Miami Dolphins

3rd in AFC East (6 - 7 - 0)

Next Game

Mon, Dec 15 20:15 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Warren Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

Jaylen Warren
J. Warren
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.45
Best Odds

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football. The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

Jaylen Warren logo

Jaylen Warren

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.45
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.45

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football. The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

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DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

DK Metcalf
D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.46
Best Odds

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football. The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

DK Metcalf logo

DK Metcalf

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.46
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.46

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average). Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football. The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

All Matchup props

Darren Waller Receptions Made Props • Miami

Darren Waller
D. Waller
tight end TE • Miami
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.67
Best Odds

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs. This year, the feeble Steelers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in football. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

Darren Waller logo

Darren Waller

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.67
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.67

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs. This year, the feeble Steelers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-largest rate in football. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

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De'Von Achane Receptions Made Props • Miami

De'Von Achane
D. Achane
running back RB • Miami
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.03
Best Odds

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. De'Von Achane's 74.2% Route Participation% this year signifies a meaningful progression in his passing game usage over last year's 61.2% figure. The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs. De'Von Achane grades out as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

De'Von Achane logo

De'Von Achane

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.03
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.03

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. De'Von Achane's 74.2% Route Participation% this year signifies a meaningful progression in his passing game usage over last year's 61.2% figure. The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs. De'Von Achane grades out as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

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Jaylen Waddle Receptions Made Props • Miami

Jaylen Waddle
J. Waddle
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. In this game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8. Jaylen Waddle checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Jaylen Waddle logo

Jaylen Waddle

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. In this game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.4 targets. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8. Jaylen Waddle checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

All Matchup props

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

Kenneth Gainwell
K. Gainwell
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.85
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kenneth Gainwell has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Calvin Austin III Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

Calvin Austin III
C. Austin III
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.45
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Calvin Austin III has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Malik Washington Receptions Made Props • Miami

Malik Washington
M. Washington
wide receiver WR • Miami
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.08
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Malik Washington has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Greg Dulcich Receptions Made Props • Miami

Greg Dulcich
G. Dulcich
tight end TE • Miami
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.17
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Greg Dulcich has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 6 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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