NHL Picks

Sorokin is building a Vezina Trophy case with a rock-solid .914 save percentage and league-high 51.5 goals saved above expected, and he’s set to see plenty of rubber tonight against Ottawa. The Sens have averaged 30.1 shots per game while ranking fourth in Corsi For percentage during their active 11-3-2 run, after all.

The Senators are an exceptional defensive team, ranking Top 3 in limiting shots, scoring chances, and expected goals at 5-on-5. Scoring against the Islanders will also be a challenge, as they rank third in goals against and will trot out Vezina candidate Ilya Sorokin.

Hellebuyck has built off winning the Olympics with a respectable .902 save percentage and 5.43 goals saved above average across nine games, and he stands to see enough shots to clear his saves total tonight. The Bruins have averaged a 27.9 shots per game out of the break, with the Jets allowing 27.3 while treading water in the five-on-five possession battle with a 49.5 Corsi For percentage.

These two teams are a combined 5-15 to the O/U over their last 10 games. As star netminders Connor Hellebuyck and Jeremy Swayman take the crease, expect a low-scoring affair at TD Garden.

Suzuki has racked up back-to-back multi-point games and has nine assists in his last nine games.

Evan Bouchard has been a shooting machine over his last five games. The Edmonton Oilers defenseman leads the team with 18 shots on goal in that span, averaging 3.6 per game. Bouchard's total tonight is set at 2.5, a mark he’s surpassed in four of his last five games. Meanwhile, the Florida Panthers' defense has been porous since the “tank” began, allowing an average of 29.1 shots per game. That should give Bouchard plenty of opportunities to hit the Over.

Ohgren ranks second in shots and third in attempts at five-on-five across the past 12 games, and he draws Tampa Bay at the right time, too. The Lightning have lost seven of their past 10 while allowing the fourth-most shots per game (30.1) and ninth-most shots per 60 minutes at five-on-five.

The Canucks have allowed the second-most goals per game (3.8) out of the Olympic break, and Kucherov is on an all-time heater with 30 multi-point showings and an otherworldly 6.25 points per 60 minutes across his past 44 games.

Dorofeyev has picked up three or more shots in nine of 11 games out of the Olympic break for 36 total on 59 attempts. His 11.45 shots per 60 minutes during the run also rank 11th in the league. The matchup is tough against the Mammoth, but it’s more than built into this price.

Colorado has won four consecutive head-to-head matchups against Chicago. With the Avs ranking first in goals per game (3.69) and Chicago ranking last in shots on goal, this lopsided matchup has me backing the Western Conference leaders to cover.