Chicago Bears

2nd in NFC North (9 - 4 - 0)

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CLECleveland Cleveland
at
Chicago CHIChicago
Sun, Dec 14 13:00 ET

CLE @ CHI Picks

NFL Picks
Receiving Yards
Harold Fannin Jr. logo Harold Fannin Jr. o47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o47.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
o50.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -110
o47.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o48.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o47.5  -118
These are quick bet odds

Chicago is allowing the fifth-most yards per pass attempt on the NFL this season, and tight ends have had plenty of success against the Bears.

That's good news for Harold Fannin Jr, who racked up a career-high 40 routes run against the Titans and will be the primary tight end with the injury to David Njoku.

Fannin has been the first read for more than 25% of the pass plays where he's been on the field over the past three games, and Shedeur Sanders is going to look for him often, given the issues with his offensive line.

The Bears have allowed 52+ yards to opposing tight ends in six of their last eight games, and Fannin will just be the next name on that list. 

 

Read Full Analysis
Touchdowns
Harold Fannin Jr. logo Harold Fannin Jr. o0.5 Touchdowns (+295)
Best Odds
o0.5 +280 bet365
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +265
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +280
o0.5  +270
These are quick bet odds
o0.5  +280
o0.5  +260
These are quick bet odds

Harold Fannin cashed for us last week at +300, and even after an 8/114/1 performance against the Titans, his touchdown price hasn’t moved much. He’s Shedeur Sanders’ favorite target, and the David Njoku injury is only increasing his involvement. Fannin might be the only TE/WR on this roster with red-zone looks from Sanders, and he’s scored in back-to-back weeks. A fair price here should be around +210 to +220.

Game Prop
Cleveland Browns logo u15.5 Team Total (-107)
Best Odds
u23.5 -110 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
u23.5  -110
u13.5  +100
u14.5  -113
u14.5  -125
u23.5  -112

I expect rookie QB Shedeur Sanders to come back to earth in this road start. He was able to overcome a horrible Raiders defense in his first pro outing but the Bears defense is a much more dangerous test. Chicago’s stop unit was soft to start the schedule but has improved since Week 10, more specifically against the pass. The Bears run a high rate of man-to-man coverage and thrive on takeaways, with a league high 18 interceptions. Sanders has played three zone-heavy secondaries in Las Vegas, San Francisco and Tennessee – three defenses that also sit 24th or worse in EPA allowed per dropback. Sanders, who completion rate dips below 42% versus man coverage, will be forced to throw into tight windows against a ball-hawking secondary.

Receptions Made
Colston Loveland logo
Colston Loveland u2.5 Receptions Made (+132)
Projection 2.37 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 -155 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u2.5  +126
These are quick bet odds
u3.5  -155
u2.5  +132
These are quick bet odds
u3.5  -160
These are quick bet odds
u2.5  +122
These are quick bet odds
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. This year, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a measly 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-155 at bet365
Passing Completions
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u16.5 Passing Completions (-104)
Projection 14.44 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 -145 BetMGM
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u16.5  -104
u16.5  -110
u16.5  -106
u17.5  -145
u16.5  -111
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-145 at BetMGM
Passing Attempts
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders o29.5 Passing Attempts (-105)
Projection 33.01 (Over)
Best Odds
o29.5 -105 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o29.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -110
o29.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  +105
These are quick bet odds
o30.5  -125
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 136.7 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
-105 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams u191.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 174.51 (Under)
Best Odds
u191.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
u189.5  -111
u189.5  -110
u191.5  -114
u189.5  -115
u189.5  -125
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 191.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.. The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
-114 at FanDuel
Interceptions Thrown
Shedeur Sanders logo
Shedeur Sanders u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+152)
Projection 0.42 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 +152 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +152
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +145
u0.5  +142
u0.5  +145
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  +140
At the present time, the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the league (58.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Browns.. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.. Chicago's defense profiles as the best in the NFL this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, averaging 1.20 per game.
+152 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Luther Burden III logo
Luther Burden III o26.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 42.83 (Over)
Best Odds
o26.5 -109 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o26.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -110
o27.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o29.5  -103
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 136.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-109 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Rome Odunze logo
Rome Odunze o36.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 45.91 (Over)
Best Odds
o29.5 -200 Caesars
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o36.5  -110
o38.5  -110
 -
o35.5  -110
o29.5  -200
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 137.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-200 at Caesars
Receiving Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o10.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 16.48 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o10.5  -115
o9.5  -110
o9.5  -114
o9.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o9.5  -122
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 137.6 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.. The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Colston Loveland logo
Colston Loveland u29.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 24.98 (Under)
Best Odds
u35.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
u29.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
u35.5  -110
u29.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u32.5  -145
These are quick bet odds
u29.5  -135
These are quick bet odds
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Bears, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.. The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.5 per game) this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a puny 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-fewest in football.. This year, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a measly 71.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o13.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 15.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o14.5  -110
o14.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o14.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o13.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 137.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.. The Bears have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 62.1 plays per game.. With an extraordinary 10.6% Target Share (84th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.. When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

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Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'tolro234' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'tolro234' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

tolro234 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +8800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'csmooth515' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

csmooth515 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'csmooth515' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

csmooth515 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'jenjay23' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'jenjay23' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (41.0)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (12-1-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'Cschmidt65' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.5)

Cschmidt65 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +7850 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'Cschmidt65' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (39.0)

Cschmidt65 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +7850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'livelywee55' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'livelywee55' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (39.5)

livelywee55 is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-1-0) and +7100 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'clairvoyant' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.5)

clairvoyant is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'clairvoyant' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.0)

clairvoyant is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'pittsburghphil' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.0)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (40.0)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'bobalten5000' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

bobalten5000 is #5 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Spread

'gcotton69' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.5)

gcotton69 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'gcotton69' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Over (39.5)

gcotton69 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'Nitetripper' is picking Chicago to cover (-7.5)

Nitetripper is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +5450 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'mrsc328' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

mrsc328 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137
Spread

'mrsc328' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

mrsc328 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (6-2-1) and +5300 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Spread

'stakay125' is picking Cleveland to cover (+7.5)

stakay125 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
CHI
Spread
+7.5 -106
-7.0 -111
Total

'stakay125' picks Cleveland vs Chicago to go Under (39.5)

stakay125 is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
38.5 +101
39.5 -137

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