Carolina Panthers

1st in NFC South (8 - 8 - 0)

Next Game

CARCarolina Carolina
at
Tampa Bay TBTampa Bay
Sat, Jan 3 16:30 ET

CAR @ TB Picks

NFL Picks
Rushing Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard o28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o27.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
o28.5  -109
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -110
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o27.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o28.5  -114
These are quick bet odds

Dowdle injured his toe in last weekend’s loss to the Seattle Seahawks and while he’s expected to play on Saturday, he has missed practice on the short week. If Dowdle is hampered, the Panthers need Hubbard to step up in this do-or-die matchup. Head coach Dave Canales didn’t hide his faith in Hubbard, calling him a stud and a leader on the team when asked about the veteran running back. “I love Chuba,” Canales told the media. “Going to give him the ball some more and find ways for him to impact the game, because he’s just a guy that I really trust.” Hubbard’s Week 18 projections range from 27 rushing yards to 34 yards, with most models north of 30 yards on the ground. Given Dowdle’s injury and Canales’ promise of more touches, I believe the ceiling is high for Carolina’s Canadian-born running back in Week 18.

Score a Touchdown
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +260 FanDuel
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +245
 +240
 +260
 +250
 +250

In one of the few games where both teams have everything on the line, I’m backing the running back who controls 66% of the backfield workload and stands to earn an additional $250,000 with one more touchdown. This isn’t a longshot play, but with Carolina in must-win mode, Dowdle has clearly been the more effective back and should push past 20 opportunities. In a game plan built around him, the volume and motivation line up well for another trip to the end zone.

Score a Touchdown
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: +175)
Projection 0.57 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +175 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 +175
 +150
 +175
 +140
 +167
Passing Yards
Baker Mayfield logo
Baker Mayfield u227.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 219.58 (Under)
Best Odds
u227.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u222.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u227.5  -110
u222.5  -114
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u227.5  -135
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u223.5  -125
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Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.. Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.. Baker Mayfield has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (194.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).
-110 at bet365
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-105)
Projection 0.39 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -105
u0.5  -113
u0.5  -130
These are quick bet odds
u0.5  -114
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 54.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to throw 31.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
-105 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Tommy Tremble logo
Tommy Tremble o17.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 22.26 (Over)
Best Odds
o16.5 -112 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o16.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
o16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o17.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o16.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 10th-best in football this year.. This year, the imposing Buccaneers defense has given up a paltry 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-best in the NFL.. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) versus tight ends this year (78.1%).. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
-112 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o55.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 63 (Over)
Best Odds
o55.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o55.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o56.5  -110
o56.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o56.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o56.5  -110
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The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to earn 16.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.. Rico Dowdle has picked up 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).
-110 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving o58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 64.04 (Over)
Best Odds
o49.5 -210 BetMGM
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o58.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o59.5  -110
o57.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o49.5  -210
o58.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
This year, the stout Carolina Panthers run defense has surrendered a mere 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Carolina's group of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
-210 at BetMGM
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o18.5 Rushing Yards (-107)
Projection 21.19 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -107 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o18.5  -107
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -110
o19.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o18.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. Bryce Young's running efficiency (6.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among quarterbacks).
-107 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Attempts
Rico Dowdle logo
Rico Dowdle o13.5 Rushing Attempts (-108)
Projection 15.23 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -108 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -116
o13.5  -115
o13.5  -108
o13.5  -120
o13.5  -117
The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to earn 16.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.. Rico Dowdle has garnered 54.9% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs.
-108 at FanDuel

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Total

'sherriffics' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

sherriffics is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Spread

'sherriffics' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

sherriffics is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +6650 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Total

'samua' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

samua is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Spread

'samua' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

samua is #10 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Spread

'Skater4Life' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

Skater4Life is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Total

'Skater4Life' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

Skater4Life is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Spread

'Jackson2399' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

Jackson2399 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Total

'Jackson2399' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

Jackson2399 is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Total

'DeaconBlues2525' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

DeaconBlues2525 is #4 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +5600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Spread

'muna624' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

muna624 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6050 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Total

'muna624' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (44.5)

muna624 is #4 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (12-3-0) and +6050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Total

'Blondie69' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.5)

Blondie69 is #7 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (11-5-0) and +5500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Spread

'teslaxyz' is picking Carolina to cover (+3.0)

teslaxyz is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
TB
Spread
+2.5 +104
-2.5 -111
Total

'teslaxyz' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (43.5)

teslaxyz is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126
Total

'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks Carolina vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #9 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
43.5 -104
44.5 -126

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