UFC 259 Makhachev vs Dober Picks: Playing Favorites

Islam Makhachev is hoping to follow in the hallowed footsteps of his training partner Khabib Nurmagomedov, and enters his lightweight bout vs. Drew Dober as a huge -355 favorite.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Mar 4, 2021 • 15:20 ET
Islam Makhachev UFC 259
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Islam Makhachev vs Drew Dober is on the main card for UFC 259 betting on March 6. 

This should be an intriguing fight with the promising Makhachev looking to continue his rise up the lightweight rankings. UFC betting lines have Makhachev installed as a significant -355 favorite for this bout, while Dober comes back at +270. 

We bring you our best Makhachev vs Dober picks and predictions for UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6 from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Makhachev vs Dober fight odds

Method of Victory Islam Makhachev Drew Dober
Win Outright -355 +270
Win by KO/TKO +750 +550
Win by Points -115 +850
Win by Submission +420 +1,600
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Makhachev vs Dober betting preview

Islam Makhachev might be best known for training with Khabib Nurmagomedov, but he's a very good fighter in his own right and is currently ranked at No. 14 in the lightweight division. 

Makhachev is on a six-fight winning streak, although he hasn't entered the octagon in 18 months due to travel restrictions and a subsequent staph infection. The 29-year-old is an excellent wrestler with ferocious ground-and-pound, and strong submission skills.

Drew Dober has won three consecutive fights by way of knockout, most recently a second-round TKO over Alexander Hernandez last May which earned Performance of the Night honors. 

Dober hasn't faced the toughest competition since entering the UFC in 2014, but he's now 6-1 over his last seven fights and continues to develop as a fighter. The Southpaw has solid boxing and has improved his scrambling. 

Makhachev vs Dober tale of the tape

Islam Makhachev   Drew Dober
29 Age 32
5-foot-10 Height 5-foot-8
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
70 inches Reach 70 inches
18-1-0 (3 KO) Record 23-9-0 (11 KO)

Makhachev vs Dober UFC prediction and betting pick

PREDICTION: Makhachev to win by points -115 - Dober's striking has looked very sharp in his most recent bouts but Makhachev has the ability to shut down the offense of his opponents. 

Makhachev absorbs just 0.76 significant strikes per minute which is a testament to how well he stifles foes with his dominant wrestling. He also averages 3.4 takedowns per minute which could spell trouble for Dober and his questionable takedown defense. 

With four of Makhachev's last six wins coming by points, expect him to control this fight on the ground and take the decision.

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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