Los Angeles Chargers

2nd in AFC West (11 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

LAC @ DEN Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Courtland Sutton logo Courtland Sutton Score a Touchdown (Yes: +185)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

Wide receiver Courtland Sutton leads the Broncos with 122 targets this season, including double-digit targets in each of the last four weeks. While RJ Harvey has a team-leading 12 touchdowns, his odds sit at -155, whereas Sutton, with seven touchdowns, is getting nearly 2-to-1 odds. Sutton had a midseason lull but recorded three touchdowns in his first four games and three in his last five contests. As big favorites at home, Bo Nix and the Broncos should look to air it out, making Sutton a strong bet to find the end zone.

Score a Touchdown
Trey Lance logo Trey Lance Score a Touchdown (Yes: +460)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

Trey Lance came out of North Dakota State University as a highly-touted dual-threat quarterback. He rushed for 18 touchdowns in 19 games across his college career, including 14 in the 2019 season. Lance has run for just one touchdown in the NFL, so we’re getting some fairly long odds for him to find paydirt this week. Nevertheless, the Denver Broncos have allowed a few quarterback rushing touchdowns this season, including two weeks ago to Trevor Lawrence. With the Los Angeles Chargers resting some starters, look for Lance to take matters into his own hands at this nice price.

Rushing Yards
Trey Lance logo Trey Lance u29.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
Rushing Attempts
RH RJ Harvey u14.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo Bo Nix u218.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Jeremy Jones image
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
Passing Completions
Trey Lance logo Trey Lance o15.5 Passing Completions (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Broncos have allowed 15 or more completions in 12 of 16 games this season, and I'm anticipating Los Angeles to set Lance up for success with short and intermediate throws Sunday afternoon. And, with the Bolts a huge underdog, look for Lance to continue airing it out throughout. Plus, opponents have averaged the sixth-most pass attempts per game (36.6) against the Broncos, and all we're asking for here is four completions a quarter.

Score a Touchdown
Jaleel McLaughlin logo Jaleel McLaughlin Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Broncos RB2 will likely get touches in what appears to be a cake walk against a Bolts team resting the starters. With the spread trending toward two TDS, Denver will give some extra love to its reserves and McLaughlin is a shifty back who can hit big plays. He had a season-high seven carries vs Kansas City last week and builds on that in Week 18, including his second score of the season. 

Score a Touchdown
Evan Engram logo Evan Engram Score a Touchdown (Yes: +400)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Evan Engram isn’t a throwaway piece in this offense, and while he hasn’t scored since Week 5, this is a strong spot to buy in at a big number given his usage. The Chargers are expected to rest starters, giving Denver a clean path to points. Engram draws targets on 22% of his routes, and while Adam Trautman is logging heavy snaps, it’s largely as a blocker with just one red-zone target all season. Engram saw two red-zone targets last week, caught both, but failed to score. Still a great role at this price. 

Score a Touchdown
RH
RJ Harvey Score a Touchdown (Yes: -155)
Projection 0.76 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football (64.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Denver Broncos.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.. The Denver O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Passing Completions
Trey Lance logo
Trey Lance o15.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 18.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -13.5-point underdogs.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chargers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Passing Attempts
Trey Lance logo
Trey Lance o27.5 Passing Attempts (-114)
Projection 32.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chargers to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Passing Yards
Trey Lance logo
Trey Lance o164.5 Passing Yards (-102)
Projection 184.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -13.5-point underdogs.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chargers to pass on 60.9% of their downs: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix u220.5 Passing Yards (-107)
Projection 209.28 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 13.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. This year, the imposing Chargers defense has given up a measly 195.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best in football.. This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
Rushing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o14.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 21.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
Rushing Attempts
Trey Lance logo
Trey Lance u7.5 Rushing Attempts (+110)
Projection 5.89 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -13.5-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Denver's collection of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
RH
RJ Harvey o56.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 62.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 13.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Trey Lance logo
Trey Lance u32.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 28.93 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -13.5-point underdogs.. The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Trey Lance's ground effectiveness (3.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (25th percentile among QBs).. This year, the strong Broncos run defense has conceded a paltry 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in the league.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

62% picking L.A. Chargers

62%
38%

Total Picks LAC 388, DEN 241

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LAC
DEN

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'manomanomano551' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

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'manomanomano551' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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'skunty4' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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'd33jay86' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Over (37.5)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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Under
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'Ohyarain' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Ohyarain' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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DEN
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'd33jay86' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'Kazual12' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Kazual12' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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Over
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'MLBFan8848' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

MLBFan8848 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'MLBFan8848' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

MLBFan8848 is #5 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'RUSHVEGAS' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Over (37.5)

RUSHVEGAS is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'RUSHVEGAS' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

RUSHVEGAS is #6 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (9-7-0) and +5550 units on the season.

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'plasma9' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

plasma9 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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'memphiskid' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

memphiskid is #8 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

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'coakley69' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

coakley69 is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'coakley69' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

coakley69 is #9 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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