Los Angeles Chargers

2nd in AFC West (7 - 3 - 0)

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LAC @ JAC Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Travis Etienne Jr. logo Travis Etienne Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I’m balancing out a few long shots with one of my favorite near-coinflip touchdown plays. Travis Etienne handled 16 carries and four targets last week, adding a 6-yard score against a tough Houston defense. It was just his fourth touchdown of the season, but the usage has been elite — 14 red-zone carries over the last two games, including both of Jacksonville’s attempts inside the 10 last week and seven total over the last two games. And let’s be real — if the ball is near the goal line, Liam Cohen isn’t putting it in Trevor Lawrence’s hands to make the decision. I’m playing this to -110.

Score a Touchdown
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown (Yes: +130)
Projection 0.71 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.
Receptions Made
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey u5.5 Receptions Made (+100)
Projection 4.85 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see only 126.2 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Receptions Made
Travis Etienne Jr. logo
Travis Etienne Jr. u2.5 Receptions Made (+110)
Projection 2.28 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chargers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.. With a bad 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (25th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to RBs.. The Chargers pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus RBs this year (78.8%).. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
Passing Completions
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u23.5 Passing Completions (-130)
Projection 21.08 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Passing Attempts
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u35.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
Projection 32.08 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Passing Yards
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence o208.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 225.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. In totaling a staggering 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (81st percentile) in this statistic.
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u252.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 245.31 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Receiving Yards
Parker Washington logo
Parker Washington o43.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 62.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
Receiving Yards
Oronde Gadsden logo
Oronde Gadsden o42.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 51.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has yielded the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (72.0) to TEs this year.
Rushing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert o18.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Projection 25.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Justin Herbert to notch 5.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.. Justin Herbert has been much more involved in his team's ground game this season (17.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.4%).. Justin Herbert's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a noteable improvement in his rushing prowess over last year's 19.0 rate.
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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71% picking L.A. Chargers

71%
29%

Total Picks LAC 475, JAC 192

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60% picking L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksLAC 256, JAC 168

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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-2.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

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'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (44.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

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'Kozman06' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Kozman06' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'rollonotes' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+2.5)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (7-1-1) and +5350 units on the season.

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'rollonotes' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (44.5)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (7-1-1) and +5350 units on the season.

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'GodsArmy' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

GodsArmy is #3 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'robert78lodz' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+2.5)

robert78lodz is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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'bluesand9000' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (43.5)

bluesand9000 is #5 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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'bluesand9000' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

bluesand9000 is #5 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

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'tinylund' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-3.0)

tinylund is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'tinylund' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

tinylund is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Hoosier' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

Hoosier is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Hoosier' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-2.5)

Hoosier is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Kansas2014' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Kansas2014' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-3.0)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'MartinK' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-0-1) and +3950 units on the season.

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'MartinK' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-0-1) and +3950 units on the season.

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