UFC Fight Night Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates Predictions, Picks & Odds

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 1, 2026 , 11:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Howard’s prediction: After losing the welterweight belt to Islam Makhachev, expect Jack Della Maddalena to bounce back in Perth.

Jack Della Maddalena reacts after defeating Belal Muhammad.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jack Della Maddalena reacts after defeating Belal Muhammad.

The stakes couldn’t be higher as former welterweight champion Jack Della Maddalena takes on rising sensation Carlos Prates in the main event of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card.

Prates is a narrow -120 favorite, while Della Maddalena sits as a +100 underdog in the latest UFC odds.

Della Maddalena has a tough assignment after losing his welterweight title, but his championship experience and sharper striking will be enough to outpace Prates.

Read more in my Della Maddalena vs. Prates predictions and free betting picks for Saturday, May 2.

Della Maddalena vs Prates fight prediction: Della Maddalena moneyline (+100)

Della Maddalena vs Prates
May 2 • UFC Fight Night
Fight Prediction
Della Maddalena moneyline (+100)
Bet now at BET99

Carlos Prates brings hype, but Jack Della Maddalena boasts proven results and a championship pedigree. 

Prates came up short in his last step-up fight against Ian Garry, and Della Maddalena offers a comparable style with better durability. His sharp jab and disciplined footwork should keep Prates at range and disrupt his rhythm.

As long as Della Maddalena avoids defensive lapses, he's set to control the fight and pull away late.

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Della Maddalena vs Prates best bet: Della Maddalena by decision (+350)

Della Maddalena vs Prates
May 2 • UFC Fight Night
Best bet
Della Maddalena by decision (+350)
Bet now at BET99

Prates needs to dictate pace to be effective, but Della Maddalena’s jab and movement should keep him resetting. 

While Prates carries more raw power and can threaten late, Della Maddalena’s composure, experience, and technical edge will win the exchanges over time. 

This sets up as a competitive, controlled striking fight, with Della Maddalena doing the cleaner work across the rounds and prevailing by decision.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Expect a striking battle, as Della Maddalena has the only takedown between the two since joining the UFC.

Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates odds

Bet99
Method of Victory Della Maddalena Prates
To win outright +100 -120
To win by KO/TKO +240 +150
To win by decision +350 +500
To win by submission +1900 +2000
Total rounds Over 3.5
-120
Under 3.5
-110

Odds as of 5-2.

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Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates tale of the tape

Della Maddalena   Prates
29 Age 32
5-foot-11 Height 6-foot-1
Welterweight Weight Class Welterweight
73 inches Reach 78 inches
18-3 Record 23-7
12 Wins by KO 18
2 Wins by submission 3

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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