Cincinnati Bengals

3rd in AFC North (3 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

Thu, Nov 27 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lamar Jackson Score a Touchdown Props • Baltimore

Lamar Jackson
L. Jackson
quarterback QB • Baltimore
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.35
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. Lamar Jackson has been one of the best touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 1.67 per game while ranking in the 86th percentile. This year, the deficient Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a colossal 2.27 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the biggest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Lamar Jackson logo

Lamar Jackson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.35
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.35

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. Lamar Jackson has been one of the best touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 1.67 per game while ranking in the 86th percentile. This year, the deficient Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a colossal 2.27 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the biggest rate in football. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

All Matchup props

Zay Flowers Score a Touchdown Props • Baltimore

Zay Flowers
Z. Flowers
wide receiver WR • Baltimore
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.52
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. While Zay Flowers has accounted for 15.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Baltimore's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 21.7%. Zay Flowers's 64.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 65.7% to 76.4%. The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.9%) versus wide receivers this year (67.9%).

Zay Flowers logo

Zay Flowers

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.52
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.52

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. While Zay Flowers has accounted for 15.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Baltimore's offense near the end zone in this week's game at 21.7%. Zay Flowers's 64.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs. Zay Flowers's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 65.7% to 76.4%. The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.9%) versus wide receivers this year (67.9%).

All Matchup props

Mike Gesicki Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Mike Gesicki
M. Gesicki
tight end TE • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.26
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Mike Gesicki logo

Mike Gesicki

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.26
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.26

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

All Matchup props

Chase Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Chase Brown
C. Brown
running back RB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Chase Brown logo

Chase Brown

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.6

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

All Matchup props

Mark Andrews Score a Touchdown Props • Baltimore

Mark Andrews
M. Andrews
tight end TE • Baltimore
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.54
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. With a sizeable 25.6% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL. Mark Andrews's 36.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs. With a fantastic ratio of 0.42 per game through the air (91st percentile), Mark Andrews has been as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 1.18 per game this year.

Mark Andrews logo

Mark Andrews

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.54

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. With a sizeable 25.6% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL. Mark Andrews's 36.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs. With a fantastic ratio of 0.42 per game through the air (91st percentile), Mark Andrews has been as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL to tight ends: 1.18 per game this year.

All Matchup props

Joe Burrow Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Joe Burrow
J. Burrow
quarterback QB • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.08
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 39.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.

Joe Burrow logo

Joe Burrow

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.08
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.08

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 39.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.

All Matchup props

Ja'Marr Chase Score a Touchdown Props • Cincinnati

Ja'Marr Chase
J. Chase
wide receiver WR • Cincinnati
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.66
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.66
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Ja'Marr Chase logo

Ja'Marr Chase

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.66
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.66

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Bengals are huge underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan. Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.1% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 65.5% red zone pass rate. Right now, the 3rd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cincinnati Bengals. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.

All Matchup props

Derrick Henry Score a Touchdown Props • Baltimore

Derrick Henry
D. Henry
running back RB • Baltimore
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.85
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.85
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, averaging an astounding 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the most touchdowns through the air in football to running backs: 0.55 per game this year. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Derrick Henry logo

Derrick Henry

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.85

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the projections to call 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week. When talking about air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, averaging an astounding 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards). This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the most touchdowns through the air in football to running backs: 0.55 per game this year. When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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