Baltimore Ravens

2nd in AFC North (3 - 1 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Oct 11 20:20 ET

BAL @ ATL Picks

NFL Picks
Receiving Yards
Mark Andrews logo Mark Andrews o28.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Backup QBs usually lean on TEs for quick hits and checkdowns and that’s been the case for Huntley during his two stints in Charm City. He threw to his tight ends 16 times over two starts last year and looked to TEs a lot whenever called into action for the Ravens in 2021 and 2022. Andrews boast the fifth highest target share (23.5%) across the position has posted 24, 27, 49 and 49 yards in the opening four games of 2026. His SNF forecasts all sit north of 30 receiving yards with some models pointing to 40 yards from the veteran.

Anytime Touchdown
Drake London logo Drake London Score a Touchdown (Yes: +140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

In his two games back from injury, Penix only has eyes for WR Drake London. He’s been targeted 16 times the past two outings. However, London is yet to see a red zone throw his way and is still hunting for his first touchdown of the season. Baltimore has been burned by some big-name WRs, allowing guys like CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens and Chris Olave to ball out. London’s Week 5 projections are positive, including his touchdown forecasts. Most of those models call for a 50%+ chance of Atlanta’s WR1 finally finding the end zone.

Anytime Touchdown
Derrick Henry logo Derrick Henry Score a Touchdown (Yes: -143)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

I’m not even going to overthink this one. Give me Derrick Henry to score a touchdown at 57%, as I price him closer to 61%, and we almost never see this kind of edge in his touchdown market. I’m old enough to remember the Ravens walking into Lambeau Field last season needing a win with Tyler Huntley under center, and Henry responded by rushing for four touchdowns. In any red-zone scenario with a backup quarterback under center, Henry is going to see a heavy workload, making him the obvious focal point to get Baltimore into the end zone.

Spread
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL +3.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

I’ll bite—give me the Ravens as a 3.5-point underdog with Tyler Huntley under center, as I price Baltimore closer to a 2.5-point underdog. It’s only one point, but it’s through a key number, which has me hitting the button on the Ravens. Huntley isn’t a rookie or a quarterback with little to no experience. He’s a backup with plenty of experience in Baltimore and is well-insulated by weapons such as Derrick Henry and Zay Flowers. The Falcons are coming off back-to-back impressive performances, so in the most NFL way possible, they’ll probably lose this game. I’ll gladly take the +3.5.

Anytime Touchdown
Brian Robinson logo Brian Robinson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I'm taking the longer of the Robinson brothers in Week 5, as I have a fair price on Brian Robinson at 3.1x, not the 3.4x his TD opened at. The pair had five scores on MNF, and since Michael Penix returned, this offense ranks first in the NFL in EPA/play. There is simply too much to stop with Drake London and Bijan Robinson, and Brian is happy to clean up the mess around the goal line. The backup back had five red-zone opportunities last week and turned them into three scores, while Bijan had seven opportunities. Brian has double-digit carries in three straight weeks and shouldn't be priced longer than 3.0x in an offense that can consistently move the ball. Baltimore ranks in the bottom third of the league in defensive EPA/rush and could be giving the Falcons good field position all day if Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers, and the offensive line continue to struggle with injuries ahead of the matchup.

Spread
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL +3.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

While there’s no denying Jackson’s worth, the Ravens are used to “breaking the glass” in case of emergency. Baltimore is 6-11 SU without Jackson at QB but 8-9 ATS in those outings. The Falcons not only take the field on a short week, but their public perception is pumping with positivity after two prime time wins. I feel that’s taxing this team too much on SNF. The Ravens’ defense is the highest rated stop unit Atlanta has faced this season and Baltimore head coach Jesse Minter is focusing on improving the run stop. This feels like a rock fight with both teams selling out to stop the run. I’ll buy back the big move on the Ravens, hanging on to that half-point hook for dear life.

Total
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail u45.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Lamar Jackson's status is up in the air but the latest reports don't sound positive for the Ravens QB. This Sunday Night Football contest will turn into a game of “keep-away” as both offenses are anchored in the run, sitting No. 1 and No. 3 in rushing play percentage. The Falcons go deep into the play clock before snapping the ball – at least with Penix Jr. under center. Atlanta has posted an average of 32:53 in time of possession the past two games. Offensively, Baltimore is methodical even with Jackson at the wheel. Should he sit out Week 5, this attack will run considerably slower with the backup QB and lean even more into RB Derrick Henry. Short gains with the clock ticking and two sound defenses clear a path to the Under on Sunday night. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
BAL +3.5
Spread
Drake London profile picture
Drake London Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Mark Andrews profile picture
Mark Andrews o28.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Falcons fever is spreading after two wins on the nation stage. But beating up on a busted Packers team on a short week and bullying the Saints shoddy defense isn’t winning me over. Baltimore has been without Lamar before and this defense is a prideful group that shows up on SNF. London hasn’t scored a touchdown in 2026 but with Baltimore stacking the box to slow down Robinson & Robinson, London could slip out for a score. His TD probabilities sit as high as 52% with some models. Andrews is always busy when Huntley takes over under center. The veteran TE sees his targets tick up and his projections all call for 30+ receiving yards versus Atlanta.

Passing Yards
Tyler Huntley logo
Tyler Huntley o173.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 201.99 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.
Passing Yards
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. o218.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 222.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Ravens defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Rushing Yards
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. o0.5 Rushing Yards (-108)
Projection 4.95 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 46.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson u88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 72.03 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.
Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Kyle Pitts Sr. o24.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Kyle Pitts has run a route on 86.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the anemic Ravens defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 5.00 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry o5.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 9.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. With an elite 59.4% snap rate (82nd percentile) this year, Derrick Henry ranks among the running backs with the most usage in football.
Receiving Yards
Zay Flowers logo
Zay Flowers o67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 76.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Zay Flowers comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 65.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Mark Andrews logo
Mark Andrews o28.5 Receiving Yards (-118)
Projection 35.23 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. In this contest, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.
Receiving Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 30.72 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 5.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Receiving Yards
Drake London logo
Drake London o79.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Projection 85.07 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Drake London to accrue 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The predictive model expects Drake London to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this week's game (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (26.4% in games he has played).. Drake London's 81.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteable gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.0 figure.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

46% picking Baltimore

46%
54%

Total Picks BAL 349, ATL 403

Spread
BAL
ATL
Total

63% picking Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksBAL 296, ATL 175

Total
Over
Under

BAL @ ATL · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
ATL -3.5 spread
-5.91 PROJECTION
-2.4 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
ATL -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-5.91 PROJECTION
-2.4 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +101
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
Over 43.5 Total
44.85 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
Over 43.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.85 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o43.5 -109
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o173.5 Passing Yards
201.99 OVER PROJECTION
+28.5 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o173.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.99 OVER PROJECTION
+28.5 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

o173.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o218.5 Passing Yards
222.11 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
18.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o218.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

222.11 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
18.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Ravens defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

o214.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
4.95 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
26.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.95 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
26.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 46.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

o0.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) u88.5 Rushing Yards
72.03 UNDER PROJECTION
-16.5 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) u88.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.03 UNDER PROJECTION
-16.5 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

u91.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o24.5 Receiving Yards
31.00 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
24.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o24.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

31.00 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
24.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Kyle Pitts has run a route on 86.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the anemic Ravens defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 5.00 YAC.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards
9.26 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
24.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.26 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
24.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. With an elite 59.4% snap rate (82nd percentile) this year, Derrick Henry ranks among the running backs with the most usage in football.

o5.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards
76.73 OVER PROJECTION
+9.2 DIFFERENCE
24.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.73 OVER PROJECTION
+9.2 DIFFERENCE
24.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Zay Flowers comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 65.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

o65.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards
35.23 OVER PROJECTION
+6.7 DIFFERENCE
23.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.23 OVER PROJECTION
+6.7 DIFFERENCE
23.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. In this contest, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.

o28.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o25.5 Receiving Yards
30.72 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
21.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

30.72 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
21.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 5.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o25.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards
85.07 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
18.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

85.07 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
18.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Drake London to accrue 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The predictive model expects Drake London to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this week's game (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (26.4% in games he has played).. Drake London's 81.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteable gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.0 figure.

o79.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets.. With a remarkable 4.7 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

o5.5 +106
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.. The Baltimore cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

u6.5 -155
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Kyle Pitts has run a route on 86.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o2.5 +116
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Mark Andrews's receiving talent has been refined this season, totaling 4.5 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.6 last season.

o3.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 5.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.. Bijan Robinson grades out as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

o3.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts
17.50 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
21.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.50 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
21.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens this year (only 54.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

u20.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o26.5 Passing Attempts
28.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o26.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

28.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.

o26.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

o29.5 -105
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions
19.06 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.06 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

o17.5 +105
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Ravens defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

o18.5 +102
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

+475
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 30.8% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

+205
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The predictive model expects Drake London to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (28.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. Drake London ranks in the 98th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 72.1 figure since the start of last season.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+130
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.79 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.79 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. While Bijan Robinson has earned 85.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Atlanta's running game near the end zone in this week's contest at 66.9%.. Bijan Robinson has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

-220
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

+300
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (10.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. Kyle Pitts has been in the 97th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 46.0 figure since the start of last season.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+380
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. While Derrick Henry has accounted for 82.1% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Baltimore's ground game near the goal line in this week's contest at 67.3%.

-150
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

+1400
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.. The Baltimore cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

u0.5 -125
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. The Falcons have intercepted 0.32 throws per game this year, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in the NFL by this standard

o0.5 -105
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
ATL -3.5 spread
-5.91 PROJECTION
-2.4 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
ATL -3.5 spread

PROJECTION

-5.91 PROJECTION
-2.4 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-3.5 +101
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
Over 43.5 Total
44.85 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
Over 43.5 Total

PROJECTION

44.85 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o43.5 -109
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o173.5 Passing Yards
201.99 OVER PROJECTION
+28.5 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o173.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.99 OVER PROJECTION
+28.5 DIFFERENCE
25.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

o173.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o218.5 Passing Yards
222.11 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
18.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o218.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

222.11 OVER PROJECTION
+3.6 DIFFERENCE
18.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Ravens defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

o214.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
4.95 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
26.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

4.95 OVER PROJECTION
+4.5 DIFFERENCE
26.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 46.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

o0.5 +100
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) u88.5 Rushing Yards
72.03 UNDER PROJECTION
-16.5 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) u88.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

72.03 UNDER PROJECTION
-16.5 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.75 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).. The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

u91.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o24.5 Receiving Yards
31.00 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
24.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o24.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

31.00 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
24.58% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Kyle Pitts has run a route on 86.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. This year, the anemic Ravens defense has allowed the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a massive 5.00 YAC.

o23.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards
9.26 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
24.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) o5.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

9.26 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
24.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. With an elite 59.4% snap rate (82nd percentile) this year, Derrick Henry ranks among the running backs with the most usage in football.

o5.5 -110
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards
76.73 OVER PROJECTION
+9.2 DIFFERENCE
24.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o67.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

76.73 OVER PROJECTION
+9.2 DIFFERENCE
24.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Zay Flowers comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 65.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

o65.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards
35.23 OVER PROJECTION
+6.7 DIFFERENCE
23.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

35.23 OVER PROJECTION
+6.7 DIFFERENCE
23.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. In this contest, Mark Andrews is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.

o28.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o25.5 Receiving Yards
30.72 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
21.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o25.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

30.72 OVER PROJECTION
+5.2 DIFFERENCE
21.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 5.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o25.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards
85.07 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
18.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) o79.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

85.07 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
18.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Drake London to accrue 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.. The predictive model expects Drake London to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this week's game (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (26.4% in games he has played).. Drake London's 81.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a noteable gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 66.0 figure.

o79.5 -120
theScore Bet logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.98 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. This week, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.4 targets.. With a remarkable 4.7 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

o5.5 +106
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made
5.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) u6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.89 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.. The Baltimore cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

u6.5 -155
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Kyle Pitts has run a route on 86.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

o2.5 +116
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.90 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Mark Andrews's receiving talent has been refined this season, totaling 4.5 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.6 last season.

o3.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.. The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 5.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.. Bijan Robinson grades out as one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an exceptional 3.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

o3.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts
17.50 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
21.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) u19.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

17.50 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
21.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Ravens this year (only 54.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

u20.5 -110
BetMGM logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o26.5 Passing Attempts
28.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o26.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

28.81 OVER PROJECTION
+2.3 DIFFERENCE
18.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.

o26.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

29.71 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

o29.5 -105
BetMGM logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions
19.06 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o17.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.06 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
16.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

o17.5 +105
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions
19.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) o18.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

19.47 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Ravens defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).

o18.5 +102
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
22.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Tyler Huntley checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an exceptional 79.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 99th percentile.

+475
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zay Flowers logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
Z. Flowers (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.46 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
20.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Zay Flowers has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 30.8% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

+205
bet365 logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Drake London logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
D. London (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.52 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The predictive model expects Drake London to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the end zone in this week's game (28.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. Drake London ranks in the 98th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 72.1 figure since the start of last season.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+130
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.79 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bijan Robinson logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
B. Robinson (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.79 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. While Bijan Robinson has earned 85.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Atlanta's running game near the end zone in this week's contest at 66.9%.. Bijan Robinson has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

-220
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Mark Andrews logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
M. Andrews (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.28 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

+300
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
K. Pitts Sr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.19 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (10.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. Kyle Pitts has been in the 97th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 46.0 figure since the start of last season.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

+380
BetRivers logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Derrick Henry logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
D. Henry (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.51 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. While Derrick Henry has accounted for 82.1% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Baltimore's ground game near the goal line in this week's contest at 67.3%.

-150
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.. Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.

+1400
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail
M. Penix Jr. (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The Falcons are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.. Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projections to call just 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.. The Baltimore cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

u0.5 -125
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Huntley logo
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail
T. Huntley (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.67 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup QB Tyler Huntley this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.. The Ravens are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (49.0 per game) this year.. The Falcons have intercepted 0.32 throws per game this year, grading out as the 7th-worst defense in the NFL by this standard

o0.5 -105
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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'iambarnes' picks Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Over (44.5)

iambarnes is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'kenpitch' picks Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Under (44.5)

kenpitch is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'iambarnes' is picking Atlanta to cover (-2.5)

iambarnes is #1 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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ATL
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'kenpitch' is picking Baltimore to cover (+3.5)

kenpitch is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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'trotter' is picking Baltimore to cover (-4.5)

trotter is #3 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.

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'MrBaggins' is picking Atlanta to cover (+4.5)

MrBaggins is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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'MrBaggins' picks Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

MrBaggins is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Over
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'Bomo2024' is picking Atlanta to cover (+2.5)

Bomo2024 is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'jo14014' is picking Atlanta to cover (+4.5)

jo14014 is #6 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' is picking Atlanta to cover (+4.5)

Jerrybook is #8 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2450 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Over (48.5)

Jerrybook is #8 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'peachiee2023' picks Baltimore vs Atlanta to go Over (46.5)

peachiee2023 is #9 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'peachiee2023' is picking Baltimore to cover (-3.5)

peachiee2023 is #9 on picking games that Atlanta is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.

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