Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber Predictions, Picks & Odds

Erin Blanchfield takes on Maycee Barber in the main event for UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas tonight.

This will be an intriguing clash between a pair of Top-5 flyweights, and UFC odds have Blanchfield installed as a -250 favorite.

Here are my best free UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Barber predictions for Saturday, May 31. 

Blanchfield vs Barber prediction and best bet

• My fight prediction: Blanchfield moneyline (-225 at BET99)
  
  
• My best bet: Blanchfield by submission or decision (-175 at BET99)

Fight analysis

Maycee Barber is the No. 5-ranked women's flyweight contender, and she enters this event on a six-fight win streak. That said, she was fortunate to get her hand raised in controversial decision wins against Andrea Lee and Miranda Maverick.

Meanwhile, Erin Blanchfield is 7-1 in the UFC and is one spot ahead of Barber in the flyweight rankings. She's coming off a win against Rose Namajunas in November, which allowed her to bounce back from a decision loss to No. 2 contender Manon Fiorot.

Barber has impressive physicality and power, but there's a decent gap in skill between the two fighters. This becomes especially evident on the ground, where Blanchfield boasts some of the best grappling in the division and Barber struggles with takedown defense.

Blanchfield doesn't have great offensive wrestling, but she'll be able to drag this fight to the mat due to Barber's tendency to stand in the pocket and clinch. Once this fight hits the deck, Blanchfield's transitions and dominant top control will be able to grind out rounds.

It's also worth noting that this will be Barber's first fight scheduled for five rounds. Her cardio is a bit of a question mark since she's been dealing with health issues that have kept her sidelined since March 2024.

Blanchfield has gone the full 25 minutes in her last two fights, and she knows how to dig deep in the championship rounds. That experience, along with her significant grappling advantage, should lead to victory tonight. 

Best bet analysis

I loved Blanchfield when her line opened at -175, but I think that ML price is a bit too steep at -250. That said, we can chop that price down to -190 if you bet on her to win by submission or decision.

Keep in mind that Blanchfield hasn't won by KO/TKO in her last nine fights. She doesn't have a single knockdown in the promotion and will likely avoid the stand-up since Barber is the superior striker.

Blanchfield is an elite grappler with a black belt in BJJ and high-end submission ability. She'll either hand Barber her first submission loss or grind out a decision victory with her top control.

Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber odds

Method of Victory	Blanchfield	Barber
To win outright	-225	+185
To win by KO/TKO	+1050	+575
To win by decision	+105	+425
To win by submission	+380	+1700
Draw	+2500	+2500

Odds as of 5-31.

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Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber tale of the tape

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