Chicago Bears

3rd in NFC North (0 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

CHIChicago Chicago
at
Detroit DETDetroit
Sun, Sep 14 13:00 ET

CHI @ DET Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Detroit Lions logo DET -6.5 (-104)
Best Odds
-6.5 -104 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-6.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
-6.5  -110
-6.5  -104
These are quick bet odds
-6.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-6.5  -110
These are quick bet odds

The Lions paced the NFL in points per home game and have covered the number in 10 straight games following a loss.

Score a Touchdown
D'Andre Swift logo D'Andre Swift Score a Touchdown (Yes: +145)
Best Odds
 +150 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +150
 +135
 +150
 -
 +140

It’s an indoor game and the return of Ben Johnson to Detroit, and I’m happy to back the Chicago offense here—especially with former Lion D’Andre Swift at +145 to score a touchdown, which is my favorite angle. Swift played 81% of the snaps in Week 1 and handled Chicago’s only red-zone carry. He was highly involved despite playing on a rough surface last week, and the fast track indoors at Ford Field should only help his explosiveness. The Lions struggled against the run in Week 1, ranking 26th in success rate and 22nd in EPA per rush. If Swift sees similar usage, he has a great shot to find the end zone. I'd buy this to +115/+120.

Rushing Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo Jahmyr Gibbs o67.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o67.5 -113 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o67.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -110
o67.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o68.5  -115
These are quick bet odds

This is a buy-low spot for Gibbs who was limited to 19 yards on nine carries in a lopsided loss to the Packers last week. Gibbs was fifth in the NFL in rushing yards (1,412) last year and has rushed for 68+ yards in 13 of his last 18 games. That includes a pair of clashes against Chicago where he rushed for 109 and 87 yards. The Bears struggled against the run in Week 1, surrendering 120 yards on 26 carries. They are 22nd in the league in run defense grade per PFF, while ranking 28th in tackling grade. They could also be missing a pair of key defenders with DT Grady Jarrett sidelined in practice and LB T.J. Edwards limited after sitting out MNF with a groin injury. 

Passing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o246.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 262 (Over)
Best Odds
o243.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o250.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
o246.5  -110
o243.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o246.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o246.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. Jared Goff profiles as one of the leading passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 265.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. Jared Goff's 82.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last season's 72.0% mark.. Jared Goff ranks as one of the best per-play QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.. The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.37 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the league.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u218.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 212.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u218.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u213.5  -111
u218.5  -110
u215.5  -114
u218.5  -115
u216.5  -120
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).. The Lions safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
-110 at bet365
Interceptions Thrown
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-114)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u0.5  -119
u0.5  -120
u0.5  -114
u0.5  -120
u0.5  -127
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are projected by the model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.. The Lions have intercepted 0.87 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best defense in the league by this stat.. The Lions safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Cole Kmet logo
Cole Kmet o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 24.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
o19.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -119
The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).. The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.0 plays per game.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta logo
Sam LaPorta o44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 52.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o44.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o47.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o44.5  -110
o44.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o44.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o45.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. Sam LaPorta has run a route on 80.5% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to notch 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Sam LaPorta has totaled a massive 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.. Sam LaPorta grades out as one of the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 47.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
DJ Moore logo
DJ Moore o50.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 56 (Over)
Best Odds
o50.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o50.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o50.5  -110
o50.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o50.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o51.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).. The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.0 plays per game.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o14.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 17.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o17.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o14.5  -110
o16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o14.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -119
These are quick bet odds
The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).. The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The Chicago Bears have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.0 plays per game.. The Detroit Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs u68.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 53.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u68.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u67.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u68.5  -110
u67.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u68.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u68.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The predictive model expects the Lions offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.40 seconds per snap.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Chicago's LB corps has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Jared Goff logo
Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (+120)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +120 bet365
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o0.5  +120
 -
o0.5  +115
These are quick bet odds
 -
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.. With a 43.0% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Lions.. Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (140 per game) against the Bears defense since the start of last season.
+120 at bet365
Rushing Attempts
Jahmyr Gibbs logo
Jahmyr Gibbs u13.5 Rushing Attempts (+103)
Projection 11.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 +103 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u13.5  +103
u13.5  +100
u13.5  -102
u13.5  +100
u13.5  -104
The predictive model expects the Lions offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.40 seconds per snap.. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Chicago's LB corps has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
+103 at DraftKings

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

68% picking Detroit

32%
68%

Total Picks CHI 466, DET 989

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'Sandsaver727' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (48.5)

Sandsaver727 is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Spread

'Sandsaver727' is picking Chicago to cover (+4.5)

Sandsaver727 is #10 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
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'Carolina24' is picking Detroit to cover (-5.0)

Carolina24 is #10 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
Total

'Kansas2014' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (47.5)

Kansas2014 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Spread

'Kansas2014' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.0)

Kansas2014 is #2 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
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'whodat5400' is picking Detroit to cover (-5.5)

whodat5400 is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
Total

'whodat5400' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Over (48.5)

whodat5400 is #3 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Total

'fleterod' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (46.5)

fleterod is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Spread

'fleterod' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

fleterod is #3 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
Total

'PSL21' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Over (47.5)

PSL21 is #4 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Spread

'PSL21' is picking Detroit to cover (-4.5)

PSL21 is #4 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
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'chowchow' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

chowchow is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
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'kaitospapa' is picking Detroit to cover (-5.5)

kaitospapa is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
Total

'kaitospapa' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (48.5)

kaitospapa is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Total

'ramon87' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (46.5)

ramon87 is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
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'ramon87' is picking Detroit to cover (-6.5)

ramon87 is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128
Total

'redsox99' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Over (46.5)

redsox99 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Total

'grandellou11' picks Chicago vs Detroit to go Under (48.5)

grandellou11 is #9 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
46.5 -105
46.5 +100
Spread

'grandellou11' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

grandellou11 is #9 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CHI
DET
Spread
+6.5 -102
-6.0 -128

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