New Orleans Saints

4th in NFC South (5 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

NONew Orleans New Orleans
at
Tennessee TENTennessee
Sun, Dec 28 13:00 ET

NO @ TEN Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough o220.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
o221.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o222.5  -111
o221.5  -115
o221.5  -114
o221.5  -115
o222.5  -122

Expect an Offensive Rookie of the Year push from Saints QB Tyler Shough. Shough didn't start until Week 8 but has come on strong down the stretch. He's thrown for more than 235 yards in five of his previous six game and is coming off a career-high 308-yard performance. He has a great matchup on Sunday against Tennessee who ranks 27th in defensive pass DVOA. The Titans benefitted from facing a third-string QB last week but had surrendered 275.4 passing yards per game in their previous seven contests.

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Spread
New Orleans Saints logo NO -2.5 (-114)
Best Odds
-2.5 -108 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
-1.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-1.5  -110
-2.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
-1.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-1.5  -113
These are quick bet odds

Every single victory in the Saints' three-game unbeaten run has been by at least three points, which means the Saints have covered in each contest. Their last road game was in Tampa, where they walked away with a 24-20 win. This is obviously a small spread, and if New Orleans is going to win like I expect them to, it will be by a minimum of a field goal.

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Score a Touchdown
Chris Olave logo Chris Olave Score a Touchdown (Yes: +190)
Best Odds
 +150 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +150
 +140
 +145
 +150
 +140

Tyler Shough and the Saints’ offense are leaning heavily on the passing game. New Orleans dropped back 56 times last week, and the unit is starting to play with confidence. Chris Olave was at the center of it all, seeing 16 targets and turning them into 10 catches, 140-plus yards, and two touchdowns. Any clear WR1 facing Tennessee should be priced closer to +140 to score, so seeing Olave available nearer to +200 feels like a number that won’t last. Even at +150, there’s still value. The Saints simply can’t run the ball right now, which keeps the offense flowing through the air and makes Olave the focal point again this week.

Receptions Made
Audric Estime logo
Audric Estime u2.5 Receptions Made (-135)
Projection 1.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -135 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u2.5  -135
 -
u2.5  -140
These are quick bet odds
 -
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-135 at bet365
Receptions Made
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson u4.5 Receptions Made (+105)
Projection 3.93 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +105 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u4.5  -101
These are quick bet odds
u4.5  +105
u4.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
u4.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
u4.5  -104
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
+105 at bet365
Passing Completions
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u21.5 Passing Completions (-120)
Projection 18.45 (Under)
Best Odds
u21.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
u21.5  -130
u21.5  -120
u21.5  -130
u20.5  -105
u21.5  -133
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-120 at bet365
Passing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u32.5 Passing Attempts (-115)
Projection 29.73 (Under)
Best Odds
u32.5 -115 DraftKings
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -115
u32.5  -128
u32.5  -120
u32.5  -124
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-115 at DraftKings
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u221.5 Passing Yards (-105)
Projection 192.26 (Under)
Best Odds
u222.5 -110 Caesars
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u222.5  -113
u221.5  -105
u221.5  -114
u221.5  -115
u222.5  -110
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
-110 at Caesars
Passing Yards
Cam Ward logo
Cam Ward o187.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 195.65 (Over)
Best Odds
o186.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o186.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o187.5  -110
o188.5  -114
o187.5  -115
o187.5  -108
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Chig Okonkwo logo
Chig Okonkwo o23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 33.72 (Over)
Best Odds
o23.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o26.5  -112
o23.5  -110
o25.5  -114
o23.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o25.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.2 targets.. With an elite 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.. Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a remarkable 8.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.. The New Orleans Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson u46.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 39.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u46.5 -108 Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u46.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -110
u45.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u46.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.. Juwan Johnson's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 mark last year.. The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 47.0) to tight ends this year.. The Titans pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.
-108 at Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Chimere Dike logo
Chimere Dike o31.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 38.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o28.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o29.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -115
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tony Pollard logo
Tony Pollard o6.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 8.39 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o6.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o6.5  -110
 -
o6.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o6.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Tony Pollard's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his receiving ability over last year's 74.4% mark.. Tony Pollard's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, averaging 5.32 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 4.25 mark last year.. This year, the weak Saints pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'interfly' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

interfly is #1 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7700 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Spread

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Under (39.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-2-1) and +7200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'LaQuora28' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'LaQuora28' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

LaQuora28 is #10 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (13-2-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'cashbb1030' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'cashbb1030' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

cashbb1030 is #2 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +7650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'rquiroz' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (5-3-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'rquiroz' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

rquiroz is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (5-3-0) and +6250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'dirtyharry57' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'dirtyharry57' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

dirtyharry57 is #3 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'griz55' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.0)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'griz55' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

griz55 is #4 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (11-4-0) and +6600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'Sabster611' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.0)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Total

'Sabster611' picks New Orleans vs Tennessee to go Over (39.5)

Sabster611 is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (12-3-0) and +5550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.0 -123
39.5 -106
Spread

'bowron' is picking Tennessee to cover (+2.5)

bowron is #9 on picking games that Tennessee is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121
Spread

'jerrygora' is picking New Orleans to cover (-2.5)

jerrygora is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-1-1) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
NO
TEN
Spread
-1.5 -104
+2.5 -121

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