scoring game.

Sun vs Valkyries odds

Sun vs Valkyries live odds

Sun vs Valkyries opening odds

  • Spread: Connecticut +7.5 (-110) | Golden State -7.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Connecticut +265 | Golden State -330
  • Over/Under: Over 155.5 (-110) | Under 155.5 (-110)

Sun vs Valkyries trend

The Valkyries are 10-20 O/U on the season. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sun vs. Valkyries.

How to watch Sun vs Valkyries

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Monday, August 11, 2025
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCSB, KPYX

Sun vs Valkyries latest injuries

Sun: None.
Valkyries: Kayla Thornton F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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