Cleveland Browns

4th in AFC North (4 - 12 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Jan 4 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns Props • Cincinnati

Joe Burrow
J. Burrow
quarterback QB • Cincinnati
Prop
1.5
Passing Touchdowns
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 37.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks. Joe Burrow profiles as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with a fantastic 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Joe Burrow logo

Joe Burrow

Prop: 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Projection:
1.8

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.2% red zone pass rate. The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The predictive model expects Joe Burrow to attempt 37.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks. Joe Burrow profiles as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with a fantastic 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 81st percentile.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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