Caitlin Clark delivered the WNBA’s first 40-point, 10-assist game on Friday night to lead the Indiana Fever to a narrow win over Seattle, but the home team gets a stiffer test on Saturday when it faces the New York Liberty on zero rest and are +2.5 home underdogs.
Clark is expected to take the court tonight, but my Liberty vs. Fever predictions expect fellow three-point specialist Sabrina Ionescu to lead her team to victory on the road.
Read my WNBA picks to see how I’m crafting a +650 SGP featuring combo props for Ionescu and Jonquel Jones in a high-scoring matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Liberty vs Fever prediction
Liberty vs Fever best bet: Sabrina Ionescu Over 25.5 points+rebounds+assists (-110)
Sabrina Ionescu started her 2026 campaign averaging just 9.5 points and 1.3 triples across 27.8 minutes per game while shooting 34.6% from the floor.
Over her last four games, the New York Liberty guard has found her footing, averaging 21 points and 2.8 triples per game in 34 minutes while shooting 43.1%. She’s scored 25+ points in back-to-back games and posted 26+ PRAs in three of four.
The Indiana Fever defense ranks in the Top 5 in most points, rebounds and assists allowed to guards over the last five games, setting Ionescu up nicely to cash this line up to 27.5.
COVERS INTEL: Over the last four games, Sabrina Ionescu is one of only three players who has averaged at least 20 points, four rebounds and six assists, along with Paige Bueckers and Caitlin Clark.
Liberty vs Fever same-game parlay
Jonquel Jones has recorded a double-double in four straight, and she’s reached that milestone nine times this season, good for sixth-most in the W.
In 11 career matchups with Aliyah Boston, Jones has posted six double-doubles and recorded 10+ boards eight times. Even if Boston (GTD) is available, Jones can get the job done.
The Fever are 9-5 to the Over at home, and the Liberty are 9-2 to the Over on the road. Both teams are 7-3 to the Over across their last 10, and the Game Total has gone Over in four of the last five H2H matchups.
Liberty vs Fever SGP
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 25.5 points+rebounds+assists
- Jonquel Jones to Record a double-double
- Liberty moneyline
Liberty vs Fever player prop pick
Caitlin Clark Over 17.5 points (-125)
After a rough, three-game stretch averaging just 11.3 points in 22 minutes, Caitlin Clark went off for a career-best 45 points on Friday while logging 29 minutes.
New York’s three-point defense has not been nearly as stout as the Seattle Storm’s, and Clark knocked down six treys against the Storm in Friday’s historic performance.
Clark has scored 18+ in 14 of 21 games this season, and her probable tag for the second leg of a back-to-back set indicates that she’s getting closer to full health.
I’ll bet this one up to 19.5.
- Best bet: 19-20, -2.72 units
- SGP: 5-34, -6.15 units
- Player prop: 6-7, -1.89 units
Liberty vs Fever odds
- Spread: Liberty -2.5 | Fever +2.5
- Moneyline: Liberty -130 | Fever +110
- Over/Under: Over 181.5 | Under 181.5
Liberty vs Fever trend
The Liberty have won and covered the spread in three straight H2H matchups with the Fever. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Liberty vs Fever
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date | Saturday, July 18, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Liberty vs Fever latest injuries
Liberty: Leonie Fiebich (Out), Satou Sabally (Out).
Fever: Aliyah Boston (Questionable), Caitlin Clark (Probable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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