Carolina Panthers

3rd in NFC South (0 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 21 13:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Pitts Sr. Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Kyle Pitts Sr.
K. Pitts Sr.
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Bijan Robinson
B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Drake London
D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.9
Best Odds

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Drake London

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.9

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

All Matchup props

Chuba Hubbard Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Chuba Hubbard
C. Hubbard
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate. With an elite 61.0% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Chuba Hubbard rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football. In this week's game, Chuba Hubbard is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets. Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons pass defense has given up a massive 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in football.

Chuba Hubbard

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.8
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.8

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate. With an elite 61.0% Route Participation Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Chuba Hubbard rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football. In this week's game, Chuba Hubbard is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets. Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons pass defense has given up a massive 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-biggest rate in football.

All Matchup props

Tetairoa McMillan Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.6
Best Odds

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate. The Falcons pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) to WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.6

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate. The Falcons pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) to WRs since the start of last season (68.1%).

All Matchup props

Ja'Tavion Sanders Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate.

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate.

All Matchup props

Hunter Renfrow Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Hunter Renfrow
H. Renfrow
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Hunter Renfrow has gone over 3.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Darnell Mooney Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Darnell Mooney
D. Mooney
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Darnell Mooney has gone over 3.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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