A rematch five years in the making sees Alexa Grasso and Maycee Barber at a crossroads, with Barber looking to avenge her previous loss.
Barber is the favorite at -190 in the UFC odds, while former champion Grasso is a +150 underdog.
Barber comes into this fight with all the momentum as Grasso attempts to get her career back on track. My Grasso vs. Barber predictions and free betting picks favor Barber grinding out a revenge victory.
Grasso vs Barber fight prediction: Barber moneyline (-190)
After scoring the upset of a lifetime vs. Valentina Shevchenko, Alexa Grasso has gone 0-2-1 since.
Maycee Barber hasn’t lost a fight since her 2021 defeat to Grasso, and her striking, along with her pressure and output, has improved since.
Barber is going to make this a physical fight and keep things aggressive. She’ll close the chapter with an authoritative win over an old foe.
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Grasso vs Barber best bet: Barber by decision (+100)
Barber pushes fighters into clinches, and Grasso prefers to keep the fight at a distance, but both fighters tend to fight the full 15 minutes. Their durability is also top-tier for the division, so anything less than a decision will come as a surprise.
Grasso looked flat and mentally drained in her last fight against Natalia Silva, a sign that her confidence might have been shattered in the Shevchenko rematches, whereas Barber has refined her skills and is fighting with all the momentum.
My best bet is that Barber’s pressure and forward movement secure her a decision win.
COVERS INTEL: Since their first fight in 2021, Barber has a +1.68 significant strikes landed per minute differential, compared to Grasso’s +0.68.Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Grasso | Barber |
| To win outright | +150 | -190 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +2900 | +550 |
| To win by decision | +185 | +100 |
| To win by submission | +1550 | +975 |
| Total rounds | Over 2.5 -500 |
Under 2.5 +350 |
Odds as of 3-28.
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Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber tale of the tape
| Grasso | Barber | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 27 |
| 5-foot-5 | Height | 5-foot-5 |
| Flyweight | Weight Class | Flyweight |
| 66 inches | Reach | 65 inches |
| 16-5-1 | Record | 15-2 |
| 4 | Wins by KO | 6 |
| 2 | Wins by submission | 2 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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