New Orleans Saints

4th in NFC South (3 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

CARCarolina Carolina
at
New Orleans NONew Orleans
Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

CAR @ NO Picks

NFL Picks
MoneyLine
Carolina Panthers logo CAR (-156)
Best Odds
 -136 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
 -148
These are quick bet odds
 -140
 -136
These are quick bet odds
 -145
These are quick bet odds
 -143
These are quick bet odds

The Saints' offense is bottom five in the league in scoring, turnovers lost, passing touchdowns, and the major rushing categories (yards, TDs, and per carry average).

The Saints have lost three straight ATS at home, and last week's upset at Tampa Bay was their first time topping the 20-point mark in eight games.

Read Full Analysis
Rushing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough u21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
u20.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
u19.5  -116
u19.5  -120
u18.5  -112
u20.5  -115
u19.5  -118

Tyler Shough scrambled for 55 yards on seven carries last week but 34 of those yards came on a single run. The rookie QB had been held below 20 rushing yards in four of his previous five starts and his previous career-high was a 22-yard game against Atlanta. He also didn't run much in college and on Sunday he faces a Carolina defense that contains quarterbacks on the ground. The Panthers have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (10.2) and the second-fewest yards per rush attempt (2.8) to opposing QBs. They are dead-last in the league in pressure rate so they rarely flush quarterbacks out of the pocket. 

Read Full Analysis
Touchdowns
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard o0.5 Touchdowns (+205)
Best Odds
o0.5 +225 BetMGM
Pick made: 4 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +210
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +190
o0.5  +210
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +225
o0.5  +200
These are quick bet odds

Bettors may have forgotten how much Chuba Hubbard’s usage jumped before the bye. He went over 100 total yards for the first time all season in Week 13 against the Rams and scored his first touchdown since Week 8. He logged 17 carries to Rico Dowdle’s 18 and added two receptions. Dowdle is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry across his last four games on 61 attempts and may be trending toward a 1B role in what could be a run-heavy matchup with the Saints. There shouldn’t be a 100-point difference between the two Carolina backs in touchdown pricing. If Hubbard is in line for 15-plus touches, he should be closer to +140.

Spread
Carolina Panthers logo CAR -2.5 (-107)
Best Odds
-2.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 6 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-2.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -110
-2.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
-2.5  -113
These are quick bet odds

Carolina is coming off a Week 14 bye in the thick of the race for top spot in the NFC South, and the Black Cats are trading Under the key number of 3 against the 3-10 Saints. New Orleans is ripe for a letdown spot after playing spoiler and topping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14, while Carolina quarterback Bryce Young is quietly turning the corner with the eighth-highest EPA+CPOE composite dating back to Week 9. Young has aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt with a  68.1 completion percentage over his past three games, too.

Receptions Made
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o1.5 Receptions Made (-115)
Projection 2.31 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -129
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -115
o1.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
o1.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
-115 at bet365
Passing Completions
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o19.5 Passing Completions (+140)
Projection 20.08 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -127
These are quick bet odds
o19.5  +140
o18.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -121
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o197.5 Passing Yards (-108)
Projection 220.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o196.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o198.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o199.5  -110
o198.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o196.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o197.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough o205.5 Passing Yards (-107)
Projection 214.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o199.5 -130 bet365
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o207.5  -111
o199.5  -130
o203.5  -112
o205.5  -115
o205.5  -107
The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.
-130 at bet365
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+105)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +105 bet365
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +105
u0.5  -102
u0.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -108
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.
+105 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 22.52 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -110
o14.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o12.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o58.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 69.15 (Over)
Best Odds
o56.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o56.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o58.5  -110
o57.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o57.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o57.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o37.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 46.97 (Over)
Best Odds
o36.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o36.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o37.5  -105
o37.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o39.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 6.3 targets.. The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (64.0) to TEs this year.
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
DN
Devin Neal o15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 18.14 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o15.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -110
o15.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o15.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o11.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 13.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -107 Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o11.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o11.5  -105
o10.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o10.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o10.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs.. Rico Dowdle profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an impressive 19.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.. Rico Dowdle's 84.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 79.9% rate.
-107 at Caesars
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

70% picking Carolina

70%
30%

Total Picks CAR 962, NO 410

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'samua' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'samua' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'Sabster611' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

Sabster611 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'Sabster611' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

Sabster611 is #10 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'Eldominicano33' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

Eldominicano33 is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'Eldominicano33' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

Eldominicano33 is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
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'FBI007' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

FBI007 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'starpano' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

starpano is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'starpano' is picking Carolina to cover (-3.0)

starpano is #2 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-3-1) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'APPLEST' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

APPLEST is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'APPLEST' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

APPLEST is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'rquiroz' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

rquiroz is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (3-3-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
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'rquiroz' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

rquiroz is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (3-3-0) and +5300 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'Papawheelie' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

Papawheelie is #5 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
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'Papawheelie' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

Papawheelie is #5 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'campellnyr917' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'campellnyr917' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
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'sherriffics' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

sherriffics is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'Demerson' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

Demerson is #7 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (7-1-1) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Total

'sherriffics' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

sherriffics is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
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'Demerson' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

Demerson is #7 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (7-1-1) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
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'sockss109' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'sockss109' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Total

'Bassboy7276' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

Bassboy7276 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'Bassboy7276' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

Bassboy7276 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
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'culp5050' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102
Total

'culp5050' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Total

'dmoney1981' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
41.5 -104
42.5 -126
Spread

'dmoney1981' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
Spread
-2.5 -103
+2.5 +102

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