Kyle Pitts Sr. Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

The Falcons are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. The model projects the Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.