Los Angeles Chargers
Picks

2nd in AFC West (11 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

LACL.A. Chargers

at

Sun, Jan 4 16:25 ET

LAC @ DEN Picks

Score a Touchdown

Jaleel McLaughlin Score a Touchdown (Yes: +350)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

The Broncos RB2 will likely get touches in what appears to be a cake walk against a Bolts team resting the starters. With the spread trending toward two TDS, Denver will give some extra love to its reserves and McLaughlin is a shifty back who can hit big plays. He had a season-high seven carries vs Kansas City last week and builds on that in Week 18, including his second score of the season.

Score a Touchdown

Evan Engram Score a Touchdown (Yes: +400)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

Evan Engram isn’t a throwaway piece in this offense, and while he hasn’t scored since Week 5, this is a strong spot to buy in at a big number given his usage. The Chargers are expected to rest starters, giving Denver a clean path to points. Engram draws targets on 22% of his routes, and while Adam Trautman is logging heavy snaps, it’s largely as a blocker with just one red-zone target all season. Engram saw two red-zone targets last week, caught both, but failed to score. Still a great role at this price.

Receptions Made

Courtland Sutton u4.5 Receptions Made (+100)

Projection 3.94 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. Courtland Sutton's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.. Courtland Sutton's receiving performance has worsened this season, accumulating just 4.1 adjusted receptions vs 5.1 last season.

Passing Completions

Bo Nix u21.5 Passing Completions (-120)

Projection 19.19 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

Passing Attempts

Trey Lance o29.5 Passing Attempts (-102)

Projection 32.55 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The Los Angeles Chargers will be rolling with backup QB Trey Lance in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. This week's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chargers to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 132.1 offensive plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in football.

-102 at FanDuel

Passing Yards

Bo Nix u217.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 202.11 (Under)

Best Odds

u217.5 -110

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u209.5 -111

u217.5 -110

u211.5 -114

u217.5 -115

u212.5 -115

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. This year, the imposing Chargers defense has given up a measly 195.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best in football.. This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a paltry 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Courtland Sutton u57.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 53.49 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.. Courtland Sutton's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 68.1.. Courtland Sutton's 56.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a remarkable decrease in his receiving proficiency over last season's 73.0 mark.

Rushing Yards

RJ Harvey o54.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 62.55 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.. The projections expect the Denver Broncos to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.. The Denver Broncos have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

64% picking L.A. Chargers

64% 64%

36% 36%

Total Picks LAC 242, DEN 139

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LAC

DEN

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Top User Picks

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'manomanomano551' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

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DEN

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'manomanomano551' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

manomanomano551 is #1 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (14-2-0) and +7100 units on the season.

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'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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'skunty4' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (13-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

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LAC

DEN

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'd33jay86' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Over (37.5)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Ohyarain' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (37.5)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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'Ohyarain' is picking Denver to cover (-12.0)

Ohyarain is #2 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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LAC

DEN

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'd33jay86' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

d33jay86 is #2 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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LAC

DEN

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'lsbellmom' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'lsbellmom' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

lsbellmom is #3 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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'Kazual12' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+7.5)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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LAC

DEN

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'Kazual12' picks L.A. Chargers vs Denver to go Under (39.0)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6600 units on the season.

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Under

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'plasma9' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (+12.0)

plasma9 is #7 on picking games that Denver is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

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Pages Related to This Topic

Top L.A. Chargers Pick Leaders Season 2025-2026

Rank	Leader	L10	Units

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