Cleveland Browns

4th in AFC North (3 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

SFSan Francisco San Francisco
at
Cleveland CLECleveland
Sun, Nov 30 13:00 ET

SF @ CLE Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Harold Fannin Jr. logo Harold Fannin Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +425)
Best Odds
 +425 bet365
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +360
 +425
 +380
 -
 +360

Shadeur Sanders isn’t the worst quarterback in football, and Harold Fannin looked like his go-to target last week against the Raiders. The rookie tight end led the team with six targets and caught four for 40 yards. Outside of Quinshon Judkins, he’s the only Cleveland player I trust in Week 13. The Browns ran exclusively in the red zone last week, but they’re likely facing a more negative script on Sunday. Fannin has been as short as +300 for a TD this season, but with this matchup and quarterback play, I’d only take it down to +350.

Total
San Francisco 49ers logo Cleveland Browns logo u40.0 (-110)
Best Odds
u36.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u36.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u36.5  -110
u36.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u36.0  -105
These are quick bet odds
u36.5  -128
These are quick bet odds

The 49ers offense faces not only a disruptive Cleveland defense in Week 13 but also some nasty weather. The extended forecast is calling for a mix of rain and snow with wind gusts up to 30 mph and temperatures that “feel like” 27 degrees. Niners QB Brock Purdy is mired in turnover troubles while the Browns will start rookie QB Shedeur Sanders. I’m grabbing the Under early in the week before books take a chunk out of this number due to the forecast.

Receptions Made
George Kittle logo
George Kittle u4.5 Receptions Made (+110)
Projection 3.88 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +128 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u4.5  +115
These are quick bet odds
 -
u4.5  +128
These are quick bet odds
u4.5  +110
These are quick bet odds
u4.5  +110
These are quick bet odds
The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.. George Kittle's 43.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 48.4.. George Kittle's 4.2 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 5.3 figure.
+128 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o14.5 Passing Completions (+108)
Projection 18.71 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -138 Caesars
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  +108
These are quick bet odds
 -
o13.5  -140
These are quick bet odds
o14.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -138
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL versus the 49ers defense this year (72.5% Adjusted Completion%).. The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
-138 at Caesars
Passing Attempts
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o26.5 Passing Attempts (-105)
Projection 31.43 (Over)
Best Odds
o26.5 -105 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o27.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
 -
o27.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o26.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  +100
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
-105 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o156.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 188.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o151.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o156.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o157.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o151.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o155.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (248.0 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.. The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Interceptions Thrown
Brock Purdy logo
Brock Purdy u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+113)
Projection 0.44 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +113
These are quick bet odds
 -
u0.5  +112
u0.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +105
The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. This week, Brock Purdy is forecasted by the projections to average the 11th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.5. . Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.. The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.88 throws per game this year, ranking as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.
+113 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
George Kittle logo
George Kittle u54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 44.79 (Under)
Best Odds
u54.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u54.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
u52.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u54.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u53.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.. After totaling 56.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has seen a big downtick this season, now sitting at 38.0 per game.. George Kittle's 43.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 48.4.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Attempts
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey u19.5 Rushing Attempts (-135)
Projection 17.19 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -135 BetMGM
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u18.5  -109
 -
u18.5  -130
u19.5  -135
u18.5  -117
The Cleveland Browns defensive ends rank as the best collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
-135 at BetMGM

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

60% picking San Francisco

60%
40%

Total Picks SF 286, CLE 189

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'tolro234' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +7850 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'tolro234' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +7850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Spread

'harrisonian175' is picking Cleveland to cover (+6.5)

harrisonian175 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +7070 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'harrisonian175' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (40.5)

harrisonian175 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +7070 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Total

'boogs1064' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

boogs1064 is #10 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Spread

'boogs1064' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

boogs1064 is #10 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'livelywee55' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Under (42.5)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +6650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Spread

'chiefchief888' is picking Cleveland to cover (+6.5)

chiefchief888 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'chiefchief888' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

chiefchief888 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Total

'Rads5777' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

Rads5777 is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4980 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Spread

'Rads5777' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

Rads5777 is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4980 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Spread

'mrsc328' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

mrsc328 is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-1-1) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Spread

'tmd122567' is picking San Francisco to cover (-5.0)

tmd122567 is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (4-1-2) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'tmd122567' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (36.5)

tmd122567 is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (4-1-2) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115
Spread

'csmooth515' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

csmooth515 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
SF
CLE
Spread
-3.5 -139
+5.5 -110
Total

'csmooth515' picks San Francisco vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

csmooth515 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
36.5 +104
37.5 -115

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