Cleveland Browns

4th in AFC North (3 - 10 - 0)

Next Game

CLECleveland Cleveland
at
Chicago CHIChicago
Sun, Dec 14 13:00 ET

CLE @ CHI Picks

NFL Picks
Game Prop
Cleveland Browns logo u15.5 Team Total (-107)
Best Odds
u24.5 -136 Caesars
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u23.5  -102
u16.5  -140
u15.5  -113
 -
u24.5  -136

I expect rookie QB Shedeur Sanders to come back to earth in this road start. He was able to overcome a horrible Raiders defense in his first pro outing but the Bears defense is a much more dangerous test. Chicago’s stop unit was soft to start the schedule but has improved since Week 10, more specifically against the pass. The Bears run a high rate of man-to-man coverage and thrive on takeaways, with a league high 18 interceptions. Sanders has played three zone-heavy secondaries in Las Vegas, San Francisco and Tennessee – three defenses that also sit 24th or worse in EPA allowed per dropback. Sanders, who completion rate dips below 42% versus man coverage, will be forced to throw into tight windows against a ball-hawking secondary.

Receptions Made
Colston Loveland logo
Colston Loveland u3.5 Receptions Made (-115)
Projection 2.43 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u3.5  -141
These are quick bet odds
u3.5  -115
u3.5  -136
These are quick bet odds
 -
u3.5  -134
These are quick bet odds
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. This year, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a measly 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-115 at bet365
Passing Completions
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u17.5 Passing Completions (-107)
Projection 15.12 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -107 Caesars
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u17.5  -124
u17.5  -110
u17.5  -114
 -
u17.5  -107
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-107 at Caesars
Passing Attempts
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o31.5 Passing Attempts (+105)
Projection 34.43 (Over)
Best Odds
o30.5 -118 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o30.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -115
o30.5  -122
These are quick bet odds
 -
o31.5  +105
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 138.4 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
-118 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders u196.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Projection 179.93 (Under)
Best Odds
u196.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u188.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
u196.5  +100
u189.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u187.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
+100 at bet365
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u193.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 180 (Under)
Best Odds
u194.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u193.5  -113
u193.5  -110
u194.5  -114
 -
u194.5  -115
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 192.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-114 at FanDuel
Interceptions Thrown
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+155)
Projection 0.41 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +155 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +138
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +155
u0.5  +142
 -
u0.5  +140
At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.. Chicago's defense profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, averaging 1.19 per game.
+155 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Colston Loveland logo
Colston Loveland u37.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 25.85 (Under)
Best Odds
u37.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u35.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u37.5  -110
u37.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u36.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a puny 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-fewest in football.. This year, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a measly 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 15.56 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -108 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -110
o14.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o13.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game.. In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets.. With an extraordinary 10.6% Target Share (84th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-108 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams o17.5 Rushing Yards (-107)
Projection 25.25 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o17.5  -107
o18.5  -110
o17.5  -114
o24.5  +160
o17.5  -113
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bears to run on 49.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.4 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game.
-107 at DraftKings
Rushing Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o70.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Projection 75.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o69.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o70.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o69.5  -110
o70.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o74.5  -111
o70.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
At the moment, the 6th-most run-focused offense in football (42.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Browns.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 138.4 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The Chicago Bears defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering 5.16 adjusted yards-per-carry.. The Bears defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst DT corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
-110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

63% picking Chicago

37%
63%

Total Picks CLE 145, CHI 246

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'tolro234' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'tolro234' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'csmooth515' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

csmooth515 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'csmooth515' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

csmooth515 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'jenjay23' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'jenjay23' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (41.0)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'livelywee55' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (39.5)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (40.0)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'gcotton69' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.5)

gcotton69 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'gcotton69' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (39.5)

gcotton69 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Total

'mrsc328' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

mrsc328 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109
Spread

'mrsc328' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

mrsc328 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Spread

'stakay125' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

stakay125 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -104
-7.5 +101
Total

'stakay125' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

stakay125 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
39.5 -116
40 -109

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