Baltimore Ravens

NFL Player Props

Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens defense has allowed a meager 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 7th-smallest rate in football. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

The model projects David Njoku to be a less important option in his team's pass attack this week (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.5% in games he has played). David Njoku's 56.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 72.6% rate. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens since the start of last season (a mere 55.8 per game on average). Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.7 per game) since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the strong Browns defense has given up a feeble 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a heavy -11.5-point underdog in this week's game. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football. Jerry Jeudy rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 5.3 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week. Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week. The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens since the start of last season (a mere 55.8 per game on average). Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.7 per game) since the start of last season. As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Cleveland's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. In this game, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 27.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With an excellent 4.5 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the top WRs in the game in the league.

DeAndre Hopkins has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Cedric Tillman has gone over 4.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Justice Hill has gone over 2.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Harold Fannin Jr. has gone over 3.5 in 1 of his last 1 games.

Jerome Ford has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.

Rashod Bateman has gone over 2.5 in 0 of his last 1 games.