It’s been a rough few weeks for the Phoenix Mercury, but there’s a gift from the schedule-makers tonight as they travel to face the depleted Seattle Storm.
Phoenix has lost six in a row, but Seattle is on a losing skid of its own while missing key contributors, so my Mercury vs Storm predictions favor the veteran visitors at Climate Pledge Arena.
Get the lowdown on this June 3 Commissioner’s Cup clash with my free WNBA picks.
Mercury vs Storm prediction
Mercury vs Storm best bet: Mercury -6.5 (-115)
The Phoenix Mercury have taken some hits against elite opposition in a testing opening month, but the experience of Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper provides a real edge here against the Seattle Storm.
A youthful Storm squad will again be without Dominique Malonga and Ezi Magbegor, and the hosts have dropped their last three games by a combined 58 points.
That makes this a nice bounce-back spot for the Mercury, especially as Seattle was 5-17 ATS at home last season. It may not be pretty, but I’ll lay the points with Phoenix - though I wouldn't take it past -7.5.
COVERS Intel: In what’s looking like a rebuilding year, the Storm are averaging the second-fewest PPG in the WNBA this season (76.4) – and they’re rock bottom in FG%.
Mercury vs Storm same-game parlay
It’s time for Phoenix’s top guns to drag their team off the mat, and my SGP expects Copper and Thomas to deliver for the visitors to quieten some of the noise around their slow start to 2026.
With Copper, the Mercury’s leading scorer, it’s a volume play – she’s jacked up 16+ shots in eight of her 10 outings this season and reached the 20-point mark three times in May. The shooting percentages have been ugly, but she’ll meet less resistance on her drives tonight.
Thomas’ rebounding numbers are falling short of the highs of recent years, but she should feast against Seattle’s depleted frontcourt and is an obvious beneficiary of the hosts’ poor shooting. As long as this game is close, expect Thomas to log 35+ minutes to nudge Phoenix towards a much-needed win.
Mercury vs Storm SGP
- Mercury moneyline
- Kahleah Copper Over 19.5 points
- Alyssa Thomas Over 7.5 rebounds
- Best bet: 6-5, +1.60 units
- SGP: 2-9, -1.75 units
Mercury vs Storm odds
- Spread: Mercury -6.5 | Storm +6.5
- Moneyline: Mercury -260 | Storm +210
- Over/Under: Over 161.0 | Under 161.0
Mercury vs Storm trend
The Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Mercury vs Storm
| Location | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Wednesday, June 3, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KPHE, KUNS |
Mercury vs Storm latest injuries
Mercury: Sammi Whitcomb (Out).
Storm: Dominique Malonga (Out), Ezi Magbegor (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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