Carolina Panthers

1st in NFC South (1 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET

CAR @ CLE Picks

NFL Picks
Anytime Touchdown
Denzel Boston logo Denzel Boston Score a Touchdown (Yes: +310)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I really wanted Quinshon Judkins at 2.25x against the Panthers, who are getting gashed on the ground. However, getting Denzel Boston at this price after two weeks of cashing still feels long, with a fair price around 3.2x. Judkins has not found any room to run through two games, but Boston already has a 21% target share and a whopping 52% of the air-yard share. The only wide receivers with a bigger AYS are Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Justin Jefferson, and Chris Olave — some big hitters. Boston can run the deep route for a score like he did in Week 1 or catch and run for yards like last week. He's beaten the Jaguars and Bucs. Surely, he can beat the Panthers, who gave up 59 points in Week 1 before having to play the worst QB tandem in the history of the sport in Week 2.

Rushing Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo Quinshon Judkins o43.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This Judkins Over is in play to 46.5 because Carolina has allowed the highest yards per carry (6.31) to opposing running backs while ranking 29th in run defense DVOA through two weeks. The Cleveland rusher also cleared this total in nine of 14 games last season, and he has handled 75% of running back carries with a 66% snap share to start 2026. Judkins’ go-to role positions him to scamper well Over this number in the soft Week 3 matchup.

Total
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail o41.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Cleveland Browns finished No. 6 in EPA per dropback in Week 2. Deshaun Watson had his best game in a long time despite the Bucs bringing the heat, picking up 7.0 yards per pass. Carolina has thrown on 64% of dropbacks after a shootout with Chicago and a squash of Atlanta to kick off 2026. Quarterback Bryce Young is thriving with offensive coordinator Brad Idzik calling plays. He’s Top 10 in all the fancy passing stats, including air yards. Both teams have given up plays over the top, sitting sixth and seventh in most air yards allowed. The Panthers defense looks tougher than it truly is after fattening up on the Falcons’ backup QBs in Week 2. Carolina still got gashed for 157 rushing yards from Atlanta, despite focusing their energy on stuffing the run.

Total
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail o41.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Brad Izdik's new offense in Carolina is the real deal--aggressive and explosive. The Browns are more conservative, but the young players at receiver and on the line are delivering. 

Spread
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR -2.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

I'd take the Panthers giving points until 55%. The Panthers' defense had a big rebound in Week 2, and the offense has set a team scoring record through two weeks. 

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u225.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 196.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has allowed a meager 185.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the league.. The Browns defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.36 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.
Passing Yards
Deshaun Watson logo
Deshaun Watson o185.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 201.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.32 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 84th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the poor Panthers defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a colossal 0.52 YAC.
Rushing Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o55.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Projection 65.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
Rushing Yards
Deshaun Watson logo
Deshaun Watson o26.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 29.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.7. . With an outstanding rate of 3.25 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Deshaun Watson has been as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.
Rushing Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo
Chuba Hubbard o69.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
Projection 77.16 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The model projects Chuba Hubbard to total 21.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (77.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (37.4% in games he has played).. Chuba Hubbard's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a significant growth in his running talent over last year's 3.7 rate.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o12.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
Projection 14.63 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Harold Fannin Jr. o38.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 44.66 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has shown bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, giving up 8.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.
Receiving Yards
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
KC Concepcion Jr. o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 40.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.59 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the league.
Receiving Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o11.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 15.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
Receiving Yards
Darren Waller logo
Darren Waller o20.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Projection 22.78 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
With a 63.7% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. In regards to air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller rates in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 32.6 figure since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. With a terrific 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Darren Waller stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

72% picking Carolina

72%
28%

Total Picks CAR 528, CLE 208

Spread
CAR
CLE
Total

62% picking Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksCAR 280, CLE 172

Total
Over
Under

CAR @ CLE · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +2.5 spread
1.60 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +2.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+2.5 +105
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 42.5 Total
39.26 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
18.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 42.5 Total

PROJECTION

39.26 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
18.8% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u42.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u225.5 Passing Yards
196.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-28.7 DIFFERENCE
26.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u225.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

196.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-28.7 DIFFERENCE
26.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has allowed a meager 185.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the league.. The Browns defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.36 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.

u225.5 -111
DraftKings logo
PASSING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o185.5 Passing Yards
201.70 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
22.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o185.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.70 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
22.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.32 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 84th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the poor Panthers defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a colossal 0.52 YAC.

o185.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o55.5 Rushing Yards
65.56 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
24.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o55.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

65.56 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
24.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o55.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o26.5 Rushing Yards
29.70 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
21.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o26.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

29.70 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
21.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.7. . With an outstanding rate of 3.25 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Deshaun Watson has been as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.

o25.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o69.5 Rushing Yards
77.16 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
20.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o69.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

77.16 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
20.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Chuba Hubbard to total 21.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (77.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (37.4% in games he has played).. Chuba Hubbard's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a significant growth in his running talent over last year's 3.7 rate.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o69.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards
14.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o12.5 -130
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
44.66 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
23.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.66 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
23.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has shown bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, giving up 8.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

o35.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o34.5 Receiving Yards
40.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
21.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o34.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
21.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.59 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the league.

o30.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
15.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
20.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

15.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
20.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) o20.5 Receiving Yards
22.78 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
19.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) o20.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

22.78 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
19.97% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 63.7% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. In regards to air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller rates in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 32.6 figure since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. With a terrific 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Darren Waller stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

o20.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards
59.57 OVER PROJECTION
+4.1 DIFFERENCE
17.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

59.57 OVER PROJECTION
+4.1 DIFFERENCE
17.58% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 63.7% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

o55.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.84 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.84 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u4.5 -102
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.29 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.29 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 -120
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

u2.5 -119
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 -129
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.35 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.35 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o14.5 -108
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts
18.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
16.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

18.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
16.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Chuba Hubbard to total 21.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (77.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (37.4% in games he has played).. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o16.5 -125
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts
6.49 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
14.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.49 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
14.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.7. . Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to run the ball, making up 27.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among quarterbacks.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o5.5 -124
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u32.5 Passing Attempts
30.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

u33.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o29.5 -105
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
17.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.3 DIFFERENCE
20.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

17.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.3 DIFFERENCE
20.7% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u20.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.70 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.70 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.

o17.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.

+410
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.68 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.68 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Chuba Hubbard's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 83.6% mark.. Chuba Hubbard grades out in the 96th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.25 per game.. The Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for the 9th-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.21 per game since the start of last season.

-115
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. The Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.74 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.

+330
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. In regards to air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller rates in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 32.6 figure since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Darren Waller's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 67.5% mark.

+400
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+120
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.44% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+275
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.34% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+255
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 68.7% red zone pass rate.. At the present time, the 5th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.74 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

+510
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.. The Panthers have intercepted 0.94 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best defense in football by this statistic.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

u0.5 -102
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u0.5 -129
BetRivers logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +2.5 spread
1.60 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +2.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.31% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+2.5 +105
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 42.5 Total
39.26 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
18.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 42.5 Total

PROJECTION

39.26 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.2 DIFFERENCE
18.8% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u42.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u225.5 Passing Yards
196.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-28.7 DIFFERENCE
26.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u225.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

196.82 UNDER PROJECTION
-28.7 DIFFERENCE
26.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. Since the start of last season, the stout Browns defense has allowed a meager 185.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in the league.. The Browns defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.36 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-fewest in football.

u225.5 -111
DraftKings logo
PASSING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o185.5 Passing Yards
201.70 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
22.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o185.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.70 OVER PROJECTION
+16.2 DIFFERENCE
22.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 8.32 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 84th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the poor Panthers defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a colossal 0.52 YAC.

o185.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o55.5 Rushing Yards
65.56 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
24.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o55.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

65.56 OVER PROJECTION
+10.1 DIFFERENCE
24.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o55.5 -111
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o26.5 Rushing Yards
29.70 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
21.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o26.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

29.70 OVER PROJECTION
+3.2 DIFFERENCE
21.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.7. . With an outstanding rate of 3.25 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Deshaun Watson has been as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.. Opposing squads have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (141 per game) versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season.

o25.5 -114
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o69.5 Rushing Yards
77.16 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
20.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o69.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

77.16 OVER PROJECTION
+7.7 DIFFERENCE
20.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Chuba Hubbard to total 21.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (77.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (37.4% in games he has played).. Chuba Hubbard's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a significant growth in his running talent over last year's 3.7 rate.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o69.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards
14.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.63 OVER PROJECTION
+2.1 DIFFERENCE
17.87% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o12.5 -130
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
44.66 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
23.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.66 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
23.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has shown bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, giving up 8.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

o35.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o34.5 Receiving Yards
40.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
21.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o34.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
21.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.59 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-most in the league.

o30.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
15.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
20.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

15.40 OVER PROJECTION
+3.9 DIFFERENCE
20.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o10.5 -150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) o20.5 Receiving Yards
22.78 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
19.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) o20.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

22.78 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
19.97% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 63.7% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. In regards to air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller rates in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 32.6 figure since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. With a terrific 31.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Darren Waller stands among the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

o20.5 -109
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards
59.57 OVER PROJECTION
+4.1 DIFFERENCE
17.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

59.57 OVER PROJECTION
+4.1 DIFFERENCE
17.58% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 63.7% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Carolina Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

o55.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.84 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.84 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u4.5 -102
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
4.29 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.29 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 -120
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made
2.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) u2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

u2.5 -119
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-9.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 +110
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.68 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.

o3.5 -129
Caesars logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts
16.35 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

16.35 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o14.5 -108
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts
18.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
16.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

18.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
16.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects Chuba Hubbard to total 21.2 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (77.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (37.4% in games he has played).. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

o16.5 -125
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts
6.49 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
14.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o5.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.49 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
14.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to notch the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.7. . Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to run the ball, making up 27.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among quarterbacks.. The Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

o5.5 -124
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u32.5 Passing Attempts
30.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u32.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

30.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

u33.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.62 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

o29.5 -105
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
17.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.3 DIFFERENCE
20.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

17.23 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.3 DIFFERENCE
20.7% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u20.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.70 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.70 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
14.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.

o17.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.26 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.. With a stellar 77.6% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson stands as one of the most accurate passers in the league.

+410
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.68 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chuba Hubbard logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
C. Hubbard (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.68 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Chuba Hubbard's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 83.6% mark.. Chuba Hubbard grades out in the 96th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.25 per game.. The Cleveland Browns defense has been torched for the 9th-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.21 per game since the start of last season.

-115
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
T. McMillan (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.42 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. The Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.74 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

+190
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.. With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 67.2 offensive plays in this contest: the highest number on the slate this week.

+330
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Darren Waller logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
D. Waller (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.21 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 61.9% red zone pass rate.. In regards to air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller rates in the 87th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 32.6 figure since the start of last season.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Darren Waller's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 67.5% mark.

+400
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.45 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-5.11% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+120
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-11.44% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+275
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Denzel Boston logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Boston (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-13.34% EV

ANALYSIS

With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football in these situations has been the Cleveland Browns.. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projections to call 64.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

+255
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.11 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 68.7% red zone pass rate.. At the present time, the 5th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.74 per game) vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

+510
BetRivers logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.. When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.. The Panthers have intercepted 0.94 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best defense in football by this statistic.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Carolina's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

u0.5 -102
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Young logo
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail
B. Young (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.45 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

A running game script is suggested by the Panthers being a 3-point favorite in this game.. Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (only 55.1 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

u0.5 -129
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Mochiman' is picking Cleveland to cover (+2.5)

Mochiman is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'Mochiman' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

Mochiman is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' is picking Cleveland to cover (+2.5)

ldcpicks is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'ldcpicks' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (41.5)

ldcpicks is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'sniperpick' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (41.5)

sniperpick is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'sniperpick' is picking Cleveland to cover (+2.5)

sniperpick is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'SUNIN65' is picking Carolina to cover (-1.5)

SUNIN65 is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'SUNIN65' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Under (39.5)

SUNIN65 is #3 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'number46' is picking Cleveland to cover (+2.5)

number46 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'number46' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

number46 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
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'JFT1010' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

JFT1010 is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'JFT1010' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (40.5)

JFT1010 is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'OXPrez24' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Under (41.5)

OXPrez24 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'pgese' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

pgese is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'OXPrez24' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

OXPrez24 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'pgese' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Under (42.5)

pgese is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
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'steelsteve' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

steelsteve is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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'steelsteve' picks Carolina vs Cleveland to go Over (42.5)

steelsteve is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.

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Over
Under

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