New Orleans Saints

3rd in NFC South (2 - 4 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 25 09:30 ET

PIT @ NO Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Jaylen Warren logo Jaylen Warren Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With the Saints allowing 12 touchdowns to opposing running backs through six games, I would recommend Warren to find the end zone to 60%. He's posted top-five ranks in yards per carry (6.5), yards after contact per attempt (3.94) and PFF elusive rating (98.5) across the past four weeks, and Warren is also a threat through the air with a league-high 14.1 yards per reception among backs during the run.

Anytime Touchdown
Germie Bernard logo Germie Bernard Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I can get behind DK Metcalf at 2.7x, but when Germie Bernard has Aaron Rodgers' trust, is seeing double-digit targets, and is 60 points longer, I'll take the rookie who caught the game-winning touchdown last week. I have him at a fair price of 3x in an indoor matchup against a defense allowing the fourth-most TDs per game (3.5). The Steelers can put up points Sunday, and they can do it through the air. This offense is passing at the second-highest rate in football (67% DB%) and owns the fifth-highest PROE. Even if Bernard isn't getting downfield, that might actually be a good thing in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense.

Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo Rico Dowdle o29.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I recommend this Over up to 34+ rushing yards because Dowdle impressed in Week 6 with 5.7 yards per carry, including 3.14 yards after contact per attempt and a 37.5% breakaway percentage. The Saints rank 32nd in rush defense DVOA while surrendering the highest rushing success rate, and they’ve already allowed seven running backs to reach 30+ yards across six games. 

Spread
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail PIT -2.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Saints have been gashed on the ground and rank 32nd in run defense DVOA while allowing the highest rushing success rate. It’s been a huge contributor to them tying for the second-most points against per game (29.7), and it’s a particularly poor shortcoming against the Steelers in Week 7. Pittsburgh ranks second in rushing DVOA and fifth in EPA per rush, so I’m happy to back the Black and Gold below the key number of 3. The Steelers are set up to control the time of possession, and their defense is also far more formidable with ranks of eighth in DVOA while allowing the sixth-lowest EPA per play.

3 LEG PARLAY
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
PIT
Moneyline
Rico Dowdle profile picture
Rico Dowdle o29.5 Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards
Alvin Kamara profile picture
Alvin Kamara o14.5 Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Steelers are set to control the time of possession en route to a win, with the Saints ranking 32nd in rush defense DVOA while allowing the highest rushing success rate. Pittsburgh also welcomed Dowdle back in Week 6, and he rushed for a healthy 5.7 yards per carry, including 3.14 yards after contact per attempt and a 37.5% breakaway percentage. Turning to Kamara, he’s plodded for 15 or more rushing yards in five of six games.

Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough o229.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 268.13 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o234.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 254.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.8.
Rushing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-108)
Projection 12.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The opposing side have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (152 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year.. The New Orleans defensive tackles project as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Rushing Yards
Kendre Miller logo
Kendre Miller o39.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 46.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to garner 12.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.. After taking on 24.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kendre Miller has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently making up 39.5%.. Kendre Miller has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).
Rushing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough o12.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 14.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o33.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 44.97 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an impressive 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks among the leading TE receiving threats in the league.. The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus TEs this year (78.8%).
Receiving Yards
Kendre Miller logo
Kendre Miller o3.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 8.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. This year, the weak Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 8.82 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pat Freiermuth o29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 40.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Pat Freiermuth's 71.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 55.7% mark.
Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf logo
DK Metcalf o58.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 69.13 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 97.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave o72.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 82.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Chris Olave's 92.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 59.0 rate.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

49% picking Pittsburgh

49%
51%

Total Picks PIT 294, NO 311

Spread
PIT
NO
Total

42% picking Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Under

58%
42%

Total PicksPIT 226, NO 162

Total
Over
Under

PIT @ NO · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
NO +3.5 spread
0.21 PROJECTION
-3.3 DIFFERENCE
17.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
NO +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-3.3 DIFFERENCE
17.51% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -114
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
Over 44.5 Total
44.87 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
Over 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.87 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.97% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o44.5 -106
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o229.5 Passing Yards
268.13 OVER PROJECTION
+38.6 DIFFERENCE
26.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o229.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

268.13 OVER PROJECTION
+38.6 DIFFERENCE
26.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o225.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o234.5 Passing Yards
254.80 OVER PROJECTION
+20.3 DIFFERENCE
24.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o234.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

254.80 OVER PROJECTION
+20.3 DIFFERENCE
24.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.8.

o230.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
26.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
26.66% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The opposing side have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (152 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year.. The New Orleans defensive tackles project as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

o0.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards
46.63 OVER PROJECTION
+7.1 DIFFERENCE
24.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

46.63 OVER PROJECTION
+7.1 DIFFERENCE
24.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to garner 12.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.. After taking on 24.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kendre Miller has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently making up 39.5%.. Kendre Miller has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).

o38.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards
14.80 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.80 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.

o12.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o33.5 Receiving Yards
44.97 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
26.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o33.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.97 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
26.3% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an impressive 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks among the leading TE receiving threats in the league.. The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus TEs this year (78.8%).

o30.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards
8.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

8.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. This year, the weak Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 8.82 YAC.

o3.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o29.5 Receiving Yards
40.54 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o29.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.54 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Pat Freiermuth's 71.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 55.7% mark.

o26.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards
69.13 OVER PROJECTION
+10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

69.13 OVER PROJECTION
+10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 97.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

o55.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards
82.60 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
23.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.60 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
23.33% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Chris Olave's 92.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 59.0 rate.

o72.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Pat Freiermuth's 71.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 55.7% mark.

o2.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
6.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Chris Olave's 7.0 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.5 mark.

o5.5 -140
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 97.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

o4.5 -125
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.77% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an impressive 4.2 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson stands among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league.. The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus TEs this year (78.8%).

o3.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
13.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (56.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (70.9% in games he has played).

u14.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
3.63 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

3.63 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.

o3.5 +120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts
37.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
19.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

37.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
19.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

o33.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
36.02 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.02 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.57% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o34.5 -120
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.8.

o19.5 -350
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
24.32 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

24.32 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o22.5 -125
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+340
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+186
Caesars Odds logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+450
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+1300
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+300
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

-135
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-17.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-17.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+175
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Pittsburgh's defense ranks as the 6th-best in football this year as it relates to making interceptions, totaling 0.98 per game.. The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

u0.5 +109
Caesars Odds logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.70 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.70 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

o0.5 +135
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
NO +3.5 spread
0.21 PROJECTION
-3.3 DIFFERENCE
17.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
NO +3.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-3.3 DIFFERENCE
17.51% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 -114
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
Over 44.5 Total
44.87 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
Over 44.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.87 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.97% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o44.5 -106
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o229.5 Passing Yards
268.13 OVER PROJECTION
+38.6 DIFFERENCE
26.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o229.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

268.13 OVER PROJECTION
+38.6 DIFFERENCE
26.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o225.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o234.5 Passing Yards
254.80 OVER PROJECTION
+20.3 DIFFERENCE
24.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o234.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

254.80 OVER PROJECTION
+20.3 DIFFERENCE
24.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.8.

o230.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RUSHING YARDS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
26.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+12.3 DIFFERENCE
26.66% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The opposing side have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (152 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year.. The New Orleans defensive tackles project as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

o0.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards
46.63 OVER PROJECTION
+7.1 DIFFERENCE
24.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o39.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

46.63 OVER PROJECTION
+7.1 DIFFERENCE
24.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Our trusted projections expect Kendre Miller to garner 12.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.. After taking on 24.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kendre Miller has had a larger role in the running game this season, currently making up 39.5%.. Kendre Miller has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).

o38.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards
14.80 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.80 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.

o12.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o33.5 Receiving Yards
44.97 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
26.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o33.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.97 OVER PROJECTION
+11.5 DIFFERENCE
26.3% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an impressive 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (88th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks among the leading TE receiving threats in the league.. The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus TEs this year (78.8%).

o30.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards
8.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) o3.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

8.73 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. This year, the weak Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 8.82 YAC.

o3.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o29.5 Receiving Yards
40.54 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o29.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.54 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Pat Freiermuth's 71.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 55.7% mark.

o26.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards
69.13 OVER PROJECTION
+10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o58.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

69.13 OVER PROJECTION
+10.6 DIFFERENCE
25.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 97.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

o55.5 -125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards
82.60 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
23.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o72.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

82.60 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
23.33% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Chris Olave's 92.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 59.0 rate.

o72.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.93 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
16.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Pat Freiermuth's 71.4% Route Participation% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his passing game usage over last season's 55.7% mark.

o2.5 -165
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made
6.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

6.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. Chris Olave's 7.0 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.5 mark.

o5.5 -140
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made
5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) o4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.05 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 97.9% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.

o4.5 -125
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.77 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.77% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. With an impressive 4.2 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson stands among the leading tight ends in the pass game in the league.. The Steelers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.8%) versus TEs this year (78.8%).

o3.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
13.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The predictive model expects the Steelers as the 4th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (56.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (70.9% in games he has played).

u14.5 -108
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
3.63 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

3.63 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.

o3.5 +120
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts
37.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
19.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o33.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

37.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
19.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

o33.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts
36.02 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o35.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.02 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.57% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o34.5 -120
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.75 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
13.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.8.

o19.5 -350
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions
24.32 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) o23.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

24.32 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

o22.5 -125
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pat Freiermuth logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
P. Freiermuth (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+340
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
DK Metcalf logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
D. Metcalf (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
17.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Chris Olave logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
C. Olave (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.44 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.83% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+186
Caesars Odds logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+450
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

+1300
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Juwan Johnson logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
J. Johnson (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.12% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+300
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jaylen Warren logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
J. Warren (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-15.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (65.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

-135
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-17.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kendre Miller logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
K. Miller (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.31 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-17.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Saints have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.7 plays per game.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

+175
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Tyler Shough logo
New Orleans Saints image thumbnail
T. Shough (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.41 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Pittsburgh's defense ranks as the 6th-best in football this year as it relates to making interceptions, totaling 0.98 per game.. The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

u0.5 +109
Caesars Odds logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.70 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Rodgers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail
A. Rodgers (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.70 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.98% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a staggering 58.8 per game on average).. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.. This week, Aaron Rodgers is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 39.0.

o0.5 +135
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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Bradhabbit' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

Bradhabbit is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'forkball' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

forkball is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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NO
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'forkball' picks Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Over (44.5)

forkball is #4 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Ep96' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

Ep96 is #5 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'Ep96' picks Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Over (44.5)

Ep96 is #5 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'DKSTACKER' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

DKSTACKER is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'DKSTACKER' picks Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Under (42.5)

DKSTACKER is #6 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'R419' is picking New Orleans to cover (+2.5)

R419 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'R419' picks Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Under (42.5)

R419 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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Over
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'VisionQ3' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-2.5)

VisionQ3 is #7 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3450 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'kowalabear' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-2.5)

kowalabear is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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PIT
NO
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'kowalabear' picks Pittsburgh vs New Orleans to go Over (44.5)

kowalabear is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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Over
Under

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