Carolina Panthers

2nd in NFC South (6 - 5 - 0)

Next Game

CARCarolina Carolina
at
San Francisco SFSan Francisco
Mon, Nov 24 20:15 ET

CAR @ SF Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Tetairoa McMillan logo Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown (Yes: +160)
Best Odds
 +155 bet365
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +150
 +155
 +140
 -
 +151

Bryce Young finally showed some life last week, throwing for more yards than any Carolina quarterback has in franchise history. Now he gets a prime-time matchup against a defense that just allowed 47 completions to Jacoby Brissett, an NFL single-game record. Tetairoa McMillan offers one of the safest receiving floors in the league. He accounts for about 30% of Carolina’s targets and 40% of the air yards. Last week, he put up 130 yards on 12 targets with two touchdowns, and he led all Week-11 players with four red-zone targets. This TD price opened at +200, and the adjustment is the only reason it’s not an A-plus play.

Spread
San Francisco 49ers logo SF -6.5 (-110)
Best Odds
-7.0 -110 bet365
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
-7.0  -115
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -110
-7.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-7.0  -110
These are quick bet odds

With Brock Purdy back under center and WR Ricky Pearsall in the lineup, San Francisco’s offense almost has every key piece in play. It amassed 41 points on just 281 yards, thanks in part to three takeaways from the 49ers defense. San Francisco welcomes Carolina to the Bay Area for a Monday matchup in Week 12. The Panthers are ripe for a letdown spot after a thrilling comeback win over Atlanta in overtime Sunday. Carolina’s comeback was helped along by injuries to Falcons QB Michael Penix Jr. and star WR Drake London. Now the Panthers cross the country for their second straight road game and their third away contest in three weeks. Keep an eye on the practice work of QB Bryce Young, who went down twice with two different injuries in Week 11. I’m grabbing the red-hot Niners under the key number of a touchdown right now.

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o200.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 227.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o200.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o203.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o200.5  -114
o202.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o201.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. The Carolina Panthers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in football.. The Carolina offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (254.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.
-114 at FanDuel
Passing Yards
Brock Purdy logo
Brock Purdy o250.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 259.88 (Over)
Best Odds
o250.5 -114 FanDuel
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
o251.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
 -
o250.5  -114
o255.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o251.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
Brock Purdy's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 69.4%.. Brock Purdy checks in as one of the most effective passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 8.56 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.. This year, the feeble Panthers defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a massive 7.89 yards.
-114 at FanDuel
Receiving Yards
Jauan Jennings logo
Jauan Jennings o44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 58.56 (Over)
Best Odds
o44.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o44.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
o47.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o45.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The leading projections forecast Jauan Jennings to earn 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 72.92 (Over)
Best Odds
o59.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o62.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
o59.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o60.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. The Carolina Panthers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in football.. The Carolina offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.. This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a colossal 159.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 10th-worst in the league.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 23.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o17.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o17.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. The Carolina Panthers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in football.. The projections expect Rico Dowdle to accumulate 4.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.. Rico Dowdle profiles as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging a stellar 17.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey o42.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 46.72 (Over)
Best Odds
o41.5 -117 Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
 -
o42.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o41.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the model to find himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 7.0 targets.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a massive 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among RBs. (This may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).. Christian McCaffrey's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 33.9.. With a terrific 65.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey stands as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the league.
-117 at Caesars
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o18.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 21.52 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o18.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. The Carolina Panthers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in football.. The Carolina offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey u76.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Projection 68.41 (Under)
Best Odds
u76.5 -118 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u70.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
 -
u69.5  -114
u76.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
u72.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have just 127.2 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
-118 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle u79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 74.34 (Under)
Best Odds
u79.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u76.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
 -
u77.5  -114
u79.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
u77.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Panthers are projected by the projections to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

69% picking San Francisco

31%
69%

Total Picks CAR 150, SF 340

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CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
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'nextclique' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

nextclique is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'nextclique' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Over (48.5)

nextclique is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
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'campellnyr917' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'campellnyr917' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Over (45.5)

campellnyr917 is #2 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
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'harrisonian175' is picking San Francisco to cover (-7.0)

harrisonian175 is #2 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +6070 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'harrisonian175' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Under (48.5)

harrisonian175 is #2 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +6070 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
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'nogame' is picking Carolina to cover (+6.5)

nogame is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'nogame' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Under (45.5)

nogame is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
Spread

'CJONES1068' is picking Carolina to cover (+6.5)

CJONES1068 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
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'bestfriendbb' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

bestfriendbb is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'bestfriendbb' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Under (48.5)

bestfriendbb is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
Spread

'pastorhollywood' is picking San Francisco to cover (-6.5)

pastorhollywood is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'pastorhollywood' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Over (45.5)

pastorhollywood is #7 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114
Spread

'MaximusRamulous' is picking Carolina to cover (+7.0)

MaximusRamulous is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
SF
Spread
+7.5 -119
-6.5 -139
Total

'MaximusRamulous' picks Carolina vs San Francisco to go Over (48.5)

MaximusRamulous is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
48.5 +101
48.5 -114

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