Baltimore Ravens

3rd in AFC North (0 - 1 - 0)

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CLECleveland Cleveland
at
Baltimore BALBaltimore
Sun, Sep 14 13:00 ET

CLE @ BAL Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Baltimore Ravens logo BAL -11.5 (-108)
Best Odds
-12.5 -110 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: yesterday
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
-12.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-12.0  -110
-11.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-11.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
-12.0  -110
These are quick bet odds

Cleveland’s offense, led by Joe Flacco, can’t hold a candle to Buffalo. The Ravens stopped the Bills in their tracks on the ground only to see the reigning MVP go crazy through the air, but it should bounce back in a huge way against a weak offense which will go from a friendly matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals to a brutal one against this Baltimore side.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Harold Fannin Jr. logo Harold Fannin Jr. Score a Touchdown (Yes: +370)
Best Odds
 +425 bet365
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 +350
 +425
 +390
 -
 +380

The Browns ran 2-TE sets at the second-highest rate in Week 1, and it was No. 2 tight end Harold Fannin—not David Njoku—who benefited most. Fannin played 72% of snaps and ran a route on 64% of dropbacks, compared to Njoku’s 84% snap share and 77% route rate. Still, Fannin led the team with nine targets and finished second in receiving yards with 63. Cedric Tillman was the only pass-catcher to score against Cincinnati, but there were only two red-zone targets—one to Tillman and one to Fannin. I’d play a Fannin TD down to +350 based on usage and Cleveland’s heavy 12 personnel. If you’re hunting a deep longshot, Raheim Sanders at +1700 is interesting—he scored last week and handled two of the four carries inside the 5-yard line. Joe Flacco isn’t stealing those goal-line plunges.

Passing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o238.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 249.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o238.5 -111 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o238.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o243.5  -110
o241.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o242.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o241.5  -128
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a heavy -11.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.. With an outstanding rate of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Joe Flacco places as one of the top QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.
-111 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry o4.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 9.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o5.5  -117
These are quick bet odds
o4.5  -110
o5.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o4.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o5.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. With an elite 57.8% snap rate (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry stands among the RBs with the most usage in the league.. With an outstanding 9.8 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry has been as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL.. The Browns pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Jerry Jeudy logo
Jerry Jeudy o54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 64.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o54.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o56.5  -111
These are quick bet odds
o54.5  -110
o58.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o54.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o57.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Browns being a heavy -11.5-point underdog in this week's game.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 67.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The most plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a colossal 62.3 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Zay Flowers logo
Zay Flowers o62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 68 (Over)
Best Odds
o62.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o63.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o62.5  -110
o62.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o62.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o62.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. In this game, Zay Flowers is projected by the predictive model to place in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 27.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Zay Flowers has posted a whopping 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile among WRs.. With a terrific 65.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places among the best pass-catching WRs in football.
-110 at bet365
Receiving Yards
Dylan Sampson logo
Dylan Sampson u19.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u19.5  -110
 -
u16.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
 -
Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens defense has allowed a meager 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Dylan Sampson logo
Dylan Sampson o31.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 42.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o31.5 -110 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o34.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o35.5  -110
o34.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o31.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o35.5  -108
These are quick bet odds
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The most plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a colossal 62.3 per game on average).
-110 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Lamar Jackson logo
Lamar Jackson o42.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 52 (Over)
Best Odds
o42.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o46.5  -110
These are quick bet odds
o42.5  -110
o46.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
o42.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o45.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.7% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.. Lamar Jackson has averaged 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (98th percentile).
-110 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Joe Flacco logo
Joe Flacco o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -105 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o0.5  -105
 -
o0.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
 -
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The most plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a colossal 62.3 per game on average).. After accounting for 2.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Joe Flacco has played a bigger part in the run game this year, currently accounting for 8.3%.
-105 at bet365
Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry u96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 91.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u98.5 -114 DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u98.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u96.5  -110
u95.5  -112
These are quick bet odds
u96.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u97.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens since the start of last season (a mere 55.8 per game on average).. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.
-114 at DraftKings
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Attempts
Lamar Jackson logo
Lamar Jackson o7.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)
Projection 9 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  +107
o7.5  -115
o8.5  +116
o7.5  -145
o7.5  -154
An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being an enormous 11.5-point favorite this week.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.7% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
-115 at bet365

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Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Total

64% picking Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksCLE 601, BAL 344

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108

Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Spread

'Dominoe194' is picking Baltimore to cover (-11.5)

Dominoe194 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'Dominoe194' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (45.5)

Dominoe194 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'sircapperr' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

sircapperr is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'sircapperr' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (44.5)

sircapperr is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'Johnny2012' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

Johnny2012 is #10 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'Johnny2012' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (44.5)

Johnny2012 is #10 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'gasman6320' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

gasman6320 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'gasman6320' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (44.5)

gasman6320 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'moman' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

moman is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'moman' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Under (44.5)

moman is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'dahnguyen' is picking Baltimore to cover (-13.5)

dahnguyen is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'dahnguyen' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Under (45.5)

dahnguyen is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Total

'Craigy87' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (45.5)

Craigy87 is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'Craigy87' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

Craigy87 is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Spread

'sleeper2239' is picking Cleveland to cover (+13.0)

sleeper2239 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'sleeper2239' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Under (44.5)

sleeper2239 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'Chexber' is picking Baltimore to cover (-11.5)

Chexber is #7 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Spread

'RalphMcGill' is picking Cleveland to cover (+11.5)

RalphMcGill is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'RalphMcGill' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Over (44.5)

RalphMcGill is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108
Spread

'VansPicks' is picking Baltimore to cover (-13.0)

VansPicks is #8 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Spread

'mm76ers' is picking Baltimore to cover (-11.5)

mm76ers is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Spread
CLE
BAL
Spread
+12.5 -106
-11.0 -128
Total

'mm76ers' picks Cleveland vs Baltimore to go Under (44.5)

mm76ers is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +1000 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -114
45.5 -108

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