The Minnesota Lynx are among the strongest teams in the W, but they’ve struggled to separate from their competition as of late.
Conversely, the Los Angeles Sparks have covered in three straight and will look to stay competitive at Target Center. For that reason, I’m staying away from the 11.5-point spread.
Olivia Miles and Kayla McBride have been on heaters, and my Sparks vs. Lynx predictions expect the pair of Minnesotans to stay hot in a high-scoring home matchup.
Read my WNBA picks to see which Miles and McBride props I’m targeting and how I’m shaping a +375 SGP featuring a combo line for Nneka Ogwumike on Wednesday, July 15.
Sparks vs Lynx prediction
Sparks vs Lynx best bet: Olivia Miles Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)
Minnesota Lynx guard Olivia Miles has averaged 32.5 points + rebounds + assists in her last six games, hitting the Over five times. She’s reached that mark in 12 of 22 games, overall, including three straight at home, where she’s averaged 31.1 PRA on the season.
The Los Angeles Sparks sport the 14th-ranked defensive rating, but Minnesota’s second-ranked defense has fallen off significantly over its last eight games, ranking seventh in that span.
Miles will need to rack up counting stats to keep her team competitive in a track meet with an L.A. team that’s averaged 91.1 PPG across its last eight. Play to 32.5.
COVERS INTEL: The Sparks have allowed opposing guards to average 58.1 points, 22.4 rebounds and 13.7 assists, all Top 3 marks in the W.
Sparks vs Lynx same-game parlay
Minnesota’s recent lackluster defense will be beneficial for Nneka Ogwumike, who has averaged 32.5 PRA across her last seven games. In that span, she’s hit the Over four times. With Kelsey Plum sidelined, Ogwumike is the team’s go-to scorer and a key facilitator. Play up to 30.5.
Over the last eight games, Minnesota’s defense has surrendered 86.4 points. Despite missing Plum and Cameron Brink for six straight, L.A. has averaged 91.3 PPG, fourth-best in the W.
Both teams can score, and both have struggled on defense. I’ll bet this one up to 184.5.
Sparks vs Lynx SGP
- Olivia Miles Over 31.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Nneka Ogwumike Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Over 182.5
Sparks vs Lynx player prop pick
Kayla McBride Over 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (+100)
Kayla McBride dropped 37 points in her last game out, but this pick isn’t a reaction to that performance. Over her last seven, McBride has averaged 29.5 PRA, hitting the Over four times. That includes all three at home, with a 36 PRA average.
McBride is the team’s leading scorer over her hot stretch, and she gets a phenomenal matchup against L.A.’s lowly defense. Getting this pick at even money is a huge value, as I have it priced at -130. Play up to 27.5.
- Best bet: 18-20, -3.59 units
- SGP: 5-33, -5.15 units
- Player prop: 6-6, -1.22 units
Sparks vs Lynx odds
- Spread: Sparks +11.5 (-115) | Lynx -11.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Sparks +475 | Lynx -650
- Over/Under: Over 182.5 (-110) | Under 182.5 (-110)
Sparks vs Lynx trend
The Lynx are just 1-7 ATS across their last eight games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Sparks vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Wednesday, July 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Spectrum SportsNet, Victory+ |
Sparks vs Lynx latest injuries
Sparks: Cameron Brink (Questionable), Kelsey Plum (Out).
Lynx: Dorka Juhasz (Questionable), Emma Cechova (Out), Napheesa Collier (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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