The Minnesota Lynx may not be covering spreads (2-5 ATS this season), but they are still taking care of business. This 7-0 start should reach 8-0 tonight against the Phoenix Mercury, especially considering Minnesota beat Phoenix on Friday despite missing superstar Napheesa Collier.
My Mercury vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks will double down on the best player from that particular game, even if Collier is back in the lineup on Tuesday, June 3.
Mercury vs Lynx predictions
My Mercury vs Lynx best bet: Kayla McBride Over 15.5 points (+124 at DraftKings)
Kayla McBride poured in 20 points against the Phoenix Mercury on Friday, buoyed by going 9-for-9 from the free-throw line. That output might make this bet seem like a no-brainer, but remember Collier was not in the lineup. McBride and Alanna Smith both saw more work, combining to go 12 of 26 from the field for 39 points.
McBride is rarely as inefficient as she was in that game, going just 4-for-11 from the field, though 3-for-7 from deep. In her other two games this season, she has combined to go 10 of 18 from the field, adding 5 of 9 from deep.
That efficiency is why faith should be put into McBride tonight, particularly with Collier back on the court. The Minnesota Lynx leader may win both the MVP and Defensive Player of the Year this season. Averaging 26.3 points on 51.4% shooting will help make that happen.
McBride is at her best when Collier demands the defense’s attention. This is what makes Minnesota something for everyone in the WNBA to fear.
Phoenix may have the second-best defense in the WNBA by rating and the No. 2 defense in opposing 3-point percentage, but much of those successes came with Alyssa Thomas directing the defense. With her being sidelined by a calf injury, the Mercury simply do not have the defenders to match up with the Lynx’s multifaceted offense.
That will give McBride open looks. She may not take the 11 shots she did on Friday, but she should not need to in order to clear this prop for the third time in four games this season.
Mercury vs Lynx same-game parlay (SGP)
Kayla McBride Over 15.5 points
Satou Sabally Over 21.5 points
Lynx moneyline
In two games without Thomas, Satou Sabally has scored 26 and 24 points. The Mercury offense hinges on her right now, severely limited in other options at offensive creation.
As long as Thomas is sidelined, Sabally should produce in volume, though less likely in efficiency.
That kind of mismatch should sum up why the Lynx moneyline is included in this same-game parlay. While Minnesota has at least four offensive weapons — Courtney Williams joining the aforementioned three — Phoenix has just one.
Mercury vs Lynx odds
Mercury vs Lynx live odds
Mercury vs Lynx opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +11.5 | Minnesota -11.5
- Moneyline: Phoenix +500 | Minnesota -800
- Over/Under: Over 158.5 | Under 158.5
Mercury vs Lynx trend
Minnesota has gone 0-5 against the spread in its last five games, favored in all five of them and by double digits in three of them. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Lynx.
How to watch Mercury vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-3-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN3 |
Mercury vs Lynx latest injuries
Mercury: Kahleah Copper (Out), Natasha Mack (Out), Alyssa Thomas (Out).
Lynx: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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