I’m balancing out a few long shots with one of my favorite near-coinflip touchdown plays. Travis Etienne handled 16 carries and four targets last week, adding a 6-yard score against a tough Houston defense. It was just his fourth touchdown of the season, but the usage has been elite — 14 red-zone carries over the last two games, including both of Jacksonville’s attempts inside the 10 last week and seven total over the last two games. And let’s be real — if the ball is near the goal line, Liam Cohen isn’t putting it in Trevor Lawrence’s hands to make the decision. I’m playing this to -110.