Cleveland Browns

3rd in AFC North (2 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

CLECleveland Cleveland
at
New England NENew England
Sun, Oct 26 13:00 ET

CLE @ NE Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Austin Hooper logo Austin Hooper Score a Touchdown (Yes: +600)
Best Odds
 +600 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +550
 +600
 +550
 -
 +550

Cleveland’s defense doesn’t travel well. At home, they’ve allowed just 40 points across four games, but on the road, they’ve given up 98 to Baltimore, Detroit, and Pittsburgh. With Drake Maye making real strides this season, I’m not shying away from backing the Patriots' offense against the Browns. While Hunter Henry might look like the obvious play, I’m targeting Austin Hooper at +600. He was the only tight end to see a red-zone target last week — and he converted it into a 3-yard touchdown. The Patriots have struggled to run near the goal line, so don’t be surprised if they lean on 2TE sets and throw inside the 20. Cleveland has also allowed touchdowns to backup tight ends in two of their last three games — Conner Heyward (+2700) and Josh Oliver (+1300) — making Hooper a live longshot.

Score a Touchdown
Rhamondre Stevenson logo Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown (Yes: -120)
Best Odds
 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
 +100
 -115
 +100
 -
 +100

Following Antonio Gibson landing on the IR, New England has made it clear that despite his fumble issues, Rhamondre Stevenson remains the clear-cut RB1 for Mike Vrabel’s team. Stevenson is coming off an 18-carry outing against Tennessee and has found paydirt three times in as many games. Expect him to be the focal point inside the red zone against Cleveland.

Score a Touchdown
Rhamondre Stevenson logo
Rhamondre Stevenson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +100)
Projection 0.75 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 +100
 -115
 +100
 -
 +100
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Patriots.. The projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone in this contest (13.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.7% in games he has played).. When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year.. Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 85.1% to 88.7%.
+100 at DraftKings
Passing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye u226.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 209.97 (Under)
Best Odds
u226.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u223.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u220.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u226.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u222.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 192.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Dillon Gabriel logo
Dillon Gabriel u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+120)
Projection 0.47 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +120 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +120
These are quick bet odds
 -
u0.5  +120
u0.5  +110
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +105
At the moment, the 6th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.7% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.. The model projects the Browns to call the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the worst in the league this year.
+120 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
QJ
Quinshon Judkins o8.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 13.67 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o8.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average).. This year, the feeble New England Patriots pass defense has conceded a whopping 88.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.. This year, the anemic New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a staggering 6.90 yards.. The Patriots safeties rank as the 10th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson logo
Rhamondre Stevenson o10.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 16.09 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o10.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
 -
With a sizeable 47.6% Route Participation Rate (78th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson places among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the league.. The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 3.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among running backs.. When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among running backs this year, accruing a whopping 5.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).. In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the best in football this year.. Rhamondre Stevenson comes in as one of the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 16.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jerry Jeudy logo
Jerry Jeudy o44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 51.12 (Over)
Best Odds
o44.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o46.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o45.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o44.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o44.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average).. With a sizeable 91.8% Route Participation% (88th percentile) this year, Jerry Jeudy has been as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in football.. This week, Jerry Jeudy is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.. The New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.5%) versus WRs this year (71.5%).
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Dillon Gabriel logo
Dillon Gabriel o5.5 Rushing Yards (-106)
Projection 12.47 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o5.5  -106
These are quick bet odds
 -
o4.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o5.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o4.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy team in the league (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Browns.. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average).. The New England defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Rhamondre Stevenson logo
Rhamondre Stevenson o48.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 63.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o48.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o48.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o50.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o49.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o50.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 16.7 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among RBs.. The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to be a more important option in his team's ground game in this game (56.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (39.4% in games he has played).
-113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
QJ
Quinshon Judkins o67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 76.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o66.5 -107 Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o67.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o66.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o66.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o66.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy team in the league (41.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Browns.. The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Browns this year (a whopping 62.4 per game on average).. The New England defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
-107 at Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 32.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o26.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o29.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o27.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o26.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The Patriots are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'JAL25' is picking New England to cover (-6.5)

JAL25 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Spread

'Fingerscrossed' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

Fingerscrossed is #10 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'Fingerscrossed' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Under (40.5)

Fingerscrossed is #10 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
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'MOEMONIE' is picking Cleveland to cover (+6.5)

MOEMONIE is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'MOEMONIE' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Under (40.5)

MOEMONIE is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
Spread

'tolro234' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

tolro234 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'tolro234' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Under (40.5)

tolro234 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
Total

'jooseerob' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Over (40.5)

jooseerob is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
Spread

'jooseerob' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

jooseerob is #5 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Spread

'theronstart27' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

theronstart27 is #6 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Spread

'mrsc328' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

mrsc328 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'pokersquirrel' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Over (40.5)

pokersquirrel is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
Spread

'pokersquirrel' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.0)

pokersquirrel is #7 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
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'CJONES1068' is picking Cleveland to cover (+6.5)

CJONES1068 is #8 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'chiefchief888' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Over (40.5)

chiefchief888 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102
Spread

'chiefchief888' is picking New England to cover (-7.0)

chiefchief888 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Spread

'joebatters' is picking Cleveland to cover (+6.5)

joebatters is #9 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
NE
Spread
+7.0 -106
-6.5 -118
Total

'joebatters' picks Cleveland vs New England to go Over (40.5)

joebatters is #9 on picking games that New England is in with a record of (6-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
40.5 -105
40.5 -102

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