Carolina Panthers

1st in NFC South (8 - 8 - 0)

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CARCarolina Carolina
at
Tampa Bay TBTampa Bay
Sat, Jan 3 16:30 ET

CAR @ TB Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard o28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o27.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o27.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -110
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds

Dowdle injured his toe in last weekend’s loss to the Seattle Seahawks, and while he’s expected to play on Saturday, he has missed practice on the short week. If Dowdle is hampered, the Panthers need Hubbard to step up in this do-or-die matchup.

Head coach Dave Canales didn’t hide his faith in Hubbard, calling him a stud and a leader on the team when asked about the veteran running back. “I love Chuba,” Canales told the media. “Going to give him the ball some more and find ways for him to impact the game, because he’s just a guy that I really trust.”

Hubbard’s Week 18 projections range from 27 rushing yards to 34 yards, with most models north of 30 yards on the ground. Given Dowdle’s injury and Canales’ promise of more touches, I believe the ceiling is high for Carolina’s Canadian-born running back in Week 18.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +260 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +255
 +250
 +260
 +250
 +255

In one of the few games where both teams have everything on the line, I’m backing the running back who controls 66% of the backfield workload and stands to earn an additional $250,000 with one more touchdown. This isn’t a longshot play, but with Carolina in must-win mode, Dowdle has clearly been the more effective back and should push past 20 opportunities. In a game plan built around him, the volume and motivation line up well for another trip to the end zone.

Score a Touchdown
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: +170)
Projection 0.58 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +170 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 +170
 +155
 +170
 +135
 +160
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-105)
Projection 0.39 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  -119
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -105
u0.5  -120
u0.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -124
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to throw 31.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
-105 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Tommy Tremble logo
Tommy Tremble o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 22.11 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -116
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
o16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Panthers being a big -7-point underdog in this week's contest.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.. This year, the imposing Buccaneers defense has given up a paltry 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-best in the NFL.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%).. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o17.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 20.95 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o17.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
o19.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.4% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Bryce Young's running efficiency (6.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among quarterbacks).
-110 at bet365
Rushing Attempts
Baker Mayfield logo
Baker Mayfield u3.5 Rushing Attempts (+110)
Projection 3.06 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u3.5  +110
 -
u3.5  +105
 -
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to earn 3.1 rush attempts this week, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.
+110 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'sherriffics' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

sherriffics is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'sherriffics' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

sherriffics is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'samua' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

samua is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'samua' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

samua is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Spread

'Skater4Life' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

Skater4Life is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'Skater4Life' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

Skater4Life is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'Jackson2399' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

Jackson2399 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'Jackson2399' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

Jackson2399 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Total

'DeaconBlues2525' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

DeaconBlues2525 is #4 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'muna624' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

muna624 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6050 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'muna624' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (44.5)

muna624 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Total

'Blondie69' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

Blondie69 is #7 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +5500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'teslaxyz' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

teslaxyz is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'teslaxyz' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

teslaxyz is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Spread

'dirtyharry57' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

dirtyharry57 is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+3.0 -111
-2.5 -114
Total

'dirtyharry57' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

dirtyharry57 is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-3-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -102
44.5 -126

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