Los Angeles Chargers

2nd in AFC West (7 - 3 - 0)

Next Game

LACL.A. Chargers Los Angeles
at
Jacksonville JACJacksonville
Sun, Nov 16 13:00 ET

LAC @ JAC Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Chargers logo LAC -3.0 (-105)
Best Odds
-3.0 -105 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Sam Farley image
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst
-3.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
-3.0  -105
-3.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
-3.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
-3.0  -105
These are quick bet odds

Meanwhile, the Chargers are 7-3 in the AFC West, have covered in two of their previous three games, and feature an offense that has shown significant improvement from earlier in the season. They’ve scored an average of 8.8 more points per game in the previous five games, as they did in the first five games of the season.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Travis Etienne Jr. logo Travis Etienne Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +115)
Best Odds
 +110 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +105
 +110
 +100
 -
 -102

I’m balancing out a few long shots with one of my favorite near-coinflip touchdown plays. Travis Etienne handled 16 carries and four targets last week, adding a 6-yard score against a tough Houston defense. It was just his fourth touchdown of the season, but the usage has been elite — 14 red-zone carries over the last two games, including both of Jacksonville’s attempts inside the 10 last week and seven total over the last two games. And let’s be real — if the ball is near the goal line, Liam Cohen isn’t putting it in Trevor Lawrence’s hands to make the decision. I’m playing this to -110.

Score a Touchdown
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Projection 0.72 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +120 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 +120
 -115
 +120
 -
 +114
At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chargers.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.. The Jaguars defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.
+120 at DraftKings
Score a Touchdown
Parker Washington logo
Parker Washington Score a Touchdown (Yes: +240)
Projection 0.4 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +240 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
 +235
 +190
 +240
 -
 +235
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. The Chargers defensive tackles rank as the best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
+240 at FanDuel
Passing Completions
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u23.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 20.52 (Under)
Best Odds
u23.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u23.5  -129
These are quick bet odds
 -
u23.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
u23.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u23.5  -134
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see only 127.0 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u35.5 Passing Attempts (-120)
Projection 31.79 (Under)
Best Odds
u35.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u35.5  -126
These are quick bet odds
 -
u35.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
u35.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
u35.5  -138
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see only 127.0 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Justin Herbert logo
Justin Herbert u253.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 234.95 (Under)
Best Odds
u253.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u253.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
u252.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u252.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u252.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see only 127.0 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Parker Washington logo
Parker Washington o47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 59.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o47.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o47.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o47.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o51.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey logo
Ladd McConkey u63.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 60.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u63.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u63.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u61.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u63.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u62.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see only 127.0 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.. The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Johnny Mundt logo
Johnny Mundt o14.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 16.45 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o14.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
 -
The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 58.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Trevor Lawrence logo
Trevor Lawrence o15.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
Projection 23.67 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -116 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
 -
o17.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
The Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.. Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased rush volume.. Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (15.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).. Trevor Lawrence has run for quite a few more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).
-116 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Kimani Vidal logo
Kimani Vidal o65.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Projection 71.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o65.5 -109 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o65.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o67.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o67.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o66.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.. The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 61.6 per game on average).. The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
-109 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

68% picking L.A. Chargers

68%
32%

Total Picks LAC 713, JAC 331

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

61% picking L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksLAC 398, JAC 256

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'skunty4' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-2.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'skunty4' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (44.5)

skunty4 is #1 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +6900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Total

'Kozman06' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'Kozman06' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

Kozman06 is #10 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Spread

'rollonotes' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+2.5)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (7-1-1) and +5350 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'rollonotes' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (44.5)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (7-1-1) and +5350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Total

'GodsArmy' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

GodsArmy is #3 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Total

'quocanh1998' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.0)

quocanh1998 is #3 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'CalderHawke' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

CalderHawke is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'CalderHawke' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.0)

CalderHawke is #4 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'robert78lodz' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+2.5)

robert78lodz is #5 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'bluesand9000' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (43.5)

bluesand9000 is #5 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'bluesand9000' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

bluesand9000 is #5 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Spread

'tinylund' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-3.0)

tinylund is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'tinylund' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

tinylund is #6 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Total

'Hoosier' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

Hoosier is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'Hoosier' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-2.5)

Hoosier is #7 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (9-1-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'Sabster611' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Under (43.5)

Sabster611 is #7 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'Sabster611' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

Sabster611 is #7 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +4300 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'Kansas2014' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (44.5)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'Kansas2014' is picking L.A. Chargers to cover (-3.0)

Kansas2014 is #8 on picking games that L.A. Chargers are in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103
Total

'MartinK' picks L.A. Chargers vs Jacksonville to go Over (43.5)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-0-1) and +3950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -105
44 -108
Spread

'MartinK' is picking Jacksonville to cover (+3.0)

MartinK is #9 on picking games that Jacksonville is in with a record of (4-0-1) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread
LAC
JAC
Spread
-2.5 -124
+3.0 -103

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