New Orleans Saints

4th in NFC South (5 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

NONew Orleans New Orleans
at
Tennessee TENTennessee
Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

NO @ TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Chris Olave logo Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Best Odds
 +190 bet365
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +135
 +190
 +135
 +150
 +140

Tyler Shough and the Saints’ offense are leaning heavily on the passing game. New Orleans dropped back 56 times last week, and the unit is starting to play with confidence. Chris Olave was at the center of it all, seeing 16 targets and turning them into 10 catches, 140-plus yards, and two touchdowns. Any clear WR1 facing Tennessee should be priced closer to +140 to score, so seeing Olave available nearer to +200 feels like a number that won’t last. Even at +150, there’s still value. The Saints simply can’t run the ball right now, which keeps the offense flowing through the air and makes Olave the focal point again this week.

Passing Completions
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u21.5 Passing Completions (-120)
Projection 18.06 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u21.5  -126
u21.5  -120
u21.5  -122
u21.5  -140
u21.5  -138
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
-120 at bet365
Passing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u32.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
Projection 29.56 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -110 BetMGM
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -128
u32.5  -110
u32.5  -118
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
-110 at BetMGM
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u222.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 189.46 (Under)
Best Odds
u222.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u220.5  -112
u222.5  -110
u218.5  -114
u222.5  -115
u219.5  -118
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Chimere Dike logo
Chimere Dike o30.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 37.81 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -110
 -
o31.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson u42.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 36.86 (Under)
Best Odds
u42.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u42.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u42.5  -110
 -
u42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u42.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Juwan Johnson's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 mark last year.. The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 47.0) to tight ends this year.. The Titans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo o26.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 31.16 (Over)
Best Odds
o25.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o26.5  -108
o25.5  -110
 -
o25.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.8 targets.. With an elite 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o6.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Projection 8.38 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o6.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
o6.5  -115
 -
o6.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
o6.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Tony Pollard's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 74.4% mark.. Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 5.32 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 4.25 mark last year.. This year, the weak Saints pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
-115 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward o5.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 14.85 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
 -
o5.5  -110
 -
o5.5  -120
 -
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.4% run rate.. The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.8 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 65.48 (Over)
Best Odds
o59.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o61.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o59.5  -110
 -
o59.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
o61.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 9th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.4% run rate.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Tony Pollard to notch 17.3 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.. Tony Pollard has garnered 65.3% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.. With an impressive record of 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (85th percentile), Tony Pollard ranks as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'interfly' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

interfly is #1 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Spread

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Under (39.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -109
Spread

'LaQuora28' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'LaQuora28' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -109
Spread

'cashbb1030' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'cashbb1030' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -109
Spread

'rquiroz' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (5-3-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Spread

'griz55' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'griz55' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -109
Spread

'Sabster611' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-2.0 -137
+2.5 +100
Total

'Sabster611' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -109

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