Fighting to stay in the WNBA’s top eight and in the playoff picture, the Golden State Valkyries open a home-and-home set with the Phoenix Mercury Tuesday.
The seventh-place Valkyries are just two games up on the 9th place Los Angeles Sparks, but they are also just 2.5 back of the 4th-seeded Mercury.
With two close losses already to Phoenix this season, our Mercury vs. Valkyries predictions and WNBA picks has Golden State taking advantage of all those points for a cover.
Mercury vs Valkyries predictions
My Mercury vs Valkyries best bet: Valkyries +6.5 (-110 at bet365)
Golden State Valkyries’ biggest weakness – its inability to consistently score the basketball – bit them big time last game, getting crushed by the Atlanta Dream 79-63.
Since losing all-star and leading scorer Kayla Thornton for the year with a knee injury, the Valkyries’ offense has tanked, putting up just 74.4 points per game over the last 11 games.
However, they’re also 7-4 in that span, thanks to a defense that’s kept them in games, allowing just 76.8 points per contest, which ranks second to the WNBA-leading Minnesota Lynx.
The Phoenix Mercury, meanwhile, snapped its own two-game losing slide with an 85-82 win over the Seattle Storm.
They’ll look to knock off the Valkyries for a third straight time this season, winning 86-77 on June 5, before surviving a 78-77 decision on July 14.
At 9-7 on the road, Phoenix is just one of four WNBA teams to be two games over .500 away from home this season.
However, Golden State is a cool 8-4 in its last 12 home games and have yet to drop back-to-back games all season.
If the Valkyries can find just enough offense, they should be in this one on their home court.
Mercury vs Valkyries same-game parlay (SGP)
Valkyries -6.5
Alyssa Thomas Over 14.5 points
Veronica Burton Over 10.5 points
Alyssa Thomas has a very generous 14.5-point scoring line Tuesday.
She’s cruised by that number in four straight games, and in her lone meeting against the Valkyries, she dropped 17 points on 7-for-14 shooting.
Not to be outdone, Golden State guard Veronica Burton has topped her 10.5-point scoring line in three straight games, including 16 points of 4-for-10 against the Dream.
She also scored 17 points in her last game against the Mercury and added 16 on June 5.
Mercury vs Valkyries odds
Mercury vs Valkyries live odds
Mercury vs Valkyries opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix -6.5 (-110) | Golden State +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoneix -290 | Golden State +235
- Over/Under: Over 155.5 (-110) | Under 155.5 (-110)
Mercury vs Valkyries trend
Golden State is 8-4-0 ATS in its last 12 home games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Valkyries.
How to watch Mercury vs Valkyries
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, August 19, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Arizona's Family Sports, KMAX 31 |
Mercury vs Valkyries latest injuries
Phoenix: No injuries to report.
Golden State: Monique Billings (ankle) and Kayla Thornton (knee) out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
