Cleveland Browns

3rd in AFC North (2 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 26 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown Props • New England

Rhamondre Stevenson
R. Stevenson
running back RB • New England
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.76
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.76
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. The projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this contest (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played). When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 85.1% to 88.7%.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.76

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. The projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this contest (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played). When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 85.1% to 88.7%.

All Matchup props

Harold Fannin Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Harold Fannin Jr.
H. Fannin Jr.
tight end TE • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

Harold Fannin Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.25
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.25

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

All Matchup props

Jerry Jeudy Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Jerry Jeudy
J. Jeudy
wide receiver WR • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). While Jerry Jeudy has accounted for 17.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's passing offense near the goal line this week at 23.3%. Jerry Jeudy places in the 84th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 57.1 figure this year. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

Jerry Jeudy

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.25
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.25

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). While Jerry Jeudy has accounted for 17.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's passing offense near the goal line this week at 23.3%. Jerry Jeudy places in the 84th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 57.1 figure this year. This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Stefon Diggs Score a Touchdown Props • New England

Stefon Diggs
S. Diggs
wide receiver WR • New England
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. While Stefon Diggs has garnered 18.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of New England's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 25.2%. Stefon Diggs's 51.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 89.0%.

Stefon Diggs

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.4

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. While Stefon Diggs has garnered 18.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of New England's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 25.2%. Stefon Diggs's 51.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 89.0%.

All Matchup props

Hunter Henry Score a Touchdown Props • New England

Hunter Henry
H. Henry
tight end TE • New England
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. With an exceptional 25.9% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. Hunter Henry has posted a massive 44.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. Hunter Henry's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for tight ends. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year.

Hunter Henry

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.33
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.33

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. With an exceptional 25.9% Red Zone Target Share (95th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry stands among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. Hunter Henry has posted a massive 44.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. Hunter Henry's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for tight ends. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year.

All Matchup props

Quinshon Judkins Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Quinshon Judkins
Q. Judkins
running back RB • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.47
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

Quinshon Judkins

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.47
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.47

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

All Matchup props

Drake Maye Score a Touchdown Props • New England

Drake Maye
D. Maye
quarterback QB • New England
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.12
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.12
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. This year, the stout Cleveland Browns run defense has given up a puny 0.43 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

Drake Maye

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.12
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.12

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year. This year, the stout Cleveland Browns run defense has given up a puny 0.43 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

All Matchup props

Dillon Gabriel Score a Touchdown Props • Cleveland

Dillon Gabriel
D. Gabriel
quarterback QB • Cleveland
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.04
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

Dillon Gabriel

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.04
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.04

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average). This year, the anemic Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.43 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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