Carolina Panthers

1st in NFC South (7 - 6 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Dec 14 16:25 ET

CAR @ NO Picks

NFL Picks
MoneyLine
Carolina Panthers logo CAR (-156)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Shawn Krest image
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Saints' offense is bottom five in the league in scoring, turnovers lost, passing touchdowns, and the major rushing categories (yards, TDs, and per carry average).

The Saints have lost three straight ATS at home, and last week's upset at Tampa Bay was their first time topping the 20-point mark in eight games.

Rushing Yards
Tyler Shough logo Tyler Shough u21.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Tyler Shough scrambled for 55 yards on seven carries last week but 34 of those yards came on a single run. The rookie QB had been held below 20 rushing yards in four of his previous five starts and his previous career-high was a 22-yard game against Atlanta. He also didn't run much in college and on Sunday he faces a Carolina defense that contains quarterbacks on the ground. The Panthers have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (10.2) and the second-fewest yards per rush attempt (2.8) to opposing QBs. They are dead-last in the league in pressure rate so they rarely flush quarterbacks out of the pocket. 

Touchdowns
Chuba Hubbard logo Chuba Hubbard o0.5 Touchdowns (+205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Bettors may have forgotten how much Chuba Hubbard’s usage jumped before the bye. He went over 100 total yards for the first time all season in Week 13 against the Rams and scored his first touchdown since Week 8. He logged 17 carries to Rico Dowdle’s 18 and added two receptions. Dowdle is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry across his last four games on 61 attempts and may be trending toward a 1B role in what could be a run-heavy matchup with the Saints. There shouldn’t be a 100-point difference between the two Carolina backs in touchdown pricing. If Hubbard is in line for 15-plus touches, he should be closer to +140.

Spread
Carolina Panthers logo CAR -2.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Carolina is coming off a Week 14 bye in the thick of the race for top spot in the NFC South, and the Black Cats are trading Under the key number of 3 against the 3-10 Saints. New Orleans is ripe for a letdown spot after playing spoiler and topping the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14, while Carolina quarterback Bryce Young is quietly turning the corner with the eighth-highest EPA+CPOE composite dating back to Week 9. Young has aired it out for 8.8 yards per attempt with a  68.1 completion percentage over his past three games, too.

Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o195.5 Passing Yards (-105)
Projection 218.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Passing Yards
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough o203.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 211.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 7.77 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in football.
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+108)
Projection 0.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in the league.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 22.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan o54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 68.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Juwan Johnson logo
Juwan Johnson o36.5 Receiving Yards (-140)
Projection 46.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the model to slot into the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.2 targets.. After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has been rising this season, now sitting at 43.0 per game.. The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (64.0) to TEs this year.
Receiving Yards
Chris Olave logo
Chris Olave o58.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 62.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.. After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last year, Chris Olave has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 107.0 per game.. Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.
Rushing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young o8.5 Rushing Yards (-106)
Projection 14.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Carolina Panthers to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. Bryce Young's ground efficiency (6.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile among quarterbacks).. This year, the poor New Orleans Saints run defense has been gouged for a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 7th-most in football.
Rushing Yards
DN
Devin Neal o55.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 59.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (44.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. At the present time, the quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New Orleans Saints.. This year, the tough Panthers run defense has allowed a puny 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.
Rushing Attempts
Tyler Shough logo
Tyler Shough u5.5 Rushing Attempts (-105)
Projection 4.56 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

73% picking Carolina

73%
27%

Total Picks CAR 552, NO 201

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CAR
NO

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'samua' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

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CAR
NO
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'samua' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

samua is #1 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-4-0) and +5150 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (40.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'TwoDrunk2Bunt' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

TwoDrunk2Bunt is #1 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (8-2-1) and +7300 units on the season.

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CAR
NO
Total

'campellnyr917' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Under (39.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'campellnyr917' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

campellnyr917 is #6 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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CAR
NO
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'sockss109' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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CAR
NO
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'sockss109' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

sockss109 is #8 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Bassboy7276' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (40.5)

Bassboy7276 is #8 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'culp5050' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

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CAR
NO
Total

'culp5050' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

culp5050 is #9 on picking games that Carolina is in with a record of (11-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'dmoney1981' picks Carolina vs New Orleans to go Over (39.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'dmoney1981' is picking Carolina to cover (-2.5)

dmoney1981 is #9 on picking games that New Orleans are in with a record of (10-3-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Spread
CAR
NO
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