Cleveland Browns

4th in AFC North (4 - 12 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Jan 4 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chase Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Chase Brown
C. Brown
running back RB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.1% red zone pass rate. The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per play. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. Chase Brown has accrued a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Chase Brown logo

Chase Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.77

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.1% red zone pass rate. The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per play. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. Chase Brown has accrued a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

All Matchup props

Ja'Marr Chase Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Ja'Marr Chase
J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.1% red zone pass rate. The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per play. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. Ja'Marr Chase has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.9% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Ja'Marr Chase logo

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.1% red zone pass rate. The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per play. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. Ja'Marr Chase has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.9% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among WRs.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo