Cincinnati Bengals
Picks

3rd in AFC North (4 - 9 - 0)

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Sun, Dec 14 13:00 ET

BAL @ CIN Picks

Score First Touchdown

Mark Andrews Score First Touchdown (Yes: +1000)

Best Odds

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

Has six TDs this season and faces a Bengals defense who've allowed 15 touchdowns to tight ends.

Receiving Yards

Rashod Bateman o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Best Odds

Pick made: 2 days ago

Just a season removed from hauling in nine receiving touchdowns with a high-end 16.6 yards per reception and a 15.2 aDoT, Bateman has dipped to respective 12.1 and 12.9 marks with just two scores through 11 games in 2025. In turn, his receiving yards total has also dipped considerably, while his role remains steady as the No. 2 wide receiver for the Ravens. So, with the Bengals ranking 32nd in dropback success rate, 28th in PFF coverage grade and allowing the second-highest yards per target, I like Bateman to clear this total for a second consecutive week.

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Touchdowns

Isaiah Likely o0.5 Touchdowns (+245)

Best Odds

Pick made: 3 days ago

What a price against the Bengals, who have been the most generous defense to opposing tight ends by a wide margin. Last week, Dalton Kincaid and Jackson Hawes both scored in the snow, giving Cincinnati 14 and 15 tight end touchdowns allowed on the season. The next-closest team has allowed nine. Isaiah Likely saw three red-zone targets last week and put up 95 yards, plus what should have been a touchdown on Thanksgiving vs. the Bengals. I’m surprised this number is still north of +200, as I have the fair price closer to +170. Even Kincaid was +200 last week, coming off a lengthy injury.

Passing Yards

Lamar Jackson u229.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 209.35 (Under)

Best Odds

u231.5 -110

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u227.5 -111

u231.5 -110

u228.5 -114

u229.5 -115

u228.5 -115

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in football (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per snap.. Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 30.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.. Lamar Jackson's 187.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year reflects a noteworthy regression in his passing talent over last year's 243.0 figure.

Passing Yards

Joe Burrow o263.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Projection 275.3 (Over)

Best Odds

o259.5 -114

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o260.5 -113

o263.5 -110

o259.5 -114

o263.5 -115

o261.5 -115

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to attempt 40.3 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the league (259.0 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Derrick Henry o7.5 Receiving Yards (-105)

Projection 11.92 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Derrick Henry has put up a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among running backs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (44.0) vs. running backs this year.. The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus running backs this year, giving up 7.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

Receiving Yards

Chase Brown o21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 26.53 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.5 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Chase Brown to total 5.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.. When it comes to air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a remarkable 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

-114 at FanDuel

Receiving Yards

Mark Andrews u39.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Projection 36.16 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: 21 hours ago

EV Model Rating

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in football (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per snap.. Mark Andrews has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).. As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Ravens grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.. Mark Andrews's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 40.0 figure.

Rushing Yards

Joe Burrow o5.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 11.99 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. While Joe Burrow has accounted for 6.1% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Cincinnati's running game this week at 11.7%.

Rushing Yards

Chase Brown o48.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 54.77 (Over)

Best Odds

Pick made: 22 hours ago

EV Model Rating

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry u86.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 79.9 (Under)

Best Odds

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

The Baltimore Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in football (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per snap.. Derrick Henry's 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a noteable regression in his rushing skills over last season's 118.0 figure.. Derrick Henry's ground efficiency has declined this year, totaling a measly 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 6.17 rate last year.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

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63% picking Cincinnati

37% 37%

63% 63%

Total Picks BAL 289, CIN 497

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Top User Picks

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'Jhusagic' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+2.5)

Jhusagic is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' picks Baltimore vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.5)

Jhusagic is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (11-0-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'gator49' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+2.5)

gator49 is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (7-2-1) and +6300 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' picks Baltimore vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.5)

bluetide007 is #6 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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'bluetide007' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+3.0)

bluetide007 is #6 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +6200 units on the season.

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BAL

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'Mochiman' picks Baltimore vs Cincinnati to go Over (51.5)

Mochiman is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'Mochiman' is picking Baltimore to cover (-2.5)

Mochiman is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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'ChOmP' picks Baltimore vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.5)

ChOmP is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'ChOmP' is picking Baltimore to cover (-2.5)

ChOmP is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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BAL

CIN

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'Pinza' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+2.5)

Pinza is #9 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'Pinza' picks Baltimore vs Cincinnati to go Under (51.5)

Pinza is #9 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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