Broncos @ Raiders Picks & Props

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -8-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year. The Denver defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.37 seconds per play. The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board. The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.4%) versus RBs this year (71.4%).

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Courtland Sutton to total 7.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to WRs. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board. The Raiders safeties project as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. In this contest, Evan Engram is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -8-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year. The Denver defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Tyler Lockett has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jack Bech has gone over 2.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Troy Franklin has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Pat Bryant has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ian Thomas has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Adam Trautman has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.