New Orleans Saints

4th in NFC South (6 - 10 - 0)

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Sun, Jan 4 13:00 ET

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NFL Picks
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New Orleans Saints logo NO +3.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Saints have won four in a row while the 7-9 Falcons are on a short week after playing on Monday night. The Falcons are 23rd in the league in defensive success rate, while the offense has been one-dimensional with Kirk Cousins throwing for fewer than 200 yards in five of seven starts. The Saints are ninth in defensive success rate, while Tyler Shough has been getting better every week and could earn the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award with another strong performance. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between these NFC South rivals, so give me the points with New Orleans.

Passing Completions
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o20.5 Passing Completions (+104)
Projection 22.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.6 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.3 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.
Passing Attempts
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o30.5 Passing Attempts (-123)
Projection 34.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.6 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.3 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
Passing Yards
Kirk Cousins logo
Kirk Cousins o216.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 260.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 137.6 total plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.3 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u229.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 215.53 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Falcons, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.. This year, the tough Falcons defense has conceded a mere 212.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 10th-fewest in football.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the league against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).
Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson u82.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 77.11 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 54.6 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Bijan Robinson's 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a noteable decline in his rushing skills over last season's 81.0 rate.. The New Orleans Saints safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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60% picking Atlanta

40%
60%

Total Picks NO 122, ATL 183

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NO
ATL
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68% picking New Orleans vs Atlanta to go Over

68%
32%

Total PicksNO 126, ATL 60

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Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'plasma9' is picking New Orleans to cover (+3.0)

plasma9 is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +6400 units on the season.

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NO
ATL
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'unbelievable21' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

unbelievable21 is #6 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (3-3-0) and +5250 units on the season.

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NO
ATL
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'jerrygora' is picking New Orleans to cover (+3.0)

jerrygora is #7 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (9-1-1) and +5650 units on the season.

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NO
ATL
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'mafioso' is picking Atlanta to cover (-2.5)

mafioso is #9 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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NO
ATL
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'mafioso' picks New Orleans vs Atlanta to go Over (43.5)

mafioso is #9 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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Under
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