The Indiana Fever are in danger of looking at the playoff picture from the outside. Losing its last two has pushed Indiana to just one game inside the WNBA’s Top 8. But do not simply fault Caitlin Clark’s absence for those struggles.
In fact, Indiana has done well without Clark, which should worry the Las Vegas Aces tonight.
My Aces vs. Fever predictions and WNBA picks trust the home team even without Clark. Tip comes at 7:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, July 24.
Aces vs Fever predictions
My Aces vs Fever best bet: Indiana moneyline (+115 at bet365)
Losing two in a row on the road to the New York Liberty while without your best player should not be seen as too concerning. The Indiana Fever were 9-point underdogs in both games, and while they did fall short of even covering those spreads, one of those ATS failings came because of a lopsided fourth quarter.
Indiana has held up well without Caitlin Clark, going 5-5 both outright and against the spread without her before those two losses to the Liberty.
Do not dismiss the Fever simply because Clark is sidelined.
A similar thought can be applied in the opposite direction to the Las Vegas Aces. They are sitting sixth in the WNBA standings because of regular struggles this season. They had not won three straight games until this stretch bookending the All-Star Break.
But Las Vegas was at least a 3-point favorite in each of those games, and a three-bucket favorite in one of them. The team should have won those games. The Aces went an uninspiring 1-2 against the spread, barely surviving two games as short favorites.
Do not endorse the Aces simply because they have seemingly turned a corner.
This plus-money chance on the home team provides value both in trusting Indiana and fading Las Vegas.
Aces vs Fever same-game parlay (SGP)
Fever moneyline
A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 points
Kelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 points
Clark’s absence emphasizes Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston in the Fever system. Las Vegas’s best approach to stymying Boston may be to lean on A’ja Wilson on the other end of the court.
If Boston is spending an abundance of energy defending the three-time MVP, that should lead to Indiana running more of its offense through Mitchell, who has the highest usage rate on the Fever roster aside from Clark.
Aces vs Fever odds
Aces vs Fever live odds
Aces vs Fever opening odds
- Spread: Las Vegas -1.5 (-110) | Indiana +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas -140 | Indiana +105
- Over/Under: Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110)
Aces vs Fever trend
The Fever are 2-2 outright as underdogs without Caitlin Clark in their last four such games, including an upset win against the Aces. Find more WNBA betting trends for Aces vs. Fever.
How to watch Aces vs Fever
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date | Thursday, 7-24-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Aces vs Fever latest injuries
Aces: Cheyenne Parker-Tyus F (Out).
Fever: Caitlin Clark G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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