Cincinnati Bengals

3rd in AFC North (3 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

CINCincinnati Cincinnati
at
Pittsburgh PITPittsburgh
Sun, Nov 16 13:00 ET

CIN @ PIT Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Jonnu Smith logo Jonnu Smith Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +250 bet365
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +235
 +250
 +240
 -
 +240

Cincinnati has been a disaster defensively, giving up 36.7 points per game over its last seven contests — and that’s not a typo. Tight ends are averaging over 80 receiving yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game against this unit. Jonnu Smith led all Steelers tight ends in routes last week with a 71% route share. He only saw two targets, but the entire offense struggled to move the ball. Among the three Pittsburgh tight ends, Smith is priced in the middle for an anytime touchdown, but he’s the best bet to score in what should be a high-total game and one of the softest matchups on the slate.

Total
Cincinnati Bengals logo Pittsburgh Steelers logo u50.5 (-115)
Best Odds
u49.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u49.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u49.0  -110
u49.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
u49.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u49.0  -107
These are quick bet odds

The Pittsburgh offense looked lost in Week 10, with Aaron Rodgers passing for just 161 yards and two interceptions against the Bolts. After a steady start through the first six weeks, this Steelers offense has tumbled down the advanced metrics the past four outings. This passing attack is far from explosive. Pittsburgh has posted only 21 completions of 20-plus yards with Rodgers averaging a league-low 3.7 air yards per completion for qualified QBs. If the Steelers are going to stop the bleeding, it will need the defense to step up at home. Pittsburgh’s performance on Sunday night wasn’t horrible, checking the Chargers to 4.6 yards per play, 18 first downs and sacking Justin Herbert four times. The extended forecast for Acrisure Stadium sees rains on Sunday with wind gusts as high as 21 mph. That could keep scoring down and make a mess of the questionable grass surface in the Steel City as well.

Score a Touchdown
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown Score a Touchdown (Yes: +130)
Projection 0.62 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +130 DraftKings
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
 +130
 +105
 +120
 -
 +123
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.2% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (64.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 132.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
+130 at DraftKings
Receptions Made
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren u2.5 Receptions Made (+115)
Projection 2.22 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 +115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u2.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
 -
u2.5  -102
u2.5  +115
These are quick bet odds
u2.5  -103
These are quick bet odds
This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6 points.. The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 50.2 plays per game.
+115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Completions
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco u25.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 23.42 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u25.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
 -
u25.5  -122
u25.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u25.5  -121
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.1 plays per game.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.. With a lackluster 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (24th percentile) this year, Joe Flacco ranks among the least on-target passers in the league.. The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers logo
Aaron Rodgers o232.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 252.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o232.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o232.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
o232.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o240.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o233.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 36.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. Aaron Rodgers's 67.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year's 63.8% figure.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (274.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Jonnu Smith logo
Jonnu Smith o20.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 31.76 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
 -
o19.5  -114
o22.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects Jonnu Smith to accumulate 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded a massive 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the worst in football.. This year, the porous Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a monstrous 9.49 yards.
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o20.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 27.61 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o20.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
o20.5  -114
o23.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o20.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Joe Flacco in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. A throwing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.0% of their downs: the greatest rate among all teams this week.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 132.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. The Steelers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
DK Metcalf logo
DK Metcalf o53.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 61.96 (Over)
Best Odds
o52.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o52.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
o55.5  -114
o52.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o53.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.. In this week's game, DK Metcalf is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.. The Steelers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.. This year, the shaky Bengals pass defense has given up a colossal 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 10th-largest rate in the NFL.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Chase Brown logo
Chase Brown o53.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Projection 64.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o52.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o53.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
 -
o52.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o54.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o53.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 132.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this week's contest, Chase Brown is predicted by the model to position himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.8 carries.. Chase Brown has earned 67.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Attempts
Jaylen Warren logo
Jaylen Warren o17.5 Rushing Attempts (+105)
Projection 19.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -135 BetMGM
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -145
 -
o17.5  -108
o16.5  -135
o17.5  +105
This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. This week, Jaylen Warren is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.4 rush attempts.. After taking on 25.6% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Jaylen Warren has had a larger role in the run game this year, currently accounting for 70.6%.. The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
-135 at BetMGM

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'stom5900' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-6.5)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +7750 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'stom5900' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (50.0)

stom5900 is #1 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +7750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Total

'ChOmP' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (49.5)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'ChOmP' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

ChOmP is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +5400 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Lucknuts' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (49.5)

Lucknuts is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Lucknuts' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

Lucknuts is #10 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4400 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
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'CJONES1068' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

CJONES1068 is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'CJONES1068' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (48.5)

CJONES1068 is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Total

'bigsmoke21169' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (49.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'bigsmoke21169' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-5.5)

bigsmoke21169 is #2 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +5900 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Bassboy7276' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (50.0)

Bassboy7276 is #3 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Total

'Bazooks813973' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.5)

Bazooks813973 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +5230 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Bazooks813973' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-5.5)

Bazooks813973 is #3 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +5230 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Spread

'Bassboy7276' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

Bassboy7276 is #3 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Spread

'warmastershake' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

warmastershake is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'warmastershake' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.0)

warmastershake is #4 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Total

'Schutz' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.5)

Schutz is #5 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Schutz' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

Schutz is #5 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'number46' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.5)

number46 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'number46' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

number46 is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Spread

'Rads5777' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+6.5)

Rads5777 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'bamabilly' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (50.0)

bamabilly is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'bamabilly' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-6.0)

bamabilly is #7 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Rads5777' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.5)

Rads5777 is #7 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Batch9' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+6.5)

Batch9 is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Batch9' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (50.0)

Batch9 is #8 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Rossi35' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+6.5)

Rossi35 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Rossi35' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (50.0)

Rossi35 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Kansas2014' is picking Pittsburgh to cover (-5.5)

Kansas2014 is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Kansas2014' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Under (49.5)

Kansas2014 is #9 on picking games that Pittsburgh is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108
Spread

'Mochiman' is picking Cincinnati to cover (+5.5)

Mochiman is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
CIN
PIT
Spread
+5.5 +100
-4.5 -125
Total

'Mochiman' picks Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh to go Over (49.0)

Mochiman is #9 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 -115
49 -108

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