French Open 2023 Men's Semifinal Odds and Predictions: In For the Long Haul

In what should be an explosive semifinal match, Alexander Zverev and Casper Ruud measure up fairly evenly — and our French Open picks think that lack of disparity houses the best betting value.

Last Updated: Jun 8, 2023 7:26 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Alexander Zverev French Open
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Just four men remain in the single’s draw at the French Open, and while one semifinal has the biggest names, the other may steal the show.

Alexander Zverev has made an improbable rise back to the top of the men’s game and will now face his toughest test in World No. 4 Casper Ruud.

Let’s take a look at how to bet Friday’s second semifinal in our French Open betting picks and predictions.

French Open Men's Semifinal #2 picks and predictions

Click on each prediction to read full analysis.

Best French Open Open bonuses

Looking to bet on some French Open action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet up to $2,500Sign Up Now

B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best betting promotions for 2023.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Zverev odds and picks

(4) Casper Ruud (22) Alexander Zverev
-205 Moneyline +170
-4.5 (+105) Game spread +4.5 (-130)
Over 38.5 (+105) Total games Under 38.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on June 7, 2023.

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Zverev match prediction

This one is a tough call, and there’s little value in the line. While Casper Ruud appears to have played himself into form here in Paris, he’s been relatively untested to this point. Alexander Zverev, too, has faced just one quality opponent to get to this point.

This match, to me, is going to be all about who can hold their nerve. Ruud was gift-wrapped the first two sets against a tired Holger Rune before tightening up in the third and nearly letting the match go five. He continued to make errors off the backhand wing and looked incredibly vulnerable throughout.

Yes, Zverev has had issues with his nerves as well, but his game is more advanced at this stage. He’s been ripping his backhand like he did last year at this tournament, when he looked poised to overcome Rafael Nadal. The backhand-to-backhand trade should prove to be a tough one for Ruud, and I ultimately have to side with the German here.

Prediction: Zverev moneyline (-110 at BetMGM)

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Zverev best bet

Remember what I said about holding your nerve? Well, neither one of these guys has really been great at doing it throughout their careers. Even in the quarters, Zverev gave back his set lead by dropping the second and went down an early break in the third. He also looked shaky in closing out the match in the fourth, even though he would ultimately serve it out.

Ruud is better than Tomas Etcheverry, and I suspect should Zverev lose focus, the Norwegian should pounce. I expect a very back-and-forth match with Zverev’s big game ultimately being too much for Ruud to overcome.

No matter who finds themselves in the lead, I don’t think it’ll be easy to hold onto. Even in the quarters, Ruud blew four match points against a tired Rune before ultimately winning.

Best bet: Over 38.5 games (-130 at DraftKings)

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo