Washington Commanders

3rd in NFC East (3 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 2 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
J. Smith-Njigba
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (30.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled far more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 93.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6. With an excellent 74.3% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba places among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.61
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.61

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (30.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled far more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 93.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6. With an excellent 74.3% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba places among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

All Matchup props

Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Kenneth Walker III
K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 5.9%. This year, the fierce Commanders run defense has conceded a mere 0.62 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 10th-best rate in football. The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.51

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 5.9%. This year, the fierce Commanders run defense has conceded a mere 0.62 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 10th-best rate in football. The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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