UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark picks and predictions

Anthony Smith is priced as a -110 pick'em against Devin Clark at UFC Fight Night, but he is the more well-rounded fighter with superior striking and finishing ability.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 22, 2020 • 14:02 ET
UFC Fighter Anthony Smith
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Editor's note: This preview was written before the fight was elevated to main event. The previous headline fight, between Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis, was removed Friday morning after Blaydes tested positive for COVID-19. 

Anthony Smith vs. Devin Clark is on the main card at UFC Fight Night betting on Saturday, November 28 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.  

This fight is expected to be a close one with UFC odds hitting the board for this bout as a pick'em as both Smith and Clark are installed at -110.  

We break down the UFC betting odds for this light heavyweight battle as we bring you our picks and predictions for Smith vs. Clark at UFC Fight Night on November 28.

Smith vs Clark Fight Odds

Method of Victory Anthony Smith Devin Clark
Win outright -110 -110
Win by KO/TKO +300 +700
Win by points +420 +195
Win by submission +460 +1,200
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Smith vs Clark Betting Preview

Anthony "Lionheart" Smith is the No. 6-ranked light heavyweight despite coming off back-to-back losses, a decision defeat against Aleksandr Rakic in August and a brutal ground-and-pound beatdown at the hands of Glover Teixeira earlier in the year.

Despite those losses, Lionheart is still 7-4 in his last 11 UFC fights, with all seven of those victories coming by stoppage. Smith is a well-rounded fighter, who managed to submit Alexander Gustaffson and Volkan Oezdemir in his last two wins, but also has polished striking ability.

 

Devin "Brown Bear" Clark is coming off back-to-back decision wins against Alonzo Menifield and Dequan Townsend. He's now 4-3 in his last seven fights dating back to 2017.

With a background in wrestling, Brown Bear is the type of fighter that grinds out wins with leg kicks, clinching and top control. 

Smith vs Clark Tale of the Tape

Anthony Smith   Devin Clark
32 Age 30
6-foot-4 Height 6-foot
205 lbs Weight 205 lbs
76 inches Reach 75 inches
33-16-0 (19 KO) Record 16-3-0 (3 KO)

Smith vs Clark UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Smith to win -110 - Although Smith has taken a fair amount of damage in his career, he's still relatively young at 32. As his nickname Lionheart suggests, Smith is tough as nails and Clark has zero knockouts in 10 UFC fights so don't expect that chin to be tested.

Smith might be 1-3 in his last four fights but those losses have come against some of the top light heavyweights around: the GOAT Jon Jones, No. 1 contender Teixeira and Rakic, who is currently ranked No. 4. Lionheart should find the going easier against the unranked Clark.

Clark is a strong wrestler but Smith is more well-rounded and has superior striking and finishing ability. Grab Smith at a pick'em price before the line inevitably moves in his direction.  

 

Where Can I Bet on UFC Fight Night Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available. 

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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